Search
39 results for “public debt”

Brazil’s Election Defined by Stark Fiscal Divide Over High Debt and 13.75% Interest Rate
The 2026 Brazilian presidential election pits the incumbent's pro-growth fiscal framework against the opposition's call for aggressive spending cuts to tackle high public debt.

Brazil’s Political Divide Crystallizes Around Lula’s Fiscal Rule Versus Debt-Ceiling Alternative
The national debate over Brazil's economic future pits President Lula's revenue-linked spending rule against a conservative proposal for an automatic debt-to-GDP spending ceiling.

Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending
Leading presidential challenger Flávio Bolsonaro proposes a radical new fiscal rule tying spending caps to Brazil's high public debt.

Lula’s R$200 Billion Stimulus Falls Short, Escalating Clash with Brazil Central Bank
An election-year economic stimulus package by President Lula’s government had a lower-than-expected impact, while parallel off-budget spending pressures the Central Bank to hold the Selic rate high.

Brazil’s 2026 Election Presents Stark Fiscal Choice: Lula’s Revenue Push vs. Bolsonaro’s ‘Scissor Cut’
The 2026 Brazilian election pits incumbent Lula’s plan to fix public finances via new taxes against challenger Flávio Bolsonaro’s proposal for deep spending cuts, but analysts doubt either plan stabilizes the growing public debt.

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt
The election platforms of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro offer vague solutions to Brazil's surging public debt, raising fears of post-election austerity.

Lula Labels Fiscal Surplus 'Nonsense,' Undermining Brazil's Budget Credibility
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva publicly dismissed fiscal surplus goals, rattling policy certainty and fueling concerns over increased public spending in Brazil.

Brazil’s Election Focuses on Divergent Paths to Fiscal Stability Amid Rising Public Debt
The 2026 Brazilian presidential race centers on sharply contrasting fiscal proposals to manage rising public debt and federal spending.

Brazil’s Fiscal Reckoning: Post-Election Adjustment Looms as Debt Debate is Deferred
A painful fiscal correction is inevitable for the next Brazilian president, driving up the country's risk premium as the debate is shelved until after the October election.

Brazil’s Soaring Public Debt at 82.5% of GDP Puts Fiscal Plans at Center of 2026 Election
Brazil's public debt-to-GDP ratio has reached 82.5%, forcing presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro to offer deeply divergent paths.

Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.

Brazil’s Fiscal Debt Structure Raises Post-Election Exchange Rate Risk, UBS Says
Wealth manager UBS warns Brazil's large Selic-linked debt makes the Real more vulnerable to a post-election fiscal surprise.

Fiscal Slippage: Brazil's Government Excludes Billions in Payments from New Spending Cap
Brazil's fiscal anchor is under pressure as the government excludes tens of billions of reais in payments from the new spending framework, raising country risk.

Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election
High-yielding Brazilian Real is struggling to keep pace with its interest rate differential as investors price in fiscal uncertainty before the October election.

Brazil Projects Record Revenue for 2026, But Debt Load and New Taxes Undercut Fiscal Stability
Brazil forecasts a record R$ 3.24 trillion revenue for 2026, though rising debt and new taxes temper optimism.

Brazil’s Presidential Race Hinges on Contrasting, Criticized Fiscal Plans
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro offer starkly different fiscal strategies to tackle Brazil's rising public debt, but neither plan satisfies economists.

Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment
Presidential candidates' vague economic plans increase sovereign risk, forcing the Central Bank to hold Brazil’s Selic rate high.

Brazil’s Biggest Fiscal Threat is a Slow Deterioration, Not a Sudden Crisis
Brazil’s failure to contain spending, projecting a R$59.1 billion primary deficit for 2026, poses the biggest risk to the economy.
Brazil’s Fiscal Framework Credibility Erodes as Real Deficit Threatens Public Debt Stability
Brazil's New Fiscal Framework is undermined by rising deficits and spending 'exceptions,' jeopardizing debt stabilization and sustaining a high country risk.

Brazil’s Commitment to Minimum Wage Pension Peg Solidifies Structural Fiscal Strain
Finance Minister Dario Durigan affirmed the government will not delink INSS pensions from minimum wage, ensuring long-term mandatory spending growth.
Fiscal Strain Pushes Brazil’s Real Bond Yields to Unsustainable Highs Ahead of Election
Brazil's real interest rates on long-term government bonds have surpassed 8%, driven by deep market concern over fiscal stability.

Brazil Finance Minister Courts Critics to Bolster Fiscal Credibility Amid Policy Vacuum
Finance Minister Dario Durigan is meeting with critics like Armínio Fraga in a political push to calm market fears over Brazil’s public debt.

Fiscal Showdown Defines Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Race as Debt Hits Critical Level
Brazil's presidential election pits Lula's spending continuity against a debt-linked cap from the opposition, with public debt at 81.9% of GDP.

Lula Campaign Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Combat Brazil’s High Interest Rates
Finance Minister Dario Durigan commits a future Lula administration to a 2% of GDP fiscal effort to lower the 14.00% Selic rate and stabilize public debt.

Brazil Finance Minister Acknowledges Market Debt Fears are 'Justified' Amid Capital Flight
Finance Minister Dario Durigan said market concerns over Brazil's rising public debt and mandatory spending are 'justified,' validating investor caution.

Brazil Treasury Signals Marginal Rise in Foreign Currency Debt Target to 7%
The Brazilian National Treasury plans to increase its foreign currency-indexed debt target from 5% to 7% of the Federal Public Debt, seeking better cost management.

Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Debt Fears Trigger Record Foreign Capital Flight From Brazil
Foreign investors pulled R$15.6 billion from the B3 stock exchange in August, signaling sharp anxiety over Brazil’s rising public debt and the looming 2026 election.

Fiscal Clash: Brazil’s Election Hinges on BNDES Role and Debt-Linked Spending Cap
Presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro present starkly different plans for Brazil's state size, BNDES, and the public debt.

Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Ex-Minister, Goldman Sachs Veteran to Economic Team in Market Push
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the main right-wing challenger, named key market figures to his team, signaling a fiscally conservative platform.