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119 results for “inflation

Treasury Shifts Funding Strategy as NTN-B Issuance Hits Decades-Worst Domestic Demand
PROMarketsJul 28

Treasury Shifts Funding Strategy as NTN-B Issuance Hits Decades-Worst Domestic Demand

Brazil's Treasury seeks a major external debt mandate shift after inflation-linked bond demand collapses due to tax arbitrage.

Brazil Real Yields Hit 20-Year High Amid Debt Auction Struggle
PROMarketsJul 28

Brazil Real Yields Hit 20-Year High Amid Debt Auction Struggle

Brazil's Treasury faces severe demand issues for inflation-linked NTN-B bonds, pushing real yields to historic highs and threatening fiscal stability.

Brazil Stock Market Today: Fiscal Risks Cloud Inflation Relief
MarketsJul 28

Brazil Stock Market Today: Fiscal Risks Cloud Inflation Relief

Brazil's Ibovespa rises despite warnings from FGV that a doubling fiscal impulse threatens the Copom rate-cut outlook, creating a mixed backdrop for EWZ.

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$ 5.11 as Global Risks Rise
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$ 5.11 as Global Risks Rise

The Brazilian real fell to R$ 5.11 against the US dollar amid a lack of support from global oil prices and cautious international market sentiment.

Brazilian Real Holds Near 5.11 Despite US Tariff Headwinds
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Holds Near 5.11 Despite US Tariff Headwinds

The Brazilian Real hovers near 5.11 as Middle East geopolitical relief offsets new 25% US tariffs ahead of the upcoming hawkish FOMC hold.

Brazilian Real Gains on Carry Trade Appeal Amid High Selic Rate
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Gains on Carry Trade Appeal Amid High Selic Rate

The Brazilian real hits a seven-week high of 5.06 per USD as investors chase lucrative carry trades driven by Brazil's restrictive 14.25% Selic rate.

Lula Congressional Support Halves, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risks
PoliticsJul 28

Lula Congressional Support Halves, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risks

Brazil's Senate support for President Lula's priority bills has plummeted to 38.5%, fueling investor concern over fiscal gridlock and USD/BRL volatility.

Brazil Files WTO Case Against US Tariffs as Trade Row Escalates
PROAgroJul 28

Brazil Files WTO Case Against US Tariffs as Trade Row Escalates

Brazil has requested WTO consultations over US Section 301 tariffs, introducing fresh risk for B3 stocks, the EWZ ETF, and the USD/BRL exchange rate.

Brazil Stock Market Today: Inflation Slowdown and Petrobras Drive Focus
MarketsJul 28

Brazil Stock Market Today: Inflation Slowdown and Petrobras Drive Focus

Lower July IPCA-15 inflation expectations and Petrobras' Q2 production report boost the Ibovespa today as investors eye potential Selic rate cuts.

Brazil Treasury Curbs NTN-B Sales as Real Rates Cross 8% on Fiscal Jitters
MarketsJul 28

Brazil Treasury Curbs NTN-B Sales as Real Rates Cross 8% on Fiscal Jitters

Weak demand for inflation-linked NTN-B bonds, driven by historic real rates, forces Brazil's Treasury to increase short-term debt risk.

Dual Shock Threatens 2027 Yields: El Niño and Fertilizer Lag Point to Brazil Food Inflation
PROAgroJul 27

Dual Shock Threatens 2027 Yields: El Niño and Fertilizer Lag Point to Brazil Food Inflation

A high-risk confluence of very strong El Niño and a critical lag in fertilizer application heightens the risk of a major supply shock for Brazil's 2026/27 crop cycle.

Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Create ‘Perfect Storm’ for Brazilian Agricultural Prices
AgroJul 27

Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Create ‘Perfect Storm’ for Brazilian Agricultural Prices

High input costs and adverse weather are severely squeezing farm margins and threatening key crop yields, signaling market volatility and pressure on food inflation.

Dual Threat: Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Pressure Brazilian Soft Commodity Outlook for 2027
PROAgroJul 27

Dual Threat: Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Pressure Brazilian Soft Commodity Outlook for 2027

Dual input supply and strong El Niño risks point to potential volatility and inflation in Brazilian coffee, rice, and corn markets in 2027.

Oil Price Plunge Fails to Buoy Ibovespa as PETR4 Drags Index Down
MarketsJul 27

Oil Price Plunge Fails to Buoy Ibovespa as PETR4 Drags Index Down

Crude prices tumble nearly 6% on US-Iran geopolitical pause, easing Brazil inflation fears; Ibovespa falls 1.52% as Petrobras stock is hit.

Geopolitical Risk in Middle East Solidifies USD Safe-Haven Status, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
CurrenciesJul 27

Geopolitical Risk in Middle East Solidifies USD Safe-Haven Status, Pushing USD/BRL Higher

Escalating US-Iran tensions have strengthened the US Dollar by fueling global inflation concerns and shifting the Federal Reserve's rate outlook.

Sticky Long-Term Inflation Keeps Selic Rate Anchored at 14% on Focus Report
MarketsJul 27

Sticky Long-Term Inflation Keeps Selic Rate Anchored at 14% on Focus Report

Market-projected 2026 Selic rate held at 14% for the fourth week, as high long-term inflation expectations persist despite a marginal 2026 IPCA drop.

Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility
PoliticsJul 24

Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility

Brazil's official candidate nomination window has opened, signaling a period of intense political polarization and fiscal uncertainty for global investors.

Brazilian Real Hits 7-Week High on Middle East Energy Carry Trade
CurrenciesJul 24

Brazilian Real Hits 7-Week High on Middle East Energy Carry Trade

The USD/BRL drops to 5.07 as escalating Middle East tensions drive global oil buyers to Brazil, boosting the Real alongside its high 14.25% Selic rate.

Lula Counterattacks US Tariffs with R$18.5B Credit Package
PROPoliticsJul 24

Lula Counterattacks US Tariffs with R$18.5B Credit Package

Brazil risks its fiscal target and inflation outlook with a new 18.5 billion reais credit package to counter 25% US tariffs, impacting B3 stocks.

Speculators Hold Heavy Net-Long Soybean Bets Amid Weather Risks
PROMarketsJul 24

Speculators Hold Heavy Net-Long Soybean Bets Amid Weather Risks

Large speculators maintain highly bullish positioning in mini soybean futures, signaling strong market conviction as critical August weather risks approach.

IMF Article IV Warns of Brazil Inflation Risks Despite Oil Cushion
MarketsJul 24

IMF Article IV Warns of Brazil Inflation Risks Despite Oil Cushion

The IMF's 2026 Article IV consultation projects 2.4% GDP growth for Brazil, but warns geopolitical tensions could push inflation to 5.6% by year-end.

New US Tariffs and Rising Fiscal Inflation Cap Brazilian Real
CurrenciesJul 23

New US Tariffs and Rising Fiscal Inflation Cap Brazilian Real

A new 25% US tariff on Brazilian imports and rising domestic inflation forecasts to 5.1% limit the Brazilian real's upside, keeping USD/BRL under pressure.

Brazil Central Bank Resolution 575 to Lower USD/BRL Hedging Costs
PROCurrenciesJul 23

Brazil Central Bank Resolution 575 to Lower USD/BRL Hedging Costs

Taking effect October 1, 2026, BCB Resolution 575 will allow multinational firms to hold USD accounts in Brazil, bypassing costly FX conversion fees.

Brazil 10-Year Bond Yields Rise Above 14.75% on Fiscal Worries
PROMarketsJul 23

Brazil 10-Year Bond Yields Rise Above 14.75% on Fiscal Worries

Brazil's 10-year government bond yield topped 14.75% in late July 2026 as rising budget deficits and energy inflation keep pressure on the central bank.

BRL Rebounds to Seven-Week High on Carry Trade Interest
CurrenciesJul 23

BRL Rebounds to Seven-Week High on Carry Trade Interest

The Brazilian real strengthened to 5.05 per USD, shrugging off new 25% US tariffs as high domestic interest rates fuel carry trade demand.

US Terrorist Designations of PCC and CV Trigger Bank Risks
PROPoliticsJul 23

US Terrorist Designations of PCC and CV Trigger Bank Risks

The U.S. designation of Brazil's PCC and CV as Foreign Terrorist Organizations exposes dollar-clearing banks to severe material-support compliance risks.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Threatening Rate Cuts
CurrenciesJul 22

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Threatening Rate Cuts

Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, exceeding the central bank's target ceiling and threatening to stall the Selic rate-cut cycle.

Lula Widens Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro Amid US Trade Dispute
PoliticsJul 21

Lula Widens Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro Amid US Trade Dispute

A July 2026 Quaest poll shows Lula leading Flavio Bolsonaro 45% to 37%, reducing political transition risks for investors in Brazil ETFs and B3 stocks.

BRL Supported by Record H1 Inflows Despite Inflation Pressures
CurrenciesJul 21

BRL Supported by Record H1 Inflows Despite Inflation Pressures

Brazil's real is cushioned by $17.78 billion in H1 foreign exchange inflows and high Selic rates, even as the 2026 inflation forecast rises to 5.1%.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring Selic and BRL
CurrenciesJul 20

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring Selic and BRL

Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.5%, signaling persistent fiscal strain and a prolonged restrictive Selic rate.