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136 results for “Copom

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate
PROCurrenciesJul 29

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate

The Brazilian Real holds at R$5.11 against the US Dollar, sustained by the high 14.25% Selic rate that supports a strong carry trade.

Lula’s R$1.3B El Niño Plan Sparks Fiscal and Ag Intervention Alert
PROPoliticsJul 29

Lula’s R$1.3B El Niño Plan Sparks Fiscal and Ag Intervention Alert

Brazil's R$1.335 billion El Niño mitigation plan triggers fiscal and market intervention worries, impacting the real and agricultural commodities.

Petrobras Rises on Domestic Rate Cut Hopes as Sharp IPCA-15 Drop Fuels Brazil Stock Market
InvestingJul 29

Petrobras Rises on Domestic Rate Cut Hopes as Sharp IPCA-15 Drop Fuels Brazil Stock Market

Ibovespa and Petrobras advanced after the IPCA-15 mid-month inflation print dropped sharply, bolstering expectations for a continued Selic rate cut cycle.

BRL Volatility Spikes: USD/BRL Reaches R$5.13 on Global Risk Aversion and Tariff Pressure
PROCurrenciesJul 29

BRL Volatility Spikes: USD/BRL Reaches R$5.13 on Global Risk Aversion and Tariff Pressure

The Brazilian Real weakened over the past week, driven by global risk-off sentiment and new US tariffs, prompting a re-evaluation of unhedged exposure.

Unexpectedly Low IPCA-15 Fuels Selic Cut Hopes, Boosting Outlook for Brazilian Small-Cap Stocks
PROSmall CapsJul 28

Unexpectedly Low IPCA-15 Fuels Selic Cut Hopes, Boosting Outlook for Brazilian Small-Cap Stocks

Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation print of 0.06% was far below expectations, reinforcing a dovish outlook for the August Copom decision and pointing to a potential valuation boost for leveraged B3 small-caps.

Brazil’s Surprise 0.06% Inflation Print Fuels Rally on B3, Sharpens Bets for Aggressive Selic Rate Cut
PROMarketsJul 28

Brazil’s Surprise 0.06% Inflation Print Fuels Rally on B3, Sharpens Bets for Aggressive Selic Rate Cut

Brazil's mid-month IPCA-15 cooled sharply to 0.06% in July, boosting the Ibovespa and reinforcing expectations for a larger Copom rate cut.

Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
CurrenciesJul 28

Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher

Real fails to gain ground after mid-July inflation undershoots expectations, as market focus shifts to hawkish Fed outlook.

Brazil Police Probe Construction Fraud in Alagoas State
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil Police Probe Construction Fraud in Alagoas State

Brazil's Federal Police launched Operation Delivery to investigate school construction fraud, highlighting governance risks for investors in B3 stocks.

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership Amid R$6.6B Rescue Impasse
PoliticsJul 28

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership Amid R$6.6B Rescue Impasse

Central Bank of Brazil President Gabriel Galípolo met with BRB leadership as a R$6.6 billion rescue package remains stalled, impacting B3 assets.

Brazil Cuts Rural Insurance Budget by 54%, Hiking Agro Credit Risk
AgroJul 28

Brazil Cuts Rural Insurance Budget by 54%, Hiking Agro Credit Risk

Brazil's federal government blocked R$461.7 million from the 2026 PSR rural insurance budget, raising default risks for lenders like Banco do Brasil.

Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves

Brazil reduced its required budget spending block by R$5.7 billion, signaling increased fiscal confidence and boosting outlooks for BRL and local assets.

Brazil NTN-B Issuance Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Fears
PROMarketsJul 28

Brazil NTN-B Issuance Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Fears

Brazil's National Treasury sees inflation-linked NTN-B bond issuance plunge to a 20-year low as fiscal risks push real interest rates above 8%.

USD BRL Eases as Brazil Mid-July Inflation Cools to 0.06%
CurrenciesJul 28

USD BRL Eases as Brazil Mid-July Inflation Cools to 0.06%

Brazil's IPCA-15 mid-July inflation slowed to 0.06%, dragging the annual rate to 4.52% as markets await the next Copom decision on the Selic rate.

Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation
PoliticsJul 28

Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation

Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation slowed to 0.06%, but a 3.03% spike in residential electricity driven by regulatory adjustments poses risks for utility stocks.

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in 2026 Rio Presidential Poll
PoliticsJul 28

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in 2026 Rio Presidential Poll

A new RealTime Big Data poll in Rio de Janeiro shows a tight 2026 race between President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, boosting political risk for Brazilian assets.

Brazilian Real Carry Trade Resilient on High Real Rates, Deficit
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Carry Trade Resilient on High Real Rates, Deficit

Brazil's narrowing current account deficit and high inflation-adjusted real interest rates keep the Brazilian real highly attractive for carry trades.

Geopolitical De-escalation Strengthens BRL Towards R$5.07
CurrenciesJul 28

Geopolitical De-escalation Strengthens BRL Towards R$5.07

A diplomatic truce between the U.S. and Iran has reduced global risk, driving the Brazilian real stronger and boosting Ibovespa futures in early trading.

US Tariffs and Middle East Risks Cap BRL Carry-Trade Gains
CurrenciesJul 28

US Tariffs and Middle East Risks Cap BRL Carry-Trade Gains

Brazil's 14.25% Selic rate fuels carry trades, but new 25% US tariffs and Middle East tensions cap the Brazilian real's appreciation potential.

USD BRL Hits Two-Week High Ahead of Fed and Inflation Data
CurrenciesJul 28

USD BRL Hits Two-Week High Ahead of Fed and Inflation Data

The Brazilian real fell to a two-week low against the US dollar as commodity shocks and hawkish Fed expectations pressure emerging market assets.

BRL Carry Trade Faces Headwinds as Dollar Nears R$5.28 Forecast
PROCurrenciesJul 28

BRL Carry Trade Faces Headwinds as Dollar Nears R$5.28 Forecast

The Brazilian real faces a potential 3.36% depreciation toward R$5.28, threatening the lucrative BRL carry trade despite high local Selic interest rates.

Brazil Central Bank to Start FX Swap Rollover on August 5
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazil Central Bank to Start FX Swap Rollover on August 5

The Banco Central do Brasil will begin rolling over currency swap contracts maturing on September 1, 2026, to curb volatility in the USD/BRL market.

Storms Damage São Paulo Cane and Soy; Abag Warns of Supply Impact
AgroJul 28

Storms Damage São Paulo Cane and Soy; Abag Warns of Supply Impact

Severe storms in São Paulo and heavy rains in Rio Grande do Sul spark supply concerns, impacting sugar and corn futures as Abag calls for urgent infrastructure investments.

Narrowing Selic-Fed Spread Limits BRL Carry Trade Appeal
CurrenciesJul 28

Narrowing Selic-Fed Spread Limits BRL Carry Trade Appeal

As Brazil's Copom cuts the Selic rate to 14.25% and the Fed remains restrictive, Rabobank targets a weaker USD/BRL of 5.35 by end-2026.

Lula Reform Bills Delayed Until Post-Election Amid Senate Gridlock
PoliticsJul 28

Lula Reform Bills Delayed Until Post-Election Amid Senate Gridlock

The Lula administration faces legislative delays on key bills, including the PEC 6x1, as Senate gridlock and election campaigns stall the congressional agenda.

Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Reforms
PROPoliticsJul 28

Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Reforms

Support for Lula's agenda in the Senate plummeted from 75% to 38.5%, elevating political risk and threatening fiscal reforms.

Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Agenda
PoliticsJul 28

Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Agenda

President Lula's Senate support fell from 75% to 38.5%, raising political risks for Brazil's fiscal reforms and weighing on the Ibovespa and Brazilian real.

Brazil Stock Market Today: Fiscal Risks Cloud Inflation Relief
MarketsJul 28

Brazil Stock Market Today: Fiscal Risks Cloud Inflation Relief

Brazil's Ibovespa rises despite warnings from FGV that a doubling fiscal impulse threatens the Copom rate-cut outlook, creating a mixed backdrop for EWZ.

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$ 5.11 as Global Risks Rise
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$ 5.11 as Global Risks Rise

The Brazilian real fell to R$ 5.11 against the US dollar amid a lack of support from global oil prices and cautious international market sentiment.

Brazilian Real Holds Near 5.11 Despite US Tariff Headwinds
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Holds Near 5.11 Despite US Tariff Headwinds

The Brazilian Real hovers near 5.11 as Middle East geopolitical relief offsets new 25% US tariffs ahead of the upcoming hawkish FOMC hold.

Brazilian Real Gains on Carry Trade Appeal Amid High Selic Rate
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Gains on Carry Trade Appeal Amid High Selic Rate

The Brazilian real hits a seven-week high of 5.06 per USD as investors chase lucrative carry trades driven by Brazil's restrictive 14.25% Selic rate.