Search

190 results for “Bolsonaro

Statistical Tie in Brazilian Presidential Runoff Heightens Political Risk, Weighs on Markets
PoliticsSep 17

Statistical Tie in Brazilian Presidential Runoff Heightens Political Risk, Weighs on Markets

A new AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll shows President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie for the October runoff, driving new volatility in Brazilian assets.

Unsealed Police Reports Escalate Banco Master Fraud Scandal into Brazilian Institutional Crisis
PoliticsSep 17

Unsealed Police Reports Escalate Banco Master Fraud Scandal into Brazilian Institutional Crisis

Allegations of corruption against a sitting Supreme Court Justice and a presidential candidate intensify the fallout from the November 2025 Banco Master liquidation.

Judicial Order on ‘Master Case’ Documents Spikes Brazilian Real’s Political Risk
CurrenciesSep 17

Judicial Order on ‘Master Case’ Documents Spikes Brazilian Real’s Political Risk

Brazil’s Supreme Court unsealed documents on Friday linking presidential candidate Senator Flávio Bolsonaro to a massive financial scandal, sending the Real lower against the US Dollar.

Trump Administration Tied Tariff Relief to Brazil’s 2026 Election Interference Veto
PoliticsSep 17

Trump Administration Tied Tariff Relief to Brazil’s 2026 Election Interference Veto

Documents show the U.S. demanded Brazil protect political dissidents—seen as an attempt to intervene for ineligible former President Bolsonaro—to lift 50% tariffs in late 2025.

Brazil Electoral Court Bans Use of Bolsonaro’s Image Suggesting Current Campaign Support
PoliticsSep 16

Brazil Electoral Court Bans Use of Bolsonaro’s Image Suggesting Current Campaign Support

The Superior Electoral Court issued a preliminary injunction prohibiting the use of Jair Bolsonaro's image on campaign flyers that imply his active political endorsement.

Banking Scandal Triggers Judicial War, Reshaping Brazil's 2026 Presidential Race
PROPoliticsSep 16

Banking Scandal Triggers Judicial War, Reshaping Brazil's 2026 Presidential Race

A massive banking fraud investigation has metastasized into an unprecedented feud between Supreme Court justices, directly impacting the tight race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.

Statistical Tie Between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Drives Brazilian Market Rally
PoliticsSep 16

Statistical Tie Between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Drives Brazilian Market Rally

A statistical tie in recent polls between incumbent Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro has fueled optimism in Brazilian markets, which are anticipating a shift toward stricter fiscal policy.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Final Selic Cut as Political Tensions Complicate Real’s Outlook
InvestingSep 15

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Final Selic Cut as Political Tensions Complicate Real’s Outlook

Copom is expected to cut the Selic rate to 13.75% as inflation slows, but a tightening election race against a fiscally conservative candidate is strengthening the Brazilian Real.

Institutional Conflict Over Supreme Court Justice Deepens Brazil’s 2026 Election Polarization
MarketsSep 15

Institutional Conflict Over Supreme Court Justice Deepens Brazil’s 2026 Election Polarization

Brazil's presidential race is heating up as a Supreme Court scandal involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes fuels polarization ahead of the October election.

Lula’s Runoff Lead Over Bolsonaro Narrows to 7.3 Points Weeks Before Brazil Election
PoliticsSep 15

Lula’s Runoff Lead Over Bolsonaro Narrows to 7.3 Points Weeks Before Brazil Election

A new CNT/MDA poll shows President Lula's lead over challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tightening, indicating a highly contested final stretch before the October election.

New Brazil Poll Shows Flávio Bolsonaro Edging Ahead of Lula in Runoff Scenario
PROPoliticsSep 15

New Brazil Poll Shows Flávio Bolsonaro Edging Ahead of Lula in Runoff Scenario

The latest Quaest poll shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro numerically leading President Lula in a second-round simulation, highlighting the tightening Brazil election race.

Broad Coalition Warns Presidential Candidates Against Undermining Brazil’s Dual IVA Tax Reform
PROPoliticsSep 15

Broad Coalition Warns Presidential Candidates Against Undermining Brazil’s Dual IVA Tax Reform

A manifesto signed by 98 prominent Brazilian figures, including top economists and businessmen, has warned 2026 presidential candidates against revoking the new Dual IVA tax, citing fears of massive legal uncertainty.

Flávio Bolsonaro Economists Propose 'Fiscal Shock' to End Brazil’s 'Public Spending Alcoholism'
PROPoliticsSep 15

Flávio Bolsonaro Economists Propose 'Fiscal Shock' to End Brazil’s 'Public Spending Alcoholism'

Economists for Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign unveiled a radical austerity plan for 2027, including a 'self-containment' pact to cut the country’s high debt premium.

Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Race Brings Back Political Risk Premium to the Real
CurrenciesSep 15

Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Race Brings Back Political Risk Premium to the Real

The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after new polls showed incumbent President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, reintroducing a political risk premium to the currency.

‘Phantom’ Treasurer Allegedly Moved R$83 Million for Bolsonaro Film Ally’s NGO
PoliticsSep 14

‘Phantom’ Treasurer Allegedly Moved R$83 Million for Bolsonaro Film Ally’s NGO

Federal Police are investigating Karina da Gama, producer of the pro-Bolsonaro film ‘Dark Horse,’ after her NGO's official treasurer—an electrician—claimed he only lent his identity to the organization that handled R$83 million and received a suspended R$108 million public contract.

Brazil’s 2026 Election Presents Stark Fiscal Choice: Lula’s Revenue Push vs. Bolsonaro’s ‘Scissor Cut’
PROPoliticsSep 14

Brazil’s 2026 Election Presents Stark Fiscal Choice: Lula’s Revenue Push vs. Bolsonaro’s ‘Scissor Cut’

The 2026 Brazilian election pits incumbent Lula’s plan to fix public finances via new taxes against challenger Flávio Bolsonaro’s proposal for deep spending cuts, but analysts doubt either plan stabilizes the growing public debt.

Brazil’s Election Dead-Heat Coincides With Deepening Judicial Crisis and Agro-Energy Shocks
MarketsSep 14

Brazil’s Election Dead-Heat Coincides With Deepening Judicial Crisis and Agro-Energy Shocks

Brazil's political and economic stability is tested by a dead-heat election, a Supreme Court crisis, and major agricultural threats from El Niño.

Brazil’s Institutional Crisis Adds Regulatory Risk to Statistical Dead-Heat Election
PROPoliticsSep 14

Brazil’s Institutional Crisis Adds Regulatory Risk to Statistical Dead-Heat Election

A recent Quaest poll shows a paradoxical view on the Supreme Court crisis as Brazil’s presidential race remains a statistical tie.

Bolsonaro’s Son Takes First Numerical Lead Over Lula in New Brazil Election Poll
PROPoliticsSep 14

Bolsonaro’s Son Takes First Numerical Lead Over Lula in New Brazil Election Poll

The latest Quaest poll shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% to 40% in a hypothetical runoff, signaling a sharp increase in electoral risk ahead of the October vote.

Brazil Supreme Court Crisis Deepens as Justices Clash Over Moraes's Links to Banco Master Scandal
PROPoliticsSep 14

Brazil Supreme Court Crisis Deepens as Justices Clash Over Moraes's Links to Banco Master Scandal

Open conflict at the STF escalates as the court prepares to analyze a potential investigation into Justice Alexandre de Moraes over his family's links to the R$12 billion Banco Master fraud.

Brazilian Real Defies Strong Dollar as 'Electoral Trade' Prices Political Shift
PROCurrenciesSep 14

Brazilian Real Defies Strong Dollar as 'Electoral Trade' Prices Political Shift

The Brazilian Real has decoupled from global currency weakness, driven by investors betting on a tight 2026 election that could force a key fiscal adjustment.

Brazil Real Hits R$5.16 as Deepening Political Instability Fuels Investor Anxiety
MarketsSep 14

Brazil Real Hits R$5.16 as Deepening Political Instability Fuels Investor Anxiety

Heightened political uncertainty surrounding the presidential election and a crisis at the Supreme Court pushed the Brazilian Real to R$5.16 against the US Dollar on Monday.

Internal Resistance From Top Brass Defused Bolsonaro’s 2022 Coup Plot, Police Records Show
PROPoliticsSep 13

Internal Resistance From Top Brass Defused Bolsonaro’s 2022 Coup Plot, Police Records Show

Accounts from former commanders of the Brazilian Armed Forces reveal key resistance that stopped Jair Bolsonaro's alleged plan to overturn the 2022 election.

STF Justice Dino Lifts Secrecy on Graft Probe, Alleges Bolsonaro Biopic Funding Link to Federal Deputy Frias and PCC
PROMarketsSep 13

STF Justice Dino Lifts Secrecy on Graft Probe, Alleges Bolsonaro Biopic Funding Link to Federal Deputy Frias and PCC

Brazil's Supreme Court Justice Flávio Dino released documents alleging a R$2 million graft scheme involving federal deputy Mário Frias, public funds, and a potential link to the PCC crime faction.

Supreme Court Crisis Fuels Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surge Over Lula in Brazil Presidential Race
PoliticsSep 13

Supreme Court Crisis Fuels Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surge Over Lula in Brazil Presidential Race

An unprecedented institutional crisis in Brazil’s Supreme Court involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes has driven challenger Flávio Bolsonaro into the lead in presidential prediction markets.

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
PROPoliticsSep 13

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates

Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.

Brazil Supreme Court Justice Lifts Secrecy on Mário Frias Probe, Citing Possible PCC Link
PoliticsSep 13

Brazil Supreme Court Justice Lifts Secrecy on Mário Frias Probe, Citing Possible PCC Link

STF Justice Flávio Dino lifted the seal on a corruption probe targeting Bolsonaro ally and federal deputy Mário Frias over alleged diversion of public funds and a possible connection to the PCC organized crime faction.

US Tariffs on Brazilian Wood Fuel Political Firestorm Ahead of Presidential Vote
PoliticsSep 13

US Tariffs on Brazilian Wood Fuel Political Firestorm Ahead of Presidential Vote

New 25% US tariffs on a range of Brazilian goods, including wood products, ignite a trade war and trigger a political blame game involving Lula and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro.

Political Risk Skyrockets as Outsider Augusto Cury Enters Statistical Tie with Lula and Bolsonaro
PROMarketsSep 13

Political Risk Skyrockets as Outsider Augusto Cury Enters Statistical Tie with Lula and Bolsonaro

A Datafolha poll showing best-selling author Augusto Cury in a statistical tie with President Lula introduces significant political uncertainty into Brazil's election.

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt
PoliticsSep 13

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt

The election platforms of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro offer vague solutions to Brazil's surging public debt, raising fears of post-election austerity.