Search
35 results for “political risk brazil”
Over Half of Senate's Pro-Impeachment Bloc Face STF Investigations
A majority of Brazilian senators pushing to impeach Supreme Court justices are themselves targets of investigations by the same court, raising political risks.
Lula Leads First Round But Runoff Shows Tie in Brazil Election Polls
A Datafolha poll shows President Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro in first-round valid votes, while a potential second-round runoff remains a statistical tie.
Candidate Flávio Bolsonaro Files AIJE to Annul Lula’s 2026 Re-election Ticket Over Culture Ministry Abuse
Flávio Bolsonaro filed a high-stakes AIJE with the TSE seeking to annul President Lula’s re-election ticket over the alleged misuse of MinC resources.
Tied Brazil Election Polls Drive Risk Premium, Complicating Central Bank’s Rate Cut Cycle
A statistical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro caused Brazil's Real and Bovespa to slide, adding political risk to the economy.
Lula Avoids Supreme Court Crisis Topic at UN as Institutional Tensions Fuel Brazil’s Political Risk
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will exclude Brazil's deepening judicial crisis from his UN speech, classifying the STF conflict as an internal matter.
Judicial Order on ‘Master Case’ Documents Spikes Brazilian Real’s Political Risk
Brazil’s Supreme Court unsealed documents on Friday linking presidential candidate Senator Flávio Bolsonaro to a massive financial scandal, sending the Real lower against the US Dollar.
Brazil’s Electoral Court Bans Politically-Motivated Highway Police Stops Ahead of 2026 Election
The Superior Electoral Court and Ministry of Justice issued a joint ordinance restricting Federal Highway Police actions to prevent voter suppression seen in the 2022 general election.
Brazil’s Two-Front Regulatory War on US Big Tech Ratchets Up Political and Compliance Risk
Brazil is setting up a major regulatory clash with US technology giants through a new antitrust bill and a Supreme Court ruling on content liability.
Brazil’s Small-Cap Discount Nears Record High as High Rates and Political Risk Bite
The valuation gap between Brazilian small-cap and large-cap stocks is near a historical high, reflecting severe investor aversion to local political and interest-rate uncertainty.
Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Race Brings Back Political Risk Premium to the Real
The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after new polls showed incumbent President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, reintroducing a political risk premium to the currency.
Saudi Pipeline Attack Pushes Oil Past $108, Straining Brazilian Banks
A drone strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline has pushed Brent crude past $108, threatening a prolonged high-interest-rate cycle and rising credit risk for Brazilian lenders.
Bolsonaro’s Son Takes First Numerical Lead Over Lula in New Brazil Election Poll
The latest Quaest poll shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% to 40% in a hypothetical runoff, signaling a sharp increase in electoral risk ahead of the October vote.
Internal Resistance From Top Brass Defused Bolsonaro’s 2022 Coup Plot, Police Records Show
Accounts from former commanders of the Brazilian Armed Forces reveal key resistance that stopped Jair Bolsonaro's alleged plan to overturn the 2022 election.
Brazil Real Decouples from Global Dollar Trend on Shifting Election Trade
The Brazilian Real recently moved against the global strengthening of the US Dollar, driven by a domestic "electoral trade" focused on reduced political risk premium ahead of the presidential vote.
Brazil’s Political Risk Spikes Long-Term Rates After Supreme Court Unseals Master Case
Long-term interest rates in Brazil jumped on Friday after the Supreme Federal Court unsealed documents in a massive political-financial fraud scandal.
Industry Body Demands Action as Brazil Supreme Court Justices Clash Over Federal Police Chief
The National Confederation of Industry intervened after two Supreme Court justices issued conflicting orders regarding the Federal Police Director-General.
Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.
Judicial War Escalates to Political Crisis as Mendonça Forces STF to Review Moraes-Vorcaro Allegations
Supreme Court Justice André Mendonça unseals a report concerning Justice Alexandre de Moraes, injecting volatility into the 2026 election.
Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election
High-yielding Brazilian Real is struggling to keep pace with its interest rate differential as investors price in fiscal uncertainty before the October election.
Brazil Prosecutor General Seeks to Annul Probe That Implicated Top Supreme Court Justice
The head of Brazil’s public ministry, Paulo Gonet, is challenging the legality of an investigation that exposed contacts between a jailed banker and a top STF Justice.
Tightening Presidential Race in Brazil Sends Market Volatility Soaring
A new Quaest poll showing a second-round tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro triggered a major Brazilian market rally.
OAS Confirms Election Observer Mission for Brazil’s Polarized 2026 General Elections
The Organization of American States will deploy up to 90 experts to observe Brazil’s high-stakes national elections.
OAS Deploys Observation Mission to Monitor Brazil’s Polarized 2026 General Election
The Organization of American States is sending an Electoral Observation Mission to monitor the October 2026 election, a sign of ongoing international scrutiny.
Brazil’s Top Prosecutor Flags Organized Crime as Critical Threat to 2026 Election Integrity
Attorney General Paulo Gonet says blocking PCC, Comando Vermelho, and militias is key to protecting Brazilian democracy.
Brazil’s Electoral Court Counters Attacks with Direct Appeal to Global Diplomats
TSE President Kassio Nunes Marques defended the security of Brazil’s electronic voting system to over 100 international diplomats.
Federal Police Probe Into Lula’s Son Raises Political Risk Ahead of Brazilian Election
Brazil's Federal Police is investigating President Lula's son, Fábio Luís Lula da Silva, for alleged influence peddling.
US Sanctions Threat Against Moraes Escalates Brazil Election Risk
The Trump administration is reportedly considering reimposing sanctions on Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, introducing new geopolitical friction.
Brazil’s Next President to Appoint Four Supreme Court Justices, Reshaping Court for a Decade
The October 2026 general election will determine the ideological balance of Brazil's Supreme Federal Court and the stability of its institutions.
Lula's Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Shrinks to Statistical Tie in New Quaest Poll
Brazil's presidential election tightens as a new Quaest poll shows Lula with 43% and Bolsonaro with 40% in a runoff scenario.
Political Risk Weighs on Brazilian Real as Lula’s Poll Lead and JPMorgan Downgrade Stoke Fiscal Fears
The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after a poll affirmed President Lula's lead and JPMorgan downgraded Brazilian stocks, reflecting mounting investor worry over fiscal health.