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Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher

Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher

S
Sofia Marin
Jul 28, 2026, 1:50 PM
Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
Illustration — BRZ.news

The Brazilian Real is holding against the US Dollar at R$5.091851 today, failing to gain ground despite domestic data that would typically support the currency, as market attention remains fixed on a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve rate decision on Wednesday, July 29. Brazil’s mid-month inflation preview, the IPCA-15, which was released today, eased significantly more than expected, slowing to 0.06% for July against a median forecast of 0.20%. However, the positive domestic print was overridden by a strengthening US Dollar, fueled by rising speculation that the Federal Reserve will surprise markets with an interest rate hike this week.

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