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68 results for “carry trade”
Brazil Real Lost Carry Appeal as 2022 Election Risk Premium Outweighed High Selic Rate
A look back at the 2022 election cycle shows how the political risk premium, centered on the race between Lula and Jair Bolsonaro, caused major financial institutions to abandon the Brazilian Real's carry trade despite high domestic interest rates.
Brazil’s Rate Squeeze: Selic Cut to 13.75% Against Fed Hike Narrows Gap Ahead of Election Risk
The Brazilian Real faces instability as the Central Bank cuts rates to 13.75% while the US Federal Reserve hikes, tightening the interest rate differential.
Dual Central Bank Decisions Place Brazilian Real’s High-Yield Carry Trade Under Immediate Threat
The Brazilian Real's appeal to foreign investors is set for a pivotal test as the BCB's Copom and the US Federal Reserve are both expected to announce decisions that will narrow the critical interest rate differential on September 16, 2026.
Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election
High-yielding Brazilian Real is struggling to keep pace with its interest rate differential as investors price in fiscal uncertainty before the October election.
Election Risk Trumps Yield: Global Funds Unwind Favored Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Institutional investors are moving away from the Brazilian Real after major banks downgraded assets, pricing in a high 'electoral risk premium' over fiscal uncertainty.
Brazil’s World-Beating Real Rate Anchors the Real as Carry Trade Capital Flows In
Foreign capital inflows attracted by the world’s second-highest real interest rate are stabilizing the Brazilian Real amid global volatility.
Election Risk Prompts Hedge Funds to Unwind Profitable Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Global asset managers are cutting exposure to the Brazilian Real and local bonds as political uncertainty heightens ahead of the 2026 election.
High-Yield Fixed Income ETFs on B3 Offer Liquid Access to Brazil's Selic Rate
New Fixed Income ETFs in Brazil, tracking the high-yielding CDI/Selic rate, provide foreign investors with a liquid and tax-transparent route to the country's carry trade.
Brazil’s 14.0% Interest Rate Lures Foreign Capital, But Lula’s Fiscal Risk Constrains Further Cuts
The Banco Central do Brasil’s high Selic rate attracts massive global 'carry trade,' strengthening the Real, yet the high rate is a defensive wall against fiscal uncertainty.
Brazil’s Central Bank’s ‘Married Operations’ Stabilize Real Amid High Selic Rate
Brazil's Central Bank uses simultaneous spot sales and reverse FX swaps to manage USD/BRL volatility, boosting the carry trade.
Geopolitical Risk Pushes USD/BRL Above R$5.09, Overwhelming Brazil’s High Interest Rate Differential
The Brazilian Real loses ground to the US Dollar as global uncertainty over the Middle East and inflation outweighs the lure of high domestic interest rates.
Dollar Rises Above R$5.11 Against Brazilian Real as Hormuz Tensions Fuel Global Risk Aversion
The Brazilian Real depreciated past R$5.11 against the US Dollar as geopolitical tension in the Middle East drove investors to safe-haven assets.
Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Puts Brazilian Real Carry Trade at Risk
Brazil's Central Bank cut the benchmark Selic rate to 14.00%, shrinking the interest rate differential and eroding the appeal of the BRL carry trade.
Foreign Capital Inflows Surge to Eight-Year High to Back Brazil Real
Brazil records a massive US$17.78 billion foreign capital inflow in the first half of 2026, driven by high interest rates that cushion the Brazilian real.
Brazilian Real Cedes Top Carry Trade Spot to Colombian Peso Amid Shift in Risk Perception
Foreign investors are increasingly favoring the Colombian Peso over the BRL for carry trade strategies, signaling a cooling in capital inflows.
Brazilian Real Defies Dollar Strength as Weak US Jobs Data Boosts Carry Trade Appeal
The BRL held firm near R$5.09 against the USD after weak US employment figures, highlighting the currency's local resilience from exporter inflows.
Brazilian Real Strengthens Below R$5.09 as Weak US Jobs Data Eases Federal Reserve Rate Hike Fears
The Brazilian Real closed the week strong, crossing a key technical level after a weak US payrolls report reduced Federal Reserve rate-hike bets.
Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks
Rabobank forecasts the USD/BRL exchange rate to hit R$5.55 by end-2026, anticipating a 9.0% depreciation driven by fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty.
Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear
The USD/BRL jumped to R$5.130, fueled by weak industrial data cementing Selic rate cut expectations and rising geopolitical risk from a US diplomatic feud.
Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade
Weaker-than-expected industrial production data reinforces the expectation for deeper Selic rate cuts, eroding the Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal.
Brazil’s Central Bank Deploys ‘Casadão’ FX Operation to Target Carry Trade Mechanics, Not Spot Rate
The Banco Central do Brasil's simultaneous FX action aims to cut the FX coupon, favoring the lucrative carry trade in the Brazilian Real while increasing hedging costs.
Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%
Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, a move that was fully priced in, stabilizing USD/BRL.
Major Institution Forecasts Brazilian Real Depreciation to R$5.30 by 2026 Despite Current Strength
A major bank maintains a cautious long-term forecast for the USD/BRL exchange rate, citing structural limits to the Real's appreciation.
Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)
Investors are focused on the Central Bank's signal about the easing cycle's future, as the expected Selic rate cut is fully priced into USD/BRL.
BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%
Currency traders eye the USD/BRL rate as the Central Bank is poised to make a 25 basis point cut to the benchmark Selic interest rate.
Brazilian Real Rallies 7.7% Against Dollar, Outperforming EM Peers on Powerful Carry Trade
The BRL has strengthened by 7.67% over the last year, driven by high interest rates and a post-Fed weak US Dollar.
Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07
The Brazilian Real hit its strongest level in nearly seven weeks, driven by the attractive carry trade yield from the high Selic rate.
Brazil’s 14.25% Selic Rate Sustains Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Attracting Foreign Capital
Brazil’s elevated Selic rate of 14.25% makes the BRL a top carry trade beneficiary, driving significant foreign capital inflows.
Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut
The Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal will be tested by an expected 25bp Selic cut next week, set against a resilient labor market.
USD/BRL Outlook Diverges on Fiscal Risks vs. Carry Trade Appeal
Investment bank forecasts for the Brazilian Real show a wide R$0.48 spread, signaling intense market disagreement on the BRL's trajectory.