Search
119 results for “inflation”

Brazil Central Bank Signals Extended High-Interest Period Despite Fifth Consecutive Rate Cut
Brazil’s central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate to 13.75% but stressed the need to remain 'adequately restrictive' due to high inflation risks.

Brazil Focus Report Lifts 2026 Inflation Projection Again Amid Election Uncertainty
Economists raised Brazil's 2026 inflation forecast to 4.92%, signaling anxiety over fiscal policy ahead of the presidential election.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Final Selic Cut as Political Tensions Complicate Real’s Outlook
Copom is expected to cut the Selic rate to 13.75% as inflation slows, but a tightening election race against a fiscally conservative candidate is strengthening the Brazilian Real.

Brazil’s Central Bank Set for Selic Cut, but Caution on Inflation Clouds Long-Term Bond Outlook
Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the benchmark Selic interest rate to 13.75%, but its forward guidance will be scrutinized for signals on future cuts given long-term inflation concerns.

Lula Government Uses R$6.6 Billion Subsidy Package to Cut Fuel Price Ahead of Election
Brazil's government cut federal taxes on gasoline and boosted a diesel subsidy in a R$6.6 billion move to control fuel prices and inflation before the presidential election.

Brazil Registers Largest Deflation in Four Years, Cementing Central Bank's Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index, the IPCA, fell 0.32% in August, the first deflation of the year, driven by a temporary 'Itaipu Bonus' on electricity bills.

Brazil's Deflationary Surprise Was a Power Credit Mirage, Testing Central Bank’s Resolve on Selic Rate Cut
Brazil's official inflation index dropped 0.32% in August, the largest deflation in four years, but the figure was nearly all due to a one-off power bill credit.

Brazil’s Inflation Posts Steepest Deflation in Four Years, Intensifying Pressure for Deeper Rate Cuts
Brazil’s official IPCA inflation index recorded a deeper-than-expected deflation of -0.32% in August 2026, driven by an electricity bill credit, likely pushing the Central Bank to accelerate its interest rate cutting cycle.

Brazil’s Rural Credit Shrinks 26%, Pointing to Risk for 2026/2027 Crop and Food Prices
A sharp 26% contraction in the volume of rural credit for the next season, driven by high rates and record defaults, signals reduced agricultural output, posing a threat to Brazil's trade balance and domestic food inflation.

Massive Dollar Outflow Complicates Brazil Central Bank’s Plan for Selic Rate Cuts
Brazil saw a net outflow of $7.511 billion in dollars in the first week of September, threatening to fuel inflation and stall the rate-cutting cycle.

Lula’s R$7 Billion Fuel Tax Cut Stokes Fiscal Risk Ahead of Brazil Presidential Election
Brazil's President Lula approved a massive fuel tax cut and subsidy program, costing R$7 billion monthly, which heightens fiscal risks.

Brazil Opens $1.3 Billion Fuel Subsidy to Shield Consumers from Global Oil Shock
President Lula signs Provisional Measure for R$6.6 billion in subsidies to stabilize diesel prices and fight inflation.

$100 Oil Price Forces Brazil’s Political Price Choice at Petrobras
Brent crude above $100 creates an unmanageable fuel price gap, forcing Brazil to choose between inflation and state intervention.

Brazil’s Small-Cap Stocks Rally on Rate-Cut Optimism, But Political Risk Looms
Domestically-focused Brazilian small-cap stocks are seeing a new rally as inflation eases, but the political outlook threatens the interest rate cuts driving the gains.

Oil at Six-Week High Piles Pressure on Petrobras Fuel Pricing Policy, Raising Brazil Inflation Risk
Brent crude nears $98 on US-Iran tensions, forcing Brazil's Petrobras to weigh domestic price stability against market costs.

Oil Nearing $100 Creates Double-Edged Sword for Brazil's Economy and Petrobras
Global oil's surge toward $100/barrel delivers a fiscal windfall to Brazil and Petrobras but threatens to reignite domestic inflation.

Supply Squeeze Pushes Brazilian Rents Above Official Inflation Rate
Residential rents in Brazil's major cities are surging faster than inflation, driven by high interest rates and a lack of housing supply.

Brazil’s ‘Second Rent’ Crisis: Condominium Fees and New Rents Outpace Official Inflation
Urban living costs in Brazil are rising sharply as residential condo fees and new rental prices significantly exceed the official inflation rate.

Global Climate and Geopolitical Risk Solidify Brazil’s Role as the World’s Indispensable Breadbasket
Brazil's agribusiness sector is positioning itself as the critical stabilizer for global food supply amidst climate change and geopolitical shocks.

El Niño Threatens Brazil's Inflation Target, With Fresh Food Prices Projected to Rise Nearly 20%
Climate shock from a strong El Niño could push Brazilian food prices up by 19.9%, forcing the Central Bank to maintain higher interest rates.

Brazil TCU Reverses Block on R$5 Billion Energy Subsidy
Brazil's Federal Court of Auditors (TCU) quickly lifted a block on a R$5 billion energy subsidy, averting major electricity tariff hikes in an election year.

Brazil’s Solar Boom Shifts Power Mix and Creates New Inflation-Indexed Investment Class
Brazil's solar boom is being channeled into new B3-listed infrastructure funds, offering returns designed to be indexed to domestic inflation.

Brazil Congress Approves Sweeping Fuel Tax Relief, Linking Fiscal Health to Oil Windfall
Brazil's legislature approved a major fuel tax cut, offsetting revenue loss with increased oil royalties to fight inflation.

Brazil Central Bank Minutes Reveal Hawkish Stance Despite Selic Rate Cut to 14.00%
Brazil's central bank delivered a rate cut but signaled a deeply cautious outlook, stressing inflation is still driven by demand.

Oil Price Surge Near $90 Per Barrel Puts Brazil’s Interest Rate Cuts on Hold
A surge in Brent crude prices is raising inflation fears in Brazil, forcing the Central Bank to pause or slow its Selic rate cutting cycle.

Falling Inflation Slashes Returns for Major Brazilian Agro-Credit Fund KNCA11
Kinea Crédito Agro (KNCA11) cut its monthly dividend after a 31.4% net result drop, signaling headwinds for Brazil's inflation-linked investment sector.

Geopolitical Risk Pushes USD/BRL Above R$5.09, Overwhelming Brazil’s High Interest Rate Differential
The Brazilian Real loses ground to the US Dollar as global uncertainty over the Middle East and inflation outweighs the lure of high domestic interest rates.

Northeast Brazil Drought Signals Food Inflation Risk, Pressuring FX and Inflation Outlook
Severe drought in Northeast Brazil is threatening regional food crops and livestock, creating a significant near-term risk for national food inflation.

Lower Brazil Inflation Slashes KNCA11 FIAGRO Dividend by 11.5%
Kinea Crédito Agro fund KNCA11 dropped its monthly payout to R$ 1.00 as lower IPCA inflation impacted income.

Dual-Inflation Week to Test Brazil’s Interest Rate Path as Copom Minutes, IPCA Land
Brazil's Selic rate outlook faces a critical test this week with domestic and US inflation data releases.