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39 results for “public debt

Brazil’s Election Defined by Stark Fiscal Divide Over High Debt and 13.75% Interest Rate
PROPolitics3h ago

Brazil’s Election Defined by Stark Fiscal Divide Over High Debt and 13.75% Interest Rate

The 2026 Brazilian presidential election pits the incumbent's pro-growth fiscal framework against the opposition's call for aggressive spending cuts to tackle high public debt.

Brazil’s Political Divide Crystallizes Around Lula’s Fiscal Rule Versus Debt-Ceiling Alternative
Politics4h ago

Brazil’s Political Divide Crystallizes Around Lula’s Fiscal Rule Versus Debt-Ceiling Alternative

The national debate over Brazil's economic future pits President Lula's revenue-linked spending rule against a conservative proposal for an automatic debt-to-GDP spending ceiling.

Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending
PoliticsSep 21

Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending

Leading presidential challenger Flávio Bolsonaro proposes a radical new fiscal rule tying spending caps to Brazil's high public debt.

Lula’s R$200 Billion Stimulus Falls Short, Escalating Clash with Brazil Central Bank
PROPoliticsSep 18

Lula’s R$200 Billion Stimulus Falls Short, Escalating Clash with Brazil Central Bank

An election-year economic stimulus package by President Lula’s government had a lower-than-expected impact, while parallel off-budget spending pressures the Central Bank to hold the Selic rate high.

Brazil’s 2026 Election Presents Stark Fiscal Choice: Lula’s Revenue Push vs. Bolsonaro’s ‘Scissor Cut’
PROPoliticsSep 14

Brazil’s 2026 Election Presents Stark Fiscal Choice: Lula’s Revenue Push vs. Bolsonaro’s ‘Scissor Cut’

The 2026 Brazilian election pits incumbent Lula’s plan to fix public finances via new taxes against challenger Flávio Bolsonaro’s proposal for deep spending cuts, but analysts doubt either plan stabilizes the growing public debt.

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
PROPoliticsSep 13

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates

Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt
PoliticsSep 13

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt

The election platforms of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro offer vague solutions to Brazil's surging public debt, raising fears of post-election austerity.

Lula Labels Fiscal Surplus 'Nonsense,' Undermining Brazil's Budget Credibility
MarketsSep 12

Lula Labels Fiscal Surplus 'Nonsense,' Undermining Brazil's Budget Credibility

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva publicly dismissed fiscal surplus goals, rattling policy certainty and fueling concerns over increased public spending in Brazil.

Brazil’s Election Focuses on Divergent Paths to Fiscal Stability Amid Rising Public Debt
PROPoliticsSep 10

Brazil’s Election Focuses on Divergent Paths to Fiscal Stability Amid Rising Public Debt

The 2026 Brazilian presidential race centers on sharply contrasting fiscal proposals to manage rising public debt and federal spending.

Brazil’s Fiscal Reckoning: Post-Election Adjustment Looms as Debt Debate is Deferred
PoliticsSep 10

Brazil’s Fiscal Reckoning: Post-Election Adjustment Looms as Debt Debate is Deferred

A painful fiscal correction is inevitable for the next Brazilian president, driving up the country's risk premium as the debate is shelved until after the October election.

Brazil’s Soaring Public Debt at 82.5% of GDP Puts Fiscal Plans at Center of 2026 Election
PROPoliticsSep 08

Brazil’s Soaring Public Debt at 82.5% of GDP Puts Fiscal Plans at Center of 2026 Election

Brazil's public debt-to-GDP ratio has reached 82.5%, forcing presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro to offer deeply divergent paths.

Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
InvestingSep 07

Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote

A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.

Brazil’s Fiscal Debt Structure Raises Post-Election Exchange Rate Risk, UBS Says
PROInvestingSep 07

Brazil’s Fiscal Debt Structure Raises Post-Election Exchange Rate Risk, UBS Says

Wealth manager UBS warns Brazil's large Selic-linked debt makes the Real more vulnerable to a post-election fiscal surprise.

Fiscal Slippage: Brazil's Government Excludes Billions in Payments from New Spending Cap
PROMarketsSep 07

Fiscal Slippage: Brazil's Government Excludes Billions in Payments from New Spending Cap

Brazil's fiscal anchor is under pressure as the government excludes tens of billions of reais in payments from the new spending framework, raising country risk.

Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election
CurrenciesSep 07

Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election

High-yielding Brazilian Real is struggling to keep pace with its interest rate differential as investors price in fiscal uncertainty before the October election.

Brazil Projects Record Revenue for 2026, But Debt Load and New Taxes Undercut Fiscal Stability
PROPoliticsSep 06

Brazil Projects Record Revenue for 2026, But Debt Load and New Taxes Undercut Fiscal Stability

Brazil forecasts a record R$ 3.24 trillion revenue for 2026, though rising debt and new taxes temper optimism.

Brazil’s Presidential Race Hinges on Contrasting, Criticized Fiscal Plans
PoliticsSep 06

Brazil’s Presidential Race Hinges on Contrasting, Criticized Fiscal Plans

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro offer starkly different fiscal strategies to tackle Brazil's rising public debt, but neither plan satisfies economists.

Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment
PoliticsSep 03

Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment

Presidential candidates' vague economic plans increase sovereign risk, forcing the Central Bank to hold Brazil’s Selic rate high.

Brazil’s Biggest Fiscal Threat is a Slow Deterioration, Not a Sudden Crisis
MarketsAug 23

Brazil’s Biggest Fiscal Threat is a Slow Deterioration, Not a Sudden Crisis

Brazil’s failure to contain spending, projecting a R$59.1 billion primary deficit for 2026, poses the biggest risk to the economy.

PROMarketsAug 23

Brazil’s Fiscal Framework Credibility Erodes as Real Deficit Threatens Public Debt Stability

Brazil's New Fiscal Framework is undermined by rising deficits and spending 'exceptions,' jeopardizing debt stabilization and sustaining a high country risk.

Brazil’s Commitment to Minimum Wage Pension Peg Solidifies Structural Fiscal Strain
PROMarketsAug 21

Brazil’s Commitment to Minimum Wage Pension Peg Solidifies Structural Fiscal Strain

Finance Minister Dario Durigan affirmed the government will not delink INSS pensions from minimum wage, ensuring long-term mandatory spending growth.

PROPoliticsAug 21

Fiscal Strain Pushes Brazil’s Real Bond Yields to Unsustainable Highs Ahead of Election

Brazil's real interest rates on long-term government bonds have surpassed 8%, driven by deep market concern over fiscal stability.

Brazil Finance Minister Courts Critics to Bolster Fiscal Credibility Amid Policy Vacuum
PoliticsAug 20

Brazil Finance Minister Courts Critics to Bolster Fiscal Credibility Amid Policy Vacuum

Finance Minister Dario Durigan is meeting with critics like Armínio Fraga in a political push to calm market fears over Brazil’s public debt.

Fiscal Showdown Defines Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race as Debt Hits Critical Level
PROPoliticsAug 20

Fiscal Showdown Defines Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race as Debt Hits Critical Level

Brazil's presidential election pits Lula's spending continuity against a debt-linked cap from the opposition, with public debt at 81.9% of GDP.

Lula Campaign Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Combat Brazil’s High Interest Rates
PROMarketsAug 20

Lula Campaign Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Combat Brazil’s High Interest Rates

Finance Minister Dario Durigan commits a future Lula administration to a 2% of GDP fiscal effort to lower the 14.00% Selic rate and stabilize public debt.

Brazil Finance Minister Acknowledges Market Debt Fears are 'Justified' Amid Capital Flight
PoliticsAug 19

Brazil Finance Minister Acknowledges Market Debt Fears are 'Justified' Amid Capital Flight

Finance Minister Dario Durigan said market concerns over Brazil's rising public debt and mandatory spending are 'justified,' validating investor caution.

Brazil Treasury Signals Marginal Rise in Foreign Currency Debt Target to 7%
PROCurrenciesAug 19

Brazil Treasury Signals Marginal Rise in Foreign Currency Debt Target to 7%

The Brazilian National Treasury plans to increase its foreign currency-indexed debt target from 5% to 7% of the Federal Public Debt, seeking better cost management.

Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Debt Fears Trigger Record Foreign Capital Flight From Brazil
PoliticsAug 18

Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Debt Fears Trigger Record Foreign Capital Flight From Brazil

Foreign investors pulled R$15.6 billion from the B3 stock exchange in August, signaling sharp anxiety over Brazil’s rising public debt and the looming 2026 election.

Fiscal Clash: Brazil’s Election Hinges on BNDES Role and Debt-Linked Spending Cap
PoliticsAug 18

Fiscal Clash: Brazil’s Election Hinges on BNDES Role and Debt-Linked Spending Cap

Presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro present starkly different plans for Brazil's state size, BNDES, and the public debt.

Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Ex-Minister, Goldman Sachs Veteran to Economic Team in Market Push
PoliticsAug 18

Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Ex-Minister, Goldman Sachs Veteran to Economic Team in Market Push

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the main right-wing challenger, named key market figures to his team, signaling a fiscally conservative platform.