Search
34 results for “political uncertainty”
Political Uncertainty in Brazil Election Threatens R$6.7 Billion Amazon Fund and EU Agribusiness Access
The October 2026 Brazil election poses a critical risk to national climate commitments and R$6.7 billion in the Amazon Fund, jeopardizing EU market access for Brazilian agribusiness.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Statistical Tie for 2026 Brazil Presidential Election
Recent Datafolha and BTG/Nexus polls confirm a statistical tie between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, raising political uncertainty ahead of the October vote.
Supreme Court Crisis Amplifies Election Risk as Dino Delays Decision on Moraes Probe
A request for review by Brazil Supreme Court Minister Flávio Dino has paused a key investigation into colleague Alexandre de Moraes, delaying a decision until after the October presidential election.
Brazil Real Hits R$5.16 as Deepening Political Instability Fuels Investor Anxiety
Heightened political uncertainty surrounding the presidential election and a crisis at the Supreme Court pushed the Brazilian Real to R$5.16 against the US Dollar on Monday.
Political Risk Skyrockets as Outsider Augusto Cury Enters Statistical Tie with Lula and Bolsonaro
A Datafolha poll showing best-selling author Augusto Cury in a statistical tie with President Lula introduces significant political uncertainty into Brazil's election.
Public Clash Between Top Justices Deepens Brazil Constitutional Crisis, Elevating Political Risk
A public dispute between Supreme Court Justices Alexandre de Moraes and André Mendonça over a banking probe has intensified an institutional crisis, fueling political uncertainty ahead of the October elections.
New Datafolha Poll Confirms Technical Tie Between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil Presidential Race
A new Datafolha poll shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are in a statistical tie for Brazil's October presidential election, signaling high political uncertainty.
Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Polls Drives Market Volatility Ahead of October Election
A new AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll shows President Lula da Silva and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, re-pricing political risk in Brazil.
Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election
New Quaest poll shows Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a 41%-41% tie for the second round, guaranteeing a volatile runoff.
Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro in Statistical Tie for Brazil Presidential Election Runoff
New Quaest poll shows Lula 42% and Flávio Bolsonaro 41% in 2026 runoff, signaling peak political uncertainty for the October vote.
Brazil’s Country Risk Hits Lowest Level of Lula Term, Challenging Political Uncertainty Narrative
Brazil’s 5-year Credit Default Swap, a key measure of sovereign risk, fell to its lowest point since February 2020.
Political Risk Hits Brazil: Foreign Investors Pull R$18 Billion Amid Election Volatility
Foreign investors withdrew R$18.11 billion from Brazil’s B3 stock exchange in August, pricing in political uncertainty ahead of the 2026 election.
Lula Approval Slips to 45% as Tight Race with Flávio Bolsonaro Confirms High Political Uncertainty
New Datafolha poll shows President Lula's government disapproval hitting 51%, while his likely 2026 election runoff against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro remains a technical tie.
Record Capital Flight Signals Foreign Investors Repricing Brazil Election Risk
Foreign investors withdrew R$18.1 billion from Brazil's B3 stock exchange in early August, the largest outflow since 2008, driven by fiscal and political uncertainty.
Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Debt Fears Trigger Record Foreign Capital Flight From Brazil
Foreign investors pulled R$15.6 billion from the B3 stock exchange in August, signaling sharp anxiety over Brazil’s rising public debt and the looming 2026 election.
Election Risk Prompts Hedge Funds to Unwind Profitable Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Global asset managers are cutting exposure to the Brazilian Real and local bonds as political uncertainty heightens ahead of the 2026 election.
Tight Poll Confirms High Political Uncertainty as Brazil’s General Election Campaign Begins
The official campaign start for the 2026 Brazilian General Election reveals a high-stakes, technically tied race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.
Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Fears Drive Brazilian Real to R$5.22, Outpacing Emerging Market Peers
The Brazilian Real's recent slide against the dollar is driven by a growing political risk premium ahead of the 2026 election and fiscal uncertainty.
Political Risk Keeps Brazilian Stock Index Lagging Emerging Market Peers Ahead of October Election
Political uncertainty around Brazil's tight presidential race is causing investors to pull back, driving the Ibovespa to underperform other emerging markets.
Brazil’s Real Hits Four-Month Low as Political Uncertainty Fuels Fiscal Risk Premium
The Brazilian Real has fallen to R$5.223 against the U.S. dollar, its weakest level in four months, driven by fiscal and political uncertainty ahead of the general election.
Political Uncertainty and JPMorgan Downgrade Push Brazilian Real Past R$5.20 Mark
Investor caution over Brazil’s fiscal outlook and tightening presidential election polls is fueling currency volatility.
Fiscal Fears and Election Jitters Push Brazilian Real to Lag Latin American Rivals
Investor anxiety over Brazil’s fiscal health and political uncertainty is driving the Real to underperform regional currencies.
Global Managers Pare Brazilian Real Exposure as October Election Risk Mounts
Political uncertainty ahead of Brazil’s October presidential election is driving a flight from the Real, pushing the currency to its weakest point in months.
Political Uncertainty Triggers R$20 Billion Foreign Capital Exodus from Brazilian Equities
International investors pulled R$20 billion from the Brazilian stock market in Q2 as 2026 election risk mounts.
Brazil’s Central Bank Doubles Gold Reserves to Shield Economy from Global Uncertainty
The Central Bank of Brazil significantly increased its gold holdings in 2025, nearly doubling the metal's share in its international reserves as a buffer against geopolitical risk.
Presidential Candidate Caiado Promises Amnesty for Jan 8 Convicts, Raising Brazil’s Institutional Risk
PSD candidate Ronaldo Caiado's pledge to grant amnesty to January 8 convicts introduces major political uncertainty.
Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks
Rabobank forecasts the USD/BRL exchange rate to hit R$5.55 by end-2026, anticipating a 9.0% depreciation driven by fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty.
Lula’s Lead Narrows to 5 Points Against Flávio Bolsonaro in Latest Quaest Poll, Upping Brazil Political Uncertainty
A new Genial/Quaest poll shows President Lula’s lead tightening against Flávio Bolsonaro, a movement that increases political risk and market volatility ahead of the election.
Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount
A sharp drop in crude oil prices combined with renewed political uncertainty pushed the BRL to its weakest close since mid-July.