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195 results for “USD/BRL”
USD/BRL Stability at Risk as Market Braces for Hawkish Fed Guidance
The Brazilian Real faces pressure as investors await the Federal Reserve's rate decision, where a hawkish hold could narrow the Real's carry trade advantage.
Ibovespa Drops, USD/BRL Volatile as Investors Brace for Fed Hold but Hunt for Hawkish Clues
Brazilian stocks and the Real face pressure ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, with focus on Chair Jerome Powell’s language for signs of future tightening.
Hawkish Fed Tone Threatens Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Pushing Ibovespa Down 1.03%
Markets brace for Federal Reserve's rate decision with 36% hike odds, pressuring the Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) and driving Ibovespa lower.
Lula-Milei Crisis Escalates: Brazil Recalls Ambassador as Mercosul Trade Framework Faces Existential Risk
Brazil's diplomatic protest after Milei insults Lula and a Supreme Court Justice threatens the $31B Brazil-Argentina trade axis and Mercosul's stability.
Investor Consensus Locks In Stable R$5.20 for 2026-End USD/BRL; XP Sees Stronger R$5.00
Median market projection for the USD/BRL exchange rate has held steady at R$5.20 for six weeks, providing long-term predictability.
BRL Volatility Spikes: USD/BRL Reaches R$5.13 on Global Risk Aversion and Tariff Pressure
The Brazilian Real weakened over the past week, driven by global risk-off sentiment and new US tariffs, prompting a re-evaluation of unhedged exposure.
Lula Disapproval Hits 53% in Rio de Janeiro, Signaling Regulatory Friction Risk for Investors
President Lula's government disapproval reached 53% in the key state of Rio de Janeiro, signaling political friction and uncertainty for markets.
Itaú Lifts Year-End USD/BRL Forecast to R$5.30 on Stronger Global USD and Terms of Trade Pressure
Itaú, one of Brazil's largest banks, raised its 2026 year-end USD/BRL forecast, citing higher US rates and deteriorating terms of trade.
Brazil Secures Immediate Zero-Tariff Access to Singapore Market on August 1st
The Mercosur-Singapore FTA's entry into force grants 100% of Brazilian exports tariff-free access to the Asian hub, boosting key sectors.
Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
Real fails to gain ground after mid-July inflation undershoots expectations, as market focus shifts to hawkish Fed outlook.
Managed Money Builds Extreme Net-Long Position in Soybeans, Signaling Volatility Ahead for Brazilian Exports
Large speculators piled into soybean futures, increasing net long contracts to 175,646, a level that raises risk of liquidation.
Political Fiscal Risk Hardens BRL Support Above R$5.10
Domestic political polarization and a rising nominal deficit establish a firm floor for the USD/BRL despite high Selic interest rates.
Dry Spell in Brazil Soybean Belt Raises Crop-Stress Risk
Severe dry spells across Brazil's key soybean regions threaten yields, risking a tighter global supply that could impact B3 stocks and the USD/BRL rate.
Brazil Central Bank to Start FX Swap Rollover on August 5
The Banco Central do Brasil will begin rolling over currency swap contracts maturing on September 1, 2026, to curb volatility in the USD/BRL market.
USD BRL Rises as New 25% US Tariffs Threaten Brazil Trade Surplus
The USD/BRL exchange rate hovered near 5.13 after the US implemented a 25% tariff on Brazilian imports, threatening the country's export surplus.
Brazil Soybean Belt Dry Spell Raises Global Commodity Price Risk; Funds Hold Bullish Posture
A week-long dry spell across Brazil's key soybean regions is raising crop-stress risk, threatening supply and supporting Chicago futures.
Brazil Central Bank Announces Rollover of September FX Swaps to Maintain Real Liquidity
The Brazil Central Bank is rolling over its traditional FX swaps, signaling its intent to manage market liquidity ahead of the September expiry.
Political Uncertainty and U.S. Trade Tensions Put Risk Premium on USD/BRL, IBOV
Lula's poll lead and new U.S. tariffs on Brazilian goods increase market risk, driving political uncertainty into the USD/BRL exchange rate.
Dry Spell in Key Brazilian Soybean Regions Raises Soil Moisture, Planting Risk for 2026/27 Crop
Dry weather in Sorriso-MT, Rio Verde-GO, and Luís Eduardo Magalhães-BA risks delayed planting for Brazil's next record soybean harvest.
Narrowing Selic-Fed Spread Limits BRL Carry Trade Appeal
As Brazil's Copom cuts the Selic rate to 14.25% and the Fed remains restrictive, Rabobank targets a weaker USD/BRL of 5.35 by end-2026.
Treasury Shifts Funding Strategy as NTN-B Issuance Hits Decades-Worst Domestic Demand
Brazil's Treasury seeks a major external debt mandate shift after inflation-linked bond demand collapses due to tax arbitrage.
Brazilian Real Pauses Rally at R$5.13 Resistance as Oil Prices Plunge on US-Iran Truce
The Brazilian Real's strengthening was tested as the USD/BRL exchange rate held near R$5.13, driven by a sharp drop in crude oil prices.
Brazil Challenges US Tariff Hike at WTO as Trade Risks Rise
Brazil formally challenges a US tariff hike of up to 37.5% at the WTO, escalating trade tensions and driving volatility for USD/BRL and B3 stocks.
USD BRL Technical Alert: Real Holds Below Key Moving Averages
The USD/BRL pair remains below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling technical resistance for the dollar and support for the Brazilian real.
Lula Congressional Support Halves, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risks
Brazil's Senate support for President Lula's priority bills has plummeted to 38.5%, fueling investor concern over fiscal gridlock and USD/BRL volatility.
Brazil Files WTO Case Against US Tariffs as Trade Row Escalates
Brazil has requested WTO consultations over US Section 301 tariffs, introducing fresh risk for B3 stocks, the EWZ ETF, and the USD/BRL exchange rate.
New US Tariffs on Brazilian Imports Threaten USD/BRL Volatility
A new 25% US tariff on Brazilian imports pushes total rates to 37.5%, driving USD/BRL volatility and threatening the Brazilian real's recent bullish momentum.
Tight Lula-Bolsonaro 2026 Polls Cement Brazil's Prolonged Political Risk Premium
New July polls show President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a technical tie for the 2026 race, sustaining high political uncertainty.
Strong Real, Export Premiums Insulate Brazil Soybean Market from CBOT Plunge
Brazilian soybean prices saw only moderate losses despite a 3.17% plunge in Chicago, thanks to a robust USD/BRL exchange rate and resilient export premiums.
US 25% Tariff Sustains Brazilian Real Weakness as Trade War Risk Caps Carry Trade Appeal
The new 25% US tariff on Brazilian imports has stalled BRL appreciation, introducing a trade war risk premium at a critical time.