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136 results for “COPOM”

Lula Congressional Support Halves, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risks
Brazil's Senate support for President Lula's priority bills has plummeted to 38.5%, fueling investor concern over fiscal gridlock and USD/BRL volatility.

Brazil Files WTO Case Against US Tariffs as Trade Row Escalates
Brazil has requested WTO consultations over US Section 301 tariffs, introducing fresh risk for B3 stocks, the EWZ ETF, and the USD/BRL exchange rate.

Brazilian Small Cap Index Underperforms Broad Market as Persistent 14.25% Selic Rate Weighs
The B3 Small Cap Index (SMLL) continues to underperform, down -6.62% YTD, as the high 14.25% Selic rate pressures rate-sensitive firms.

B3 Options Signal Higher Probability of Selic Rate Cut in August, Shifting Carry Trade Calculus
Market-implied probability of a 25 basis point Selic rate cut surged past 72%, signaling a major shift in Brazilian interest rate expectations.

Habib's Owner Obtains Debt Shielding Amid Retail Credit Strain
Grupo Gennius Brasil, owner of Habib's, secures a 60-day court shield to renegotiate R$ 312.4M in debt, highlighting retail credit distress in Brazil.

Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility
Brazil's official candidate nomination window has opened, signaling a period of intense political polarization and fiscal uncertainty for global investors.

Brazil Deploys BRL 18.5B Plan to Shield Exporters from US Tariffs
Brazil launches Sovereign Brazil Plan Phase 3 with BRL 18.5B to support exporters and stabilize the real after the US implements 25% import tariffs.

Brazilian Real Hits 7-Week High on Middle East Energy Carry Trade
The USD/BRL drops to 5.07 as escalating Middle East tensions drive global oil buyers to Brazil, boosting the Real alongside its high 14.25% Selic rate.

Fiscal 'Last Mile' Push: Why Durigan's Budget Defense Matters
Finance Minister Dario Durigan defends the final stretch of fiscal adjustments to stabilize Brazil's debt, offering a potential catalyst for small-cap stocks.

IMF Warns Brazil on Spending Rigidity as 2026 Deficit Rises
The IMF's Article IV consultation warns Brazil over structural spending rigidities and rising debt, highlighting risks for the Brazil ETF and local markets.

Middle East Escalation Caps Brazilian Real Gains Near 5.07
High global energy prices and safe-haven demand bolster the US dollar, capping the Brazilian real's appreciation potential despite high domestic yields.

BRL Holds Steady Near 5.08 as Lula Launches BRL 18.5B Exporter Shield
The Brazilian real stabilized near 5.08 per USD as President Lula unveiled an 18.5 billion reais exporter shield to counter new 25% US tariffs.

Speculators Hold Heavy Net-Long Soybean Bets Amid Weather Risks
Large speculators maintain highly bullish positioning in mini soybean futures, signaling strong market conviction as critical August weather risks approach.

USD/BRL Technical Rebound Faces Heavy Resistance as Bears Dominate
The USD/BRL currency pair meets heavy moving average resistance near 5.09, keeping the bearish trend intact as Brazil's high Selic rate supports the real.

Brazilian Real Outperforms Global Peers on Surging Energy Demand
The Brazilian real decouples from emerging market trends as rising crude exports to China and global energy demand bolster the country's trade balance.

USD BRL Drops to 5.06 as Carry Trade and FX Inflows Boost Real
The Brazilian Real hits a seven-week high of 5.06 per USD, driven by a 14.25% Selic rate and the strongest first-half FX inflows since 2018.

New US Tariffs and Rising Fiscal Inflation Cap Brazilian Real
A new 25% US tariff on Brazilian imports and rising domestic inflation forecasts to 5.1% limit the Brazilian real's upside, keeping USD/BRL under pressure.

Brazilian Real Rallies to 5.05/USD on Record H1 Inflows
Brazil’s currency gains 3% over the past month as a massive $42.4 billion trade surplus and high interest rates shield the Real from global volatility.

Brazil Central Bank Resolution 575 to Lower USD/BRL Hedging Costs
Taking effect October 1, 2026, BCB Resolution 575 will allow multinational firms to hold USD accounts in Brazil, bypassing costly FX conversion fees.

Brazil 10-Year Bond Yields Rise Above 14.75% on Fiscal Worries
Brazil's 10-year government bond yield topped 14.75% in late July 2026 as rising budget deficits and energy inflation keep pressure on the central bank.

Régis Bittencourt Highway Auction Draws Three Major Bidders
Arteris, EPR, and Motiva (formerly CCR) submit bids for the BR-116 Régis Bittencourt concession, testing Brazil's new contract optimization model.

US Tariffs on Brazil Shift Focus to October 2026 Election
US 25% tariffs on Brazilian goods take effect, altering the political landscape ahead of Brazil's October 2026 presidential election.

US-Brazil Trade War Escalates: 25% Tariffs Hit B3 Stocks
US imposes 25% tariffs on $7.4B of Brazilian exports over Pix dispute; President Lula counters with an R$18.5B credit line, rattling the USD/BRL.

BRL Rebounds to Seven-Week High on Carry Trade Interest
The Brazilian real strengthened to 5.05 per USD, shrugging off new 25% US tariffs as high domestic interest rates fuel carry trade demand.

US Terrorist Designations of PCC and CV Trigger Bank Risks
The U.S. designation of Brazil's PCC and CV as Foreign Terrorist Organizations exposes dollar-clearing banks to severe material-support compliance risks.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Threatening Rate Cuts
Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, exceeding the central bank's target ceiling and threatening to stall the Selic rate-cut cycle.

Brazil Central Bank Modernizes FX Rules to Expand Account Access
The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) has expanded access to foreign currency accounts, simplifying cross-border transactions and lowering costs for global investors.

Lula Widens Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro Amid US Trade Dispute
A July 2026 Quaest poll shows Lula leading Flavio Bolsonaro 45% to 37%, reducing political transition risks for investors in Brazil ETFs and B3 stocks.

BRL Supported by Record H1 Inflows Despite Inflation Pressures
Brazil's real is cushioned by $17.78 billion in H1 foreign exchange inflows and high Selic rates, even as the 2026 inflation forecast rises to 5.1%.

US Section 301 Tariffs Hit Brazil; Lula Vows WTO Action
The US will impose a 25% Section 301 tariff on $7.4 billion of Brazilian goods, prompting President Lula to threaten WTO action and reciprocal surcharges.