Search
57 results for “presidential race”
Emerging Market Bond Funds Face Volatility as Brazil Yields Hit 13%
Brazil's sovereign bond yields bounced back above 13% as a tightening presidential race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro injects fresh political risk.
How Brazil’s Tight Presidential Runoff Affects Global Portfolios
Brazil's presidential race heads to an October 25 runoff between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva, shifting the political and fiscal landscape for global investors.
Imprisoned Master Bank Founder to Testify on R$12 Billion Fraud
Former Banco Master controller Daniel Vorcaro will testify on a massive public banking fraud scheme that has become a weapon in the presidential race.
Brazil Election: How the New Congress Will Shape Corporate Taxes
While the presidential race dominates headlines, Brazil's newly elected Congress taking office in February 2027 holds the real power over tax reform and fiscal rules.
Brazil Diplomats Weigh Early Retirement Over Flávio Bolsonaro Lead
Senior Brazilian ambassadors consider early retirement as conservative frontrunner Flávio Bolsonaro leads the presidential race amid threats of ideological purges.
Brazil's Senate vote may matter more than the presidential race: Bolsonaro's PL won 19 of 54 seats
Voters filled 54 of the Senate's 81 seats on Sunday. Only the Senate can try Supreme Court justices, and the parties that gained ground are the ones that have pushed for it. What the numbers say, and what they do not.
Lula pivots to center and shakes up campaign after runoff setback
Trailing in Brazil's presidential race, President Lula da Silva faces internal pressure to overhaul his campaign and position Geraldo Alckmin to lead the economy.
Flávio Bolsonaro Leads Lula in First Round, Triggering Market Rally
Right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro secured a surprise first-round lead over President Lula, reshaping Brazil's presidential race and boosting local assets.
Why Brazil's tight presidential race is sparking a 'Flávio rally'
A dead heat between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of the first-round vote has investors pricing in deregulation and fiscal relief for utility stocks.
Record 919,000 Brazilians Abroad Set to Vote in Polarized Election
Nearly 1 million Brazilians living overseas are eligible to vote in the October 2026 presidential race, forming a conservative-leaning bloc.
Brazilian Real Braces for Post-Election Fiscal Crossroads
Brazil's tight presidential race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro has put the country's currency and public debt under intense focus.
Banco Master Scandal Upends Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro Presidential Race
A massive banking fraud scandal has eroded President Lula's polling lead by entangling key institutional allies, turning the 2026 race into a statistical tie.
Brazil Real Under Pressure as Tight Presidential Race Nears
The Brazilian real faces heavy pressure near 5.23 per US dollar as a dead-heat presidential race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro fuels investor anxiety.
Datafolha Poll Shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Tight Race
The final pre-election Datafolha poll reveals a highly competitive Brazilian presidential race, pointing to a tense second-round runoff.
Brazil's 'fear index' hits historic high as tight race triggers hedging
The S&P/B3 Ibovespa VIX closed at a record 32.06 points as a deadlocked presidential race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro spurs defensive market hedging.
Brazil’s Election Countdown Eclipsed by High Court Action and Inflation Shock
With the presidential race in a technical tie, the TSE intervenes in the campaign as an inflation surprise puts new pressure on the Central Bank.
Tight Brazil Presidential Race Fuels Major Fiscal Policy Uncertainty Ahead of October Vote
The technical tie between Lula (PT) and Bolsonaro (PL) heightens investor concern over Brazil's rising public debt and the direction of its 2027 budget.
Brazil Presidential Race Enters Final Week in Technical Tie, Driving Political Uncertainty
President Lula and challenger Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are statistically tied in new polling ahead of the October 4 vote.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in Critical Bellwether State of Minas Gerais, Quaest Poll Finds
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro tied at 40% in a second-round simulation in Minas Gerais, signaling prolonged electoral uncertainty.
Brazil’s Election Campaign Derailed by Unprecedented Judicial Crisis and Supreme Court Feud
An institutional feud within the Supreme Federal Court over the Banco Master scandal, coupled with a key electoral ruling, has displaced policy debate in Brazil’s presidential race.
Brazil’s Election: TSE Orders Lula Campaign to Remove Video, Flávio Bolsonaro Cites Precedent to Bar UN Speech Use
Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court ordered President Lula da Silva's campaign to remove a video filmed at the Alvorada Palace, escalating the judicialization of the presidential race.
New Quaest Poll Confirms Technical Tie in Brazilian Presidential Race
The latest Quaest poll shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a statistical tie for Brazil's October general election.
Final Quaest Poll Measures STF Scandal Impact on Tight Brazil Election Race
Brazil's latest Quaest poll, due today, will test how the STF corruption scandal has shifted the tight Lula-Bolsonaro presidential race.
Technical Tie and High Rejection Signal Intense Polarization in Brazil Presidential Race
A Datafolha poll released two weeks before the election shows President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, confirming high political risk.
Banking Scandal Triggers Judicial War, Reshaping Brazil's 2026 Presidential Race
A massive banking fraud investigation has metastasized into an unprecedented feud between Supreme Court justices, directly impacting the tight race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.
Institutional Conflict Over Supreme Court Justice Deepens Brazil’s 2026 Election Polarization
Brazil's presidential race is heating up as a Supreme Court scandal involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes fuels polarization ahead of the October election.
Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Race Brings Back Political Risk Premium to the Real
The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after new polls showed incumbent President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, reintroducing a political risk premium to the currency.
Brazil’s Institutional Crisis Adds Regulatory Risk to Statistical Dead-Heat Election
A recent Quaest poll shows a paradoxical view on the Supreme Court crisis as Brazil’s presidential race remains a statistical tie.
Supreme Court Crisis Fuels Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surge Over Lula in Brazil Presidential Race
An unprecedented institutional crisis in Brazil’s Supreme Court involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes has driven challenger Flávio Bolsonaro into the lead in presidential prediction markets.
Brazil’s Electoral Court Unanimously Bars Populist Influencer Pablo Marçal From Presidential Race
The Superior Electoral Court unanimously rejected influencer Pablo Marçal's presidential bid, citing a prior ineligibility conviction and a missed party affiliation deadline.