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196 results for “Selic Rate”

Brazil Candidates Agree on Fiscal Crisis, But Not the Cure for High Debt and Rates
Brazil’s leading presidential candidates agree that fiscal balance is key to economic stability, but their plans lack the detail needed to lower the country's high sovereign debt.

Brazil Banks Warn: Fiscal Plan Essential Post-Election to Avoid 20% Rates
Investment banks warn that Brazil's next president must deliver a strict budget plan to prevent interest rates from soaring to 20% amid rising debt.

Post-Election Fiscal Void Puts Brazil's Economy on Knife’s Edge
Major investment banks warn that the next government’s fiscal plan will determine if Brazil’s Selic rate soars or if the Ibovespa sees a massive rally.

Brazil Registers Largest Deflation in Four Years, Cementing Central Bank's Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index, the IPCA, fell 0.32% in August, the first deflation of the year, driven by a temporary 'Itaipu Bonus' on electricity bills.

Brazil's Deflationary Surprise Was a Power Credit Mirage, Testing Central Bank’s Resolve on Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index dropped 0.32% in August, the largest deflation in four years, but the figure was nearly all due to a one-off power bill credit.

Massive Dollar Outflow Complicates Brazil Central Bank’s Plan for Selic Rate Cuts
Brazil saw a net outflow of $7.511 billion in dollars in the first week of September, threatening to fuel inflation and stall the rate-cutting cycle.

Brazil’s Small-Cap Stocks Rally on Rate-Cut Optimism, But Political Risk Looms
Domestically-focused Brazilian small-cap stocks are seeing a new rally as inflation eases, but the political outlook threatens the interest rate cuts driving the gains.

High Selic Rate Drives Double-Digit Dividend Yields for Brazil Real Estate Funds (FIIs)
Brazil's high Selic rate and mandatory payout laws compel Real Estate Investment Trusts (FIIs) to distribute large dividends, a structural market effect.

Oil at Six-Week High Piles Pressure on Petrobras Fuel Pricing Policy, Raising Brazil Inflation Risk
Brent crude nears $98 on US-Iran tensions, forcing Brazil's Petrobras to weigh domestic price stability against market costs.

Deadlock in Brazil Presidential Race Solidifies Political Risk Premium Weeks Before Vote
A new Quaest poll shows President Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro tied for the runoff, ensuring political uncertainty that hampers Selic rate cuts.

Brazil’s Fiscal Debt Structure Raises Post-Election Exchange Rate Risk, UBS Says
Wealth manager UBS warns Brazil's large Selic-linked debt makes the Real more vulnerable to a post-election fiscal surprise.

Brazil’s Economic Slowdown Hits Early, Putting Lula’s Re-election Narrative Under Pressure
Sharp deceleration in Brazil's Q2 GDP, driven by a drop in household spending, heightens fiscal risk and pressure on the Central Bank.

Supply Squeeze Pushes Brazilian Rents Above Official Inflation Rate
Residential rents in Brazil's major cities are surging faster than inflation, driven by high interest rates and a lack of housing supply.

Brazil real estate investors mature but grow wary of political risk
A joint study by Brain, Clube FII, and Tree shows seasoned retail investors now dominate Brazil's real estate funds, but political anxiety is rising.

Brazil Real Estate Funds Defy High Interest Rates as Veterans Dominate
Experienced retail investors now make up 60% of Brazil's real estate fund market, prioritizing tax-free monthly dividends despite high interest rates.

Fiscal Risk and Election Uncertainty Push Brazilian Real, Analysts Warn of R$6.00 USD/BRL Scenario
Brazil's currency is weakening as financial institutions warn a lack of post-election fiscal reform could send the USD/BRL to R$6.00.

Brazil's Institutions Push Major Shifts: Tech 'Safe Harbor' Ends as Lula Stakes Claim on Economic Sovereignty
Brazil's Supreme Court removes the tech platform liability shield, while Congress finalizes consumer-friendly e-commerce tax rules.

Small Cap Rally Signals Market Bets on Accelerated Selic Rate Cuts in Brazil
The Brazil Small Cap Index (SMLL) jumped over 4% in early September as investors rotate into domestic cyclicals on expectations of a faster Selic rate easing cycle.

Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment
Presidential candidates' vague economic plans increase sovereign risk, forcing the Central Bank to hold Brazil’s Selic rate high.

Brazil’s Biggest Fiscal Threat is a Slow Deterioration, Not a Sudden Crisis
Brazil’s failure to contain spending, projecting a R$59.1 billion primary deficit for 2026, poses the biggest risk to the economy.

Election Risk Trumps Yield: Global Funds Unwind Favored Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Institutional investors are moving away from the Brazilian Real after major banks downgraded assets, pricing in a high 'electoral risk premium' over fiscal uncertainty.
Fiscal Strain Pushes Brazil’s Real Bond Yields to Unsustainable Highs Ahead of Election
Brazil's real interest rates on long-term government bonds have surpassed 8%, driven by deep market concern over fiscal stability.
Brazil’s World-Beating Real Rate Anchors the Real as Carry Trade Capital Flows In
Foreign capital inflows attracted by the world’s second-highest real interest rate are stabilizing the Brazilian Real amid global volatility.

Brazil Finance Minister Dario Durigan Outlines Re-election Economic Pitch: Fiscal Discipline to Cut Selic Rate
Dario Durigan clarified the Lula administration's economic focus, linking strict fiscal control to lower interest rates and a key labor reform.
BTG Pactual Economist Mansueto Almeida Warns Fiscal Risk Will Slow Brazil’s GDP to 1% in 2027
Brazil's 2027 GDP growth is projected to hit a post-pandemic low of 1%, as election-year fiscal expansion forces Selic rate to remain high.

Fiscal Credibility Cracks as Brazil’s Deficit Worsens Amid Pre-Election Spending Exemptions
Brazil's projected 2026 primary deficit worsened to R$59.1 billion as Congress and the Executive approve new spending outside the fiscal rule's cap.
Brazil's No. 2 Finance Official Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Cut High Selic Rate
Dario Durigan, the Executive Secretary of Brazil's Finance Ministry, linked a major fiscal push to lower the Selic rate.

Lula Campaign Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Combat Brazil’s High Interest Rates
Finance Minister Dario Durigan commits a future Lula administration to a 2% of GDP fiscal effort to lower the 14.00% Selic rate and stabilize public debt.

Brazil Finance Minister Acknowledges Market Debt Fears are 'Justified' Amid Capital Flight
Finance Minister Dario Durigan said market concerns over Brazil's rising public debt and mandatory spending are 'justified,' validating investor caution.

Brazil’s Fiscal Impulse Blamed for Two-Thirds of Long-Term Interest Rate Surge
Structural fiscal concerns in Brazil, driven by spending, are responsible for 63% of the recent surge in 10-year interest rates.