Homechevron_rightMarketschevron_rightLula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election
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Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election

M
Marcus Wright
Sep 7, 2026, 11:22 PM
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41% in Second-Round Poll, Confirming High Uncertainty for Brazil Election
Illustration — BRZ.news

The race for the Brazilian presidency is a statistical dead heat, with incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and his main challenger, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, locked in a 41%-41% tie in a simulated second-round runoff, according to a Quaest poll released on Monday. The numerical tie confirms the high degree of political uncertainty facing Brazil's October election and guarantees a highly volatile final stretch for the country’s economy and its currency.

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