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203 results for “selic rate”
Brazil’s Small-Cap Discount Nears Record High as High Rates and Political Risk Bite
The valuation gap between Brazilian small-cap and large-cap stocks is near a historical high, reflecting severe investor aversion to local political and interest-rate uncertainty.
Brazil’s Central Bank Set for Selic Cut, but Caution on Inflation Clouds Long-Term Bond Outlook
Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the benchmark Selic interest rate to 13.75%, but its forward guidance will be scrutinized for signals on future cuts given long-term inflation concerns.
Brazil’s Real Estate Funds Hit 3.3 Million Investors on B3 Despite High Interest Rates
Brazilian Real Estate Investment Funds (FIIs) reached a record 3.3 million investors in July 2026, driven by retail demand for income and foreign capital flows, defying the country's high Selic rate environment.
Global Squeeze: 5% US Treasury Yields Constrain Brazil’s Central Bank and Pressure the Real
The rise in the benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield above 5% is raising borrowing costs for Brazil and complicating the Central Bank's path for cutting the Selic rate.
Statistical Tie in Brazil Presidential Race Brings Back Political Risk Premium to the Real
The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after new polls showed incumbent President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie, reintroducing a political risk premium to the currency.
Local Optimism Drives Brazil Small Cap Rally, Colliding with Institutional Caution on High Rates
Brazilian investors are powering a small-cap stock rally on election-fueled optimism for lower interest rates, creating a divergence with foreign institutional caution over the sustained high Selic rate.
Brazil’s Finance Minister Ties 2027 Rate Cuts Directly to Fiscal Discipline
Finance Minister Dario Durigan committed the government to a primary surplus in 2027, arguing the fiscal effort is essential for lower interest rates.
Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.
Brazil Banks Warn: Fiscal Plan Essential Post-Election to Avoid 20% Rates
Investment banks warn that Brazil's next president must deliver a strict budget plan to prevent interest rates from soaring to 20% amid rising debt.
Post-Election Fiscal Void Puts Brazil's Economy on Knife’s Edge
Major investment banks warn that the next government’s fiscal plan will determine if Brazil’s Selic rate soars or if the Ibovespa sees a massive rally.
Brazil Registers Largest Deflation in Four Years, Cementing Central Bank's Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index, the IPCA, fell 0.32% in August, the first deflation of the year, driven by a temporary 'Itaipu Bonus' on electricity bills.
Brazil's Deflationary Surprise Was a Power Credit Mirage, Testing Central Bank’s Resolve on Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index dropped 0.32% in August, the largest deflation in four years, but the figure was nearly all due to a one-off power bill credit.
Massive Dollar Outflow Complicates Brazil Central Bank’s Plan for Selic Rate Cuts
Brazil saw a net outflow of $7.511 billion in dollars in the first week of September, threatening to fuel inflation and stall the rate-cutting cycle.
Brazil’s Small-Cap Stocks Rally on Rate-Cut Optimism, But Political Risk Looms
Domestically-focused Brazilian small-cap stocks are seeing a new rally as inflation eases, but the political outlook threatens the interest rate cuts driving the gains.
High Selic Rate Drives Double-Digit Dividend Yields for Brazil Real Estate Funds (FIIs)
Brazil's high Selic rate and mandatory payout laws compel Real Estate Investment Trusts (FIIs) to distribute large dividends, a structural market effect.
Oil at Six-Week High Piles Pressure on Petrobras Fuel Pricing Policy, Raising Brazil Inflation Risk
Brent crude nears $98 on US-Iran tensions, forcing Brazil's Petrobras to weigh domestic price stability against market costs.
Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.
Brazil’s Fiscal Debt Structure Raises Post-Election Exchange Rate Risk, UBS Says
Wealth manager UBS warns Brazil's large Selic-linked debt makes the Real more vulnerable to a post-election fiscal surprise.
Brazil’s Economic Slowdown Hits Early, Putting Lula’s Re-election Narrative Under Pressure
Sharp deceleration in Brazil's Q2 GDP, driven by a drop in household spending, heightens fiscal risk and pressure on the Central Bank.
Supply Squeeze Pushes Brazilian Rents Above Official Inflation Rate
Residential rents in Brazil's major cities are surging faster than inflation, driven by high interest rates and a lack of housing supply.
Brazil real estate investors mature but grow wary of political risk
A joint study by Brain, Clube FII, and Tree shows seasoned retail investors now dominate Brazil's real estate funds, but political anxiety is rising.
Brazil Real Estate Funds Defy High Interest Rates as Veterans Dominate
Experienced retail investors now make up 60% of Brazil's real estate fund market, prioritizing tax-free monthly dividends despite high interest rates.
Fiscal Risk and Election Uncertainty Push Brazilian Real, Analysts Warn of R$6.00 USD/BRL Scenario
Brazil's currency is weakening as financial institutions warn a lack of post-election fiscal reform could send the USD/BRL to R$6.00.
Brazil's Institutions Push Major Shifts: Tech 'Safe Harbor' Ends as Lula Stakes Claim on Economic Sovereignty
Brazil's Supreme Court removes the tech platform liability shield, while Congress finalizes consumer-friendly e-commerce tax rules.
Small Cap Rally Signals Market Bets on Accelerated Selic Rate Cuts in Brazil
The Brazil Small Cap Index (SMLL) jumped over 4% in early September as investors rotate into domestic cyclicals on expectations of a faster Selic rate easing cycle.
Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment
Presidential candidates' vague economic plans increase sovereign risk, forcing the Central Bank to hold Brazil’s Selic rate high.
Brazil’s Biggest Fiscal Threat is a Slow Deterioration, Not a Sudden Crisis
Brazil’s failure to contain spending, projecting a R$59.1 billion primary deficit for 2026, poses the biggest risk to the economy.
Election Risk Trumps Yield: Global Funds Unwind Favored Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Institutional investors are moving away from the Brazilian Real after major banks downgraded assets, pricing in a high 'electoral risk premium' over fiscal uncertainty.
Fiscal Strain Pushes Brazil’s Real Bond Yields to Unsustainable Highs Ahead of Election
Brazil's real interest rates on long-term government bonds have surpassed 8%, driven by deep market concern over fiscal stability.
Brazil’s World-Beating Real Rate Anchors the Real as Carry Trade Capital Flows In
Foreign capital inflows attracted by the world’s second-highest real interest rate are stabilizing the Brazilian Real amid global volatility.