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118 results for “political risk”
Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies
The Brazilian Real was the worst-performing liquid currency against the dollar as US sanctions threats amplified political risk.
Lula’s Record Veto Rejections Force Executive to STF, Heightening Brazil Political Risk
President Lula's record defeat rate on vetoes in Congress forces a systematic turn to the STF, increasing regulatory uncertainty for investors.
Brazil’s WAICO Alignment with China Signals Tech Friction, Regulatory Risk for US AI Firms
Brazil joining the China-led WAICO for AI governance introduces a new layer of geopolitical risk for US-based tech companies in the growing Brazilian market.
BRL Rally Reverses on Geopolitical Jitters as Dovish Fed Outlook Fades
The Brazilian Real's nearly 1% gain against the U.S. Dollar is already retreating, vulnerable to Middle East tensions and a hawkish Fed repricing.
Lula's 49% Disapproval Rating Confirms Political Risk, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Reforms
President Lula's persistent high disapproval rating signals increased risk of legislative gridlock, threatening the passage of crucial fiscal reforms and weighing on the Brazilian Real.
Brazil Formally Challenges US Section 301 Tariffs at WTO, Raising Political Risk for Exporters
Brasília initiated a WTO dispute against new US 25% and 12.5% tariffs, escalating trade tensions with its second-largest partner.
Trump Renews National Emergency Against Brazil, Extending IEEPA Sanctions Threat Until 2027
The US extended its 'national emergency' on Brazil, maintaining the legal power (IEEPA) to impose sanctions and raising geopolitical risk for the Brazilian Real and US-exposed firms.
Lula Approval Hits Near-Even Split at 47%/49%, Deep Regional Divide Signals Political Stalemate
New Nexus/BTG Pactual poll shows a deadlocked national approval/disapproval of the Lula government, reinforcing investor concerns over reform.
Wheat Prices Top $7 Amid Geopolitical Risks and Slow Brazil Trade
CME wheat futures surpassed $7 per bushel on geopolitical and weather risks, presenting hedging opportunities as domestic Brazil agribusiness trading remains slow.
Wheat Surpasses $7 on Geopolitical Risks; Brazil Cautious
Global wheat prices surge past $7 per bushel on Black Sea tensions, while Brazil's domestic market remains cautious despite a projected import spike.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in 2026 Rio Presidential Poll
A new RealTime Big Data poll in Rio de Janeiro shows a tight 2026 race between President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, boosting political risk for Brazilian assets.
Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Reforms
Support for Lula's agenda in the Senate plummeted from 75% to 38.5%, elevating political risk and threatening fiscal reforms.
Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Agenda
President Lula's Senate support fell from 75% to 38.5%, raising political risks for Brazil's fiscal reforms and weighing on the Ibovespa and Brazilian real.
Tight Lula-Bolsonaro 2026 Polls Cement Brazil's Prolonged Political Risk Premium
New July polls show President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a technical tie for the 2026 race, sustaining high political uncertainty.
Bolsonaro Son Flávio Testifies in Lula Slander Probe, Raising Brazil Political Risk
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro testified before the Federal Police today in a high-stakes calumny inquiry against President Lula, escalating political risk ahead of the 2026 election.
Bolsonaro Camp Leads Lula in Highly Polarized Rio de Janeiro Poll, Signaling Persistent Political Risk
A Quaest/Genial poll in Rio de Janeiro shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 38% to Lula’s 35% in a run-off, highlighting deep political division.
Net Negative Lula Approval Rating Heightens Risk to Brazil Fiscal Framework, Weighing on IBOV
President Lula's disapproval reached 49% against 47% approval in the latest BTG/Nexus poll, indicating political headwinds for crucial fiscal reform.
Lula Disapproval Hits 49% in BTG/Nexus Poll, Tightening Race Elevates Fiscal Reform Risk
New poll showing 49% disapproval for Lula and a technical tie against Flávio Bolsonaro heightens political risk for fiscal measures.
New US Tariffs, Geopolitical Stress Keep Brazilian Real Volatile Near R$5.09 Against Dollar
The Brazilian Real remains sensitive to external shocks after US tariffs on imports hit, while wider geopolitical risk underpins US Dollar demand.
Stable Leads for Paes, Moro in Key State Polls Signal Lower Regional Political Risk
Genial/Quaest polls show Eduardo Paes and Sergio Moro with large leads in Rio de Janeiro and Paraná, signaling regional political stability.
Moro’s Dominance in Paraná Poll Escalates Political Risk Ahead of 2026 Presidential Cycle
Strong polling for Senator Sergio Moro in Paraná's gubernatorial race signals persistent national political polarization, a key driver of volatility for USD/BRL and Ibovespa.
Geopolitical Risk in Middle East Solidifies USD Safe-Haven Status, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
Escalating US-Iran tensions have strengthened the US Dollar by fueling global inflation concerns and shifting the Federal Reserve's rate outlook.
Moro's Strong Paraná Gubernatorial Lead Signals Stability for Privatized Copel (CPLE6)
Senator Sergio Moro's 21-point lead in the Paraná governor race reduces political risk for the state, ensuring continuity for its largest former SOE, Copel.
Brazilian Real Holds R$5.08 Pivot Amid Geopolitical De-Escalation, Highlighting Exporter Revenue Structure
USD/BRL stability near R$5.08 persists despite geopolitical risk unwinding, drawing attention to dollar-earning Brazilian firms.
XP Adds Ecorodovias (ECOR3) to Small Cap Portfolio, Citing Mitigated Geopolitical Risk on Capex
Analysts argue Ecorodovias is mispriced as market overweights geopolitical risk to CapEx, ignoring regulatory buffers.
Dino Freezes Eduardo Cunha Assets in Secret Budget Probe
STF Justice Flávio Dino froze R$ 6.1 million in assets of former Speaker Eduardo Cunha, fueling political noise that could stall economic reforms in Congress.
Tariff Threats and Electoral Polls Loom as Bearish Triggers for Real
Emerging political risks and a proposed 25% U.S. tariff surcharge threaten to reverse the Brazilian real's recent gains despite strong current inflows.
Strait of Hormuz Tanker Attack and U.S. Retaliation Raise Oil Supply Concerns
U.S. retaliatory strikes in Iran following a drone attack on the oil tanker M/T Kiku have heightened geopolitical risks and oil supply concerns.