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201 results for “Currencies

US Payrolls Data Set to Test Brazilian Real Strength, USD/BRL Hovers Near R$5.10 Ahead of Key Report
PROCurrenciesAug 07

US Payrolls Data Set to Test Brazilian Real Strength, USD/BRL Hovers Near R$5.10 Ahead of Key Report

The Brazilian real is trading flat against the U.S. Dollar as markets await the US Non-Farm Payrolls report, which will dictate USD direction.

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade
PROCurrenciesAug 07

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade

Weaker-than-expected industrial production data reinforces the expectation for deeper Selic rate cuts, eroding the Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal.

Brazil’s Central Bank Deploys ‘Casadão’ FX Operation to Target Carry Trade Mechanics, Not Spot Rate
PROCurrenciesAug 07

Brazil’s Central Bank Deploys ‘Casadão’ FX Operation to Target Carry Trade Mechanics, Not Spot Rate

The Banco Central do Brasil's simultaneous FX action aims to cut the FX coupon, favoring the lucrative carry trade in the Brazilian Real while increasing hedging costs.

Hawkish Fed Outlook Looms as Dominant External Risk to Brazilian Real
CurrenciesAug 07

Hawkish Fed Outlook Looms as Dominant External Risk to Brazilian Real

A stronger U.S. Dollar driven by a hawkish Federal Reserve threatens BRL depreciation and upward pressure on local interest rate futures.

Brazil’s July FX Flow Turns Positive on Commercial Strength, Countering Real’s Political Headwinds
CurrenciesAug 06

Brazil’s July FX Flow Turns Positive on Commercial Strength, Countering Real’s Political Headwinds

Brazil logged a $1.938 billion net foreign exchange inflow in July, driven by trade, which offers a fundamental backstop to BRL volatility.

BRL Volatility Rises on US Visa Revocation, Renewing Fears of Escalating Country-Specific Risk
PROCurrenciesAug 06

BRL Volatility Rises on US Visa Revocation, Renewing Fears of Escalating Country-Specific Risk

The Brazilian Real is trading under pressure after the US revoked the visa of Brazil's Ambassador, signaling political risk.

Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa
CurrenciesAug 06

Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa

The Brazilian Real faced a sharp climb in volatility after US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated, driven by a visa revocation.

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%
PROCurrenciesAug 06

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%

Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, a move that was fully priced in, stabilizing USD/BRL.

USD/BRL Spikes to R$5.13 on Diplomatic Row as US Sanctions Fear Ramps Up Political Risk
CurrenciesAug 06

USD/BRL Spikes to R$5.13 on Diplomatic Row as US Sanctions Fear Ramps Up Political Risk

The Brazilian real sharply depreciated, hitting R$5.13 this week as a US-Brazil diplomatic row introduced a severe geopolitical risk premium.

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount
PROCurrenciesAug 05

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount

A sharp drop in crude oil prices combined with renewed political uncertainty pushed the BRL to its weakest close since mid-July.

Major Institution Forecasts Brazilian Real Depreciation to R$5.30 by 2026 Despite Current Strength
PROCurrenciesAug 05

Major Institution Forecasts Brazilian Real Depreciation to R$5.30 by 2026 Despite Current Strength

A major bank maintains a cautious long-term forecast for the USD/BRL exchange rate, citing structural limits to the Real's appreciation.

USD/BRL Volatility Jumps on US Sanctions Risk and Strait of Hormuz Tensions
CurrenciesAug 05

USD/BRL Volatility Jumps on US Sanctions Risk and Strait of Hormuz Tensions

The Brazilian real depreciated sharply following an escalation of US-Brazil diplomatic tension and fresh Middle East geopolitical risk.

Brazilian Real Slides on Commodity Correlation as Brent Crude Plunge Confirms Vulnerability
PROCurrenciesAug 05

Brazilian Real Slides on Commodity Correlation as Brent Crude Plunge Confirms Vulnerability

The Brazilian Real's recent weakness highlights an elevated correlation with crude oil prices, pushing the USD/BRL pair higher despite a softer U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).

Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies
CurrenciesAug 05

Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies

The Brazilian Real was the worst-performing liquid currency against the dollar as US sanctions threats amplified political risk.

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL
PROCurrenciesAug 04

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL

The Brazilian Real's recent rally stalled near R$5.05 after increased demand for US Dollar from domestic importers and bank treasuries.

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)
PROCurrenciesAug 04

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)

Investors are focused on the Central Bank's signal about the easing cycle's future, as the expected Selic rate cut is fully priced into USD/BRL.

Persistent Financial Capital Flight Puts Pressure on Real Despite Robust Trade Surplus
CurrenciesAug 04

Persistent Financial Capital Flight Puts Pressure on Real Despite Robust Trade Surplus

Brazil's currency remains vulnerable as sustained financial outflows counter the strength of its US$42.4 billion trade surplus.

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%
PROCurrenciesAug 04

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%

Currency traders eye the USD/BRL rate as the Central Bank is poised to make a 25 basis point cut to the benchmark Selic interest rate.

Brazilian Real Rallies 7.7% Against Dollar, Outperforming EM Peers on Powerful Carry Trade
CurrenciesAug 03

Brazilian Real Rallies 7.7% Against Dollar, Outperforming EM Peers on Powerful Carry Trade

The BRL has strengthened by 7.67% over the last year, driven by high interest rates and a post-Fed weak US Dollar.

USD/BRL Volatility Hinges on Fed Policy, US Treasury Yields as Dollar Retreats to R$5.07
CurrenciesAug 03

USD/BRL Volatility Hinges on Fed Policy, US Treasury Yields as Dollar Retreats to R$5.07

The Brazilian Real's short-term movements are entirely driven by US economic signals, with the USD/BRL falling after the Fed held rates.

Structural Dollar Supply from FDI and Record Trade Surplus Puts a Floor Under the Brazilian Real
CurrenciesAug 03

Structural Dollar Supply from FDI and Record Trade Surplus Puts a Floor Under the Brazilian Real

Record inflows from Foreign Direct Investment and a surging trade balance are providing a structural counterweight to USD/BRL volatility.

Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07
CurrenciesAug 03

Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07

The Brazilian Real hit its strongest level in nearly seven weeks, driven by the attractive carry trade yield from the high Selic rate.

Brazil’s 14.25% Selic Rate Sustains Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Attracting Foreign Capital
CurrenciesAug 03

Brazil’s 14.25% Selic Rate Sustains Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Attracting Foreign Capital

Brazil’s elevated Selic rate of 14.25% makes the BRL a top carry trade beneficiary, driving significant foreign capital inflows.

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor
PROCurrenciesAug 03

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor

Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps this week, a move that could expose BRL to fiscal risk.

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut
PROCurrenciesJul 31

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut

The Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal will be tested by an expected 25bp Selic cut next week, set against a resilient labor market.

BRL Rally Reverses on Geopolitical Jitters as Dovish Fed Outlook Fades
PROCurrenciesJul 31

BRL Rally Reverses on Geopolitical Jitters as Dovish Fed Outlook Fades

The Brazilian Real's nearly 1% gain against the U.S. Dollar is already retreating, vulnerable to Middle East tensions and a hawkish Fed repricing.

USD/BRL Outlook Diverges on Fiscal Risks vs. Carry Trade Appeal
CurrenciesJul 30

USD/BRL Outlook Diverges on Fiscal Risks vs. Carry Trade Appeal

Investment bank forecasts for the Brazilian Real show a wide R$0.48 spread, signaling intense market disagreement on the BRL's trajectory.

Brazilian Real Strengthens to R$5.12 as Fed Pause Fuels High-Yield Carry Trade
PROCurrenciesJul 30

Brazilian Real Strengthens to R$5.12 as Fed Pause Fuels High-Yield Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real gained against the US Dollar, driven by the Federal Reserve's rate hold and persistent investor interest in Brazil's high-yield carry trade.

Brazilian Real Powers To Top Currency Spot In 2026 As 14.25% Selic Rate Fuels Carry Trade
MarketsJul 30

Brazilian Real Powers To Top Currency Spot In 2026 As 14.25% Selic Rate Fuels Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real (BRL) is one of the world's best-performing currencies in 2026, driven by a high 14.25% Selic rate.

USD BRL Breaks Past R$5.11 as Brazilian Real Weakens
PROCurrenciesJul 30

USD BRL Breaks Past R$5.11 as Brazilian Real Weakens

The Brazilian real struggles to hold below R$5.10, with the USD/BRL rate breaking past R$5.11 amid shifting interest rate expectations and fiscal concerns.