Search
715 results for “Politics”
Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves
Brazil reduced its required budget spending block by R$5.7 billion, signaling increased fiscal confidence and boosting outlooks for BRL and local assets.
Lula's Congressional Support Collapse Raises Fiscal Alarm, Forces Unprecedented STF Maneuver
President Lula's support tanked despite a record R$33.89bn in payouts, forcing the government to use the STF to block 'spending-bomb' bills.
Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation
Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation slowed to 0.06%, but a 3.03% spike in residential electricity driven by regulatory adjustments poses risks for utility stocks.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in 2026 Rio Presidential Poll
A new RealTime Big Data poll in Rio de Janeiro shows a tight 2026 race between President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, boosting political risk for Brazilian assets.
BRB Rescue Stalemate Drags on B3 Stocks and Real
BC President Galípolo met with Banco de Brasília leadership as a R$6.6 billion rescue package remains stalled, weighing on B3 stocks and the real.
FGTS Council Approves R$13.2 Billion Profit Distribution, Fueling Controlled Boost to Consumer Credit
Brazil’s FGTS Council approved the R$13.2 billion profit distribution to 138 million workers, increasing collateral for secured loans and boosting domestic consumption.
Political Uncertainty and U.S. Trade Tensions Put Risk Premium on USD/BRL, IBOV
Lula's poll lead and new U.S. tariffs on Brazilian goods increase market risk, driving political uncertainty into the USD/BRL exchange rate.
Analysts Note Lula Campaign Strength, PT Boosts Senate Fund for Policy Continuity
Political analysts at Expert XP suggest Lula's re-election strength is increasing, while the PT party increases its Senate campaign fund allocation fourfold to secure governance.
Lula Reform Bills Delayed Until Post-Election Amid Senate Gridlock
The Lula administration faces legislative delays on key bills, including the PEC 6x1, as Senate gridlock and election campaigns stall the congressional agenda.
Brazil Veto Override Signals Regulatory Shift for Infrastructure
The Brazilian Congress has overridden a presidential veto on the Environmental Licensing Bill, easing regulatory hurdles for major infrastructure and agribusiness projects.
Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Reforms
Support for Lula's agenda in the Senate plummeted from 75% to 38.5%, elevating political risk and threatening fiscal reforms.
Lula Senate Support Halves, Threatening Brazil Fiscal Agenda
President Lula's Senate support fell from 75% to 38.5%, raising political risks for Brazil's fiscal reforms and weighing on the Ibovespa and Brazilian real.
Lula Government’s Congressional Support Halves in Senate, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risk
President Lula’s Senate support fell from 75% to 38.5%, jeopardizing the fiscal framework after Congress blocked a R$10B tax and advanced R$111B 'fiscal bombs'.
Brazil Challenges US Tariff Hike at WTO as Trade Risks Rise
Brazil formally challenges a US tariff hike of up to 37.5% at the WTO, escalating trade tensions and driving volatility for USD/BRL and B3 stocks.
Brazil Files WTO Case Against U.S. Tariffs of Up to 37.5%
Brazil challenges new U.S. Section 301 tariffs of up to 37.5% at the WTO, raising risks for trade-exposed B3 stocks and the Brazilian real.
Lula Congressional Support Halves, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risks
Brazil's Senate support for President Lula's priority bills has plummeted to 38.5%, fueling investor concern over fiscal gridlock and USD/BRL volatility.
Brazil Files WTO Complaint Against New US Tariffs
Brazil formally filed a consultation request with the WTO to challenge cumulative US tariffs of up to 37.5% under Section 301.
Brazil Formally Files WTO Dispute Against US Tariffs, Exposing 16.5% of Exports to 37.5% Levy
Brazil has formally initiated a WTO dispute against the US over new Section 301 tariffs, introducing trade uncertainty for Brazilian real and equity markets.
Tight Lula-Bolsonaro 2026 Polls Cement Brazil's Prolonged Political Risk Premium
New July polls show President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in a technical tie for the 2026 race, sustaining high political uncertainty.
Brazil, South Korea Fast-Track Mercosul Trade Deal, Boosting Outlook for Critical Minerals and Beef
Brazil and South Korea agreed to fast-track the Mercosul trade deal, signaling new market access for Brazilian agribusiness and critical minerals.
Bolsonaro Son Flávio Testifies in Lula Slander Probe, Raising Brazil Political Risk
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro testified before the Federal Police today in a high-stakes calumny inquiry against President Lula, escalating political risk ahead of the 2026 election.
Bolsonaro Camp Leads Lula in Highly Polarized Rio de Janeiro Poll, Signaling Persistent Political Risk
A Quaest/Genial poll in Rio de Janeiro shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 38% to Lula’s 35% in a run-off, highlighting deep political division.
Dual Crisis: Hormuz Geopolitics and El Niño Stress Brazil’s Agribusiness Supply Chain
Dual pressure from surging global fertilizer costs and El Niño weather threatens Brazilian crop yields and food price stability.
Net Negative Lula Approval Rating Heightens Risk to Brazil Fiscal Framework, Weighing on IBOV
President Lula's disapproval reached 49% against 47% approval in the latest BTG/Nexus poll, indicating political headwinds for crucial fiscal reform.
Brazil Recalls Envoy to Argentina as Milei Intervention Tests Mercosul Trade Stability
Brazil's diplomatic break with Argentina over President Milei's political intervention creates new risk for the Mercosul trade bloc.
Brazil Accelerates China-Mercosul Trade Deal After US Imposes 25% Tariffs
President Lula and Xi Jinping agreed to fast-track a China-Mercosul agreement days after the US hit Brazilian goods with a 25% Section 301 tariff.
Lula Disapproval Hits 49% in BTG/Nexus Poll, Tightening Race Elevates Fiscal Reform Risk
New poll showing 49% disapproval for Lula and a technical tie against Flávio Bolsonaro heightens political risk for fiscal measures.
Brazil, China Accelerate Mercosul Trade Talks Following New US Tariffs
Lula and Xi agreed to speed up Mercosul-China trade negotiations, formalizing Brazil's pivot toward Asia after the US imposed 25% tariffs.
Lula, Xi Fast-Track Mercosul-China Trade Talks Amid New U.S. Tariffs, Focusing on Critical Minerals
Brazil's Lula and China's Xi agreed to accelerate Mercosul-China trade talks, prioritizing minerals and fertilizer after new U.S. tariffs.
Brazil Unfreezes R$5.7 Billion in Current 2024 Budget, Releasing Funds as Fiscal Picture Improves
Brasília unfroze R$5.7B from the 2024 budget after a cut in mandatory spending projections, improving the primary balance forecast and signaling fiscal adherence.