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Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election

The race for the Brazilian presidency is a statistical dead heat, with incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and his main challenger, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, locked in a 41%-41% tie in a simulated second-round runoff, according to a Quaest poll released on Monday. The numerical tie confirms the high degree of political uncertainty facing Brazil's October election and guarantees a highly volatile final stretch for the country’s economy and its currency.
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