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227 results for “Brazil election”

Brazil’s Election Dead-Heat Coincides With Deepening Judicial Crisis and Agro-Energy Shocks
Brazil's political and economic stability is tested by a dead-heat election, a Supreme Court crisis, and major agricultural threats from El Niño.

Brazil’s Institutional Crisis Adds Regulatory Risk to Statistical Dead-Heat Election
A recent Quaest poll shows a paradoxical view on the Supreme Court crisis as Brazil’s presidential race remains a statistical tie.

Record Number of Diverse Candidates Signifies Demographic Shift in Brazilian Politics Ahead of General Election
The 2026 Brazilian general election features a record surge in Indigenous and LGBTQIA+ candidates, signaling a profound shift in the political landscape.

Bolsonaro’s Son Takes First Numerical Lead Over Lula in New Brazil Election Poll
The latest Quaest poll shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% to 40% in a hypothetical runoff, signaling a sharp increase in electoral risk ahead of the October vote.

Brazil Supreme Court Crisis Deepens as Justices Clash Over Moraes's Links to Banco Master Scandal
Open conflict at the STF escalates as the court prepares to analyze a potential investigation into Justice Alexandre de Moraes over his family's links to the R$12 billion Banco Master fraud.

Lula Government Uses R$6.6 Billion Subsidy Package to Cut Fuel Price Ahead of Election
Brazil's government cut federal taxes on gasoline and boosted a diesel subsidy in a R$6.6 billion move to control fuel prices and inflation before the presidential election.

Supreme Court Crisis Fuels Flávio Bolsonaro’s Surge Over Lula in Brazil Presidential Race
An unprecedented institutional crisis in Brazil’s Supreme Court involving Justice Alexandre de Moraes has driven challenger Flávio Bolsonaro into the lead in presidential prediction markets.

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.

US Tariffs on Brazilian Wood Fuel Political Firestorm Ahead of Presidential Vote
New 25% US tariffs on a range of Brazilian goods, including wood products, ignite a trade war and trigger a political blame game involving Lula and presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro.

Brazil Real Decouples from Global Dollar Trend on Shifting Election Trade
The Brazilian Real recently moved against the global strengthening of the US Dollar, driven by a domestic "electoral trade" focused on reduced political risk premium ahead of the presidential vote.

Brazil Banks Warn: Fiscal Plan Essential Post-Election to Avoid 20% Rates
Investment banks warn that Brazil's next president must deliver a strict budget plan to prevent interest rates from soaring to 20% amid rising debt.

Political Risk Skyrockets as Outsider Augusto Cury Enters Statistical Tie with Lula and Bolsonaro
A Datafolha poll showing best-selling author Augusto Cury in a statistical tie with President Lula introduces significant political uncertainty into Brazil's election.

Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Lack Concrete Fiscal Plans to Tame 82% of GDP Debt
The election platforms of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro offer vague solutions to Brazil's surging public debt, raising fears of post-election austerity.

Lula Labels Fiscal Surplus 'Nonsense,' Undermining Brazil's Budget Credibility
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva publicly dismissed fiscal surplus goals, rattling policy certainty and fueling concerns over increased public spending in Brazil.

Post-Election Fiscal Void Puts Brazil's Economy on Knife’s Edge
Major investment banks warn that the next government’s fiscal plan will determine if Brazil’s Selic rate soars or if the Ibovespa sees a massive rally.

Record Diversity In Brazil’s 2026 Election Signals Shifting Political Landscape
The 2026 Brazilian general election features a record number of Black, Indigenous, and LGBTQIA+ candidates, reflecting a national push for political inclusion and challenging traditional power structures.

Unsealed Evidence Against Bolsonaro Challenger Flávio Deepens Brazil’s Judicial and Election Crisis
Documents detailing a R$61 million payment to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro have been unsealed, escalating an unprecedented political and judicial crisis weeks before Brazil's October 4 election.

Brazil’s 2026 Election Sees Record Diversity Driven by Campaign Finance Reform
Candidates identifying as Black and Brown now make up nearly half of all registered candidacies for the 2026 Brazil election, a direct result of new proportional funding rules.

Corruption Probe Targets Brazil Presidential Candidate Flávio Bolsonaro Weeks Before Election
Unsealed Supreme Court documents reveal leading opposition candidate Flávio Bolsonaro is under investigation for corruption and money laundering related to payments from a disgraced banker.

Bolsonaro Challenger Names Ex-Guedes Aides, Market Veterans to Economic Team
Flávio Bolsonaro, a leading right-wing presidential challenger, has formalized a pro-market economic team featuring former officials and bankers to court the financial sector.

Lula Re-election Platform Vows Adherence to Fiscal Rule While Targeting Congressional ‘Pork-Barrel’ Spending
Brazil's President Lula da Silva’s re-election platform promises to maintain the New Fiscal Framework while proposing a reorganization of parliamentary budget amendments.

Brazilian Real Faces 50% Volatility Risk Based on Post-Election Fiscal Plan
The Brazilian Real could swing wildly between R$3.95 and R$6.00 against the US Dollar depending on whether the next administration commits to a credible fiscal adjustment.

Corruption Probe Against Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Legal Risk to Tight Brazilian Presidential Race
Court documents unsealed weeks before the election reveal presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro is under investigation for corruption and money laundering linked to a disgraced banker.

Brazil’s Political Risk Spikes Long-Term Rates After Supreme Court Unseals Master Case
Long-term interest rates in Brazil jumped on Friday after the Supreme Federal Court unsealed documents in a massive political-financial fraud scandal.

Supreme Court Documents Confirm Formal Investigation of Presidential Candidate Flávio Bolsonaro
STF unseals documents in the high-profile 'Master Case,' confirming a formal probe into presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro over alleged corruption linked to a failed bank.

New Campaign Forces Brazil’s Election Candidates to Confront Cerrado Deforestation and Water Crisis
A coalition of environmental groups launched the #VotePeloCerrado campaign, demanding candidates sign a commitment to protect the vital "cradle of waters" biome.

10% of Voters Undecided: Brazil Presidential Race Remains Volatile as Lula, Bolsonaro Enter Final Stretch
The latest Datafolha poll shows President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a statistical tie for the October election runoff, with a large bloc of uncommitted voters set to determine the outcome.

Political Turmoil and Banking Scandal Push Brazil’s Presidential Race to a Statistical Tie
An explosive judicial feud linked to a banking fraud scandal has tightened the presidential election, while major court rulings redefine risk for agribusiness and mining.

Datafolha Poll Confirms Tight Senate Race and Runoff in Brazil’s Northeastern Stronghold of Pernambuco
The latest Datafolha poll in Pernambuco shows a technical tie for two Senate seats and confirms a likely gubernatorial runoff between the incumbent and a former Recife mayor.

Incumbent Lula, Challenger Flávio Bolsonaro in Statistical Tie Weeks Before Brazil Election
Polling shows Brazil's presidential race tightening to a statistical tie in a potential runoff between incumbent Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro.