Currencies
Persistent Financial Capital Flight Puts Pressure on Real Despite Robust Trade Surplus
Persistent Financial Capital Flight Puts Pressure on Real Despite Robust Trade Surplus

The Brazilian Real is failing to capitalize on a record-setting trade surplus, trading near R$5.071333 to the U.S. dollar, as structural caution from investors continues to drive significant capital out of the country's financial channel. Year-to-date through early July, the financial account, which tracks investments and profit remittances, recorded a net outflow of roughly US$17.6 billion. This capital flight stands in sharp contrast to the US$42.4 billion commercial surplus recorded for the first half of the year, a strong showing driven by agribusiness and commodity exports that ordinarily would provide a stronger appreciation boost to the currency.
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