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87 results for “volatility

Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Create ‘Perfect Storm’ for Brazilian Agricultural Prices
AgroJul 27

Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Create ‘Perfect Storm’ for Brazilian Agricultural Prices

High input costs and adverse weather are severely squeezing farm margins and threatening key crop yields, signaling market volatility and pressure on food inflation.

Banco BBA Analysis Links Brazilian Export Stock Performance to BRL Fluctuation Mechanism
CurrenciesJul 27

Banco BBA Analysis Links Brazilian Export Stock Performance to BRL Fluctuation Mechanism

Banco BBA published an analysis detailing how export-oriented companies correlate with US Dollar movements and BRL volatility.

Dual Threat: Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Pressure Brazilian Soft Commodity Outlook for 2027
PROAgroJul 27

Dual Threat: Fertilizer Crisis and Strong El Niño Pressure Brazilian Soft Commodity Outlook for 2027

Dual input supply and strong El Niño risks point to potential volatility and inflation in Brazilian coffee, rice, and corn markets in 2027.

Political Volatility Surges as BTG/Nexus Poll Puts Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro in Second-Round Technical Tie; Ibovespa Drops 1.52%
MarketsJul 27

Political Volatility Surges as BTG/Nexus Poll Puts Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro in Second-Round Technical Tie; Ibovespa Drops 1.52%

Brazil's stock market fell sharply after a new BTG Pactual/Nexus poll signaled a tightening presidential race, increasing political uncertainty.

Moro’s Dominance in Paraná Poll Escalates Political Risk Ahead of 2026 Presidential Cycle
PoliticsJul 27

Moro’s Dominance in Paraná Poll Escalates Political Risk Ahead of 2026 Presidential Cycle

Strong polling for Senator Sergio Moro in Paraná's gubernatorial race signals persistent national political polarization, a key driver of volatility for USD/BRL and Ibovespa.

BCB FX Interventions Target Volatility and Market Functionality, Not Long-Term BRL Rate Level
CurrenciesJul 27

BCB FX Interventions Target Volatility and Market Functionality, Not Long-Term BRL Rate Level

The Brazilian Central Bank uses FX swaps and dollar repos to smooth price swings in the USD/BRL, maintaining a strict policy against determining the exchange rate level.

Global Risk Drives Brazil Volatility as Fed Decision, US GDP Anchor Week
MarketsJul 27

Global Risk Drives Brazil Volatility as Fed Decision, US GDP Anchor Week

USD/BRL and Ibovespa face high volatility this week with the Fed rate decision and US Q2 GDP report set to dictate global capital flows.

BRL Volatility Rises After U.S. Tariff Shock; Exporter Revenue Models Provide Currency Buffer
PROCurrenciesJul 27

BRL Volatility Rises After U.S. Tariff Shock; Exporter Revenue Models Provide Currency Buffer

Brazilian Real volatility has increased following U.S. tariff reports, prompting analysis of exporters' natural currency hedge mechanism.

Brazil ETF Investors Eye Homebuilders as Bradesco Backs Stocks
MarketsJul 24

Brazil ETF Investors Eye Homebuilders as Bradesco Backs Stocks

Bradesco BBI highlights low-income Brazilian homebuilders as a resilient pocket of growth, citing historically low valuations despite recent market volatility.

Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility
PoliticsJul 24

Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility

Brazil's official candidate nomination window has opened, signaling a period of intense political polarization and fiscal uncertainty for global investors.

US Section 301 Tariffs Hit B3 Stocks and Brazilian Real
PoliticsJul 24

US Section 301 Tariffs Hit B3 Stocks and Brazilian Real

New 25% US tariffs on Brazilian goods trigger market volatility, putting the spotlight on B3 stocks, the USD BRL exchange rate, and the EWZ ETF.

Brazil Stock Market Today: Speculator Soybean Longs Signal Volatility
PROMarketsJul 23

Brazil Stock Market Today: Speculator Soybean Longs Signal Volatility

Large speculators hold heavy net-long soybean positions. We analyze what this means for the Brazil stock market today, the real, and major agribusiness ADRs.

Brazilian Real Rallies to 5.05/USD on Record H1 Inflows
CurrenciesJul 23

Brazilian Real Rallies to 5.05/USD on Record H1 Inflows

Brazil’s currency gains 3% over the past month as a massive $42.4 billion trade surplus and high interest rates shield the Real from global volatility.

Oil Prices Surge Past $88 on US-Iran Conflict Escalation
MarketsJul 20

Oil Prices Surge Past $88 on US-Iran Conflict Escalation

Brent crude jumps 4.63% to $88.13 amid US-Iran military clashes, injecting volatility into Petrobras pricing and fueling Brazil inflation worries.

US Tariffs on Brazil Pressure Real as Trade Surplus Risks Shrink
CurrenciesJul 17

US Tariffs on Brazil Pressure Real as Trade Surplus Risks Shrink

The U.S. has finalized a 25% tariff on Brazilian imports under Section 301, threatening Brazil's trade surplus and sending the USD/BRL rate toward 5.10.

Record $90 Billion Trade Surplus Forecast Backstops BRL
CurrenciesJul 14

Record $90 Billion Trade Surplus Forecast Backstops BRL

Brazil's revised $90 billion trade surplus forecast provides a strong structural dollar-inflow cushion to limit USD/BRL downside during global volatility.

Soybean Speculators Hold Net-Long Positions as Open Interest Surges
MarketsJul 13

Soybean Speculators Hold Net-Long Positions as Open Interest Surges

Large speculators maintain a strong net-long stance in soybean futures, signaling potential volatility as open interest climbs to 975,954 contracts.

BRL Volatility Set to Spike Ahead of Crucial July 10 IPCA Print
CurrenciesJul 08

BRL Volatility Set to Spike Ahead of Crucial July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation data could push 12-month accumulated price growth to 4.81%, threatening to halt the central bank's rate-cutting cycle.

Soybean Speculators Maintain Net-Long Stance as Supply Risks Loom
MarketsJul 07

Soybean Speculators Maintain Net-Long Stance as Supply Risks Loom

Large speculators hold a net-long position in soybean futures amid shifting supply dynamics and high open interest, signaling potential volatility ahead.

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print
CurrenciesJul 07

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation report on July 10 will test the market as economists navigate high Selic expectations and a 5.30% inflation forecast.

RBVA11 Maintains Strong 0.99% Monthly Yield for July Payout
InvestingJul 03

RBVA11 Maintains Strong 0.99% Monthly Yield for July Payout

Real estate fund RBVA11 declares a R$ 0.09 per share dividend for July 2026, delivering a 0.99% monthly yield amid broader market volatility.

Corn Prices Face Volatility Ahead of Critical USDA Acreage Report
AgroJun 30

Corn Prices Face Volatility Ahead of Critical USDA Acreage Report

Corn futures experience sharp price adjustments amid Brazil's safrinha harvest pressure and highly anticipated USDA planted area data.

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation
CurrenciesJun 30

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation

The Brazilian Real faces volatility as the central bank cuts rates to 14.25% while Focus Survey 2026 inflation expectations climb to 5.3%.

USD/BRL Volatility Spikes on June Ptax and US Labor Data
CurrenciesJun 30

USD/BRL Volatility Spikes on June Ptax and US Labor Data

Traders brace for USD/BRL swings as Brazil's final June Ptax rate calculation collides with crucial US labor data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary.

BRL Volatility Set to Spike on Ptax Rate and US Payrolls
CurrenciesJun 29

BRL Volatility Set to Spike on Ptax Rate and US Payrolls

The convergence of Brazil's end-of-month Ptax rate-setting and upcoming US labor data is poised to trigger sharp swings in the USD/BRL currency pair.

Brazilian Soy Prices Climb on Chicago Rally as Farmers Hold Crop
AgroJun 28

Brazilian Soy Prices Climb on Chicago Rally as Farmers Hold Crop

Brazilian physical soy prices rose to R$ 136.00 per saca at major ports, driven by US heatwave concerns, while cautious farmer selling slows local liquidity.

Strait of Hormuz Escalation Shatters Ceasefire, Shakes Energy Assets
MarketsJun 28

Strait of Hormuz Escalation Shatters Ceasefire, Shakes Energy Assets

A dramatic military escalation between the US and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz has shattered a recent ceasefire, triggering volatility in global oil-linked assets.