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Brazil Votes: How Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, and Zema Plan to Reshape the Economy
PROInvesting• 6h ago

Brazil Votes: How Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, and Zema Plan to Reshape the Economy

As Brazil votes in its presidential election, candidates Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flávio Bolsonaro, and Romeu Zema offer competing visions for the country's economic future.

Senate to Debate Ending Brazil's 6x1 Workweek Right After Election
Politics• Oct 02

Senate to Debate Ending Brazil's 6x1 Workweek Right After Election

Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has scheduled floor debates on a constitutional amendment to eliminate Brazil's 6x1 work scale, starting October 6.

Brazil soybean outlook in focus as Chicago net-long positions rise
Markets• Oct 02

Brazil soybean outlook in focus as Chicago net-long positions rise

Weekly CFTC data shows non-commercial traders holding a net-long position of 281,581 soybean contracts, reflecting shifting sentiment for Brazil's top export.

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Dead Heat Ahead of Brazil Vote
Politics• Oct 02

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Dead Heat Ahead of Brazil Vote

New polls show President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro in a tight race, signaling deep polarization as Brazil prepares for the first-round presidential vote.

Why Brazil's Easing Cycle is Failing to Rescue High-Debt Small Caps
PROSmall Caps• Oct 01

Why Brazil's Easing Cycle is Failing to Rescue High-Debt Small Caps

Despite five consecutive Selic rate cuts bringing the benchmark to 13.75%, Brazil's smaller companies remain crushed by high medium-term yields.

Geopolitical Risk Pushes USD/BRL Above R$5.09, Overwhelming Brazil’s High Interest Rate Differential
PROCurrencies• Aug 11

Geopolitical Risk Pushes USD/BRL Above R$5.09, Overwhelming Brazil’s High Interest Rate Differential

The Brazilian Real loses ground to the US Dollar as global uncertainty over the Middle East and inflation outweighs the lure of high domestic interest rates.

Structural Strength: Brazil’s Real Bolstered by $17.78 Billion First-Half Capital Inflow, Best Since 2018
PROCurrencies• Aug 11

Structural Strength: Brazil’s Real Bolstered by $17.78 Billion First-Half Capital Inflow, Best Since 2018

Brazil recorded a net foreign capital inflow of US$17.78 billion in the first half, its highest since 2018, providing a key floor for the Brazilian Real.

Brazil Presidential Candidate Caiado Taps Market Veteran Armínio Fraga as Top Economic Advisor
PROPolitics• Aug 11

Brazil Presidential Candidate Caiado Taps Market Veteran Armínio Fraga as Top Economic Advisor

PSD candidate Ronaldo Caiado named former Central Bank chief Armínio Fraga as his primary economic reference, signaling a pro-market reform agenda for Brazil.

Dollar Rises Above R$5.11 Against Brazilian Real as Hormuz Tensions Fuel Global Risk Aversion
Currencies• Aug 11

Dollar Rises Above R$5.11 Against Brazilian Real as Hormuz Tensions Fuel Global Risk Aversion

The Brazilian Real depreciated past R$5.11 against the US Dollar as geopolitical tension in the Middle East drove investors to safe-haven assets.

China Joins Brazil's WTO Challenge Against US Tariffs Up to 37.5%
PROPolitics• Aug 11

China Joins Brazil's WTO Challenge Against US Tariffs Up to 37.5%

Beijing officially joins consultations, citing commercial interest in Brazil's WTO case against US Section 301 tariffs.

Brazil Soy Sales Slow Down as Farmers Hold Back on Lower Prices
Agro• Aug 10

Brazil Soy Sales Slow Down as Farmers Hold Back on Lower Prices

Brazilian soybean commercialization loses steam in August as producers resist selling following a price correction driven by improved US weather forecasts.

Sigma Lithium stock jumps as direct US listing bypasses ADR hurdles
NASDAQ• Aug 10

Sigma Lithium stock jumps as direct US listing bypasses ADR hurdles

Sigma Lithium (SGML) surged 5.6% ahead of its Q2 earnings, highlighting its status as a rare Brazilian stock US retail investors can trade directly.

Brazil Candidate's Amnesty Pledge Signals Heightened Political Risk
PROPolitics• Aug 10

Brazil Candidate's Amnesty Pledge Signals Heightened Political Risk

Presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado's promise of a broad amnesty for January 8 rioters introduces major institutional risk ahead of Brazil's 2026 election.

Foreign Capital Inflows Surge to Eight-Year High to Back Brazil Real
PROCurrencies• Aug 10

Foreign Capital Inflows Surge to Eight-Year High to Back Brazil Real

Brazil records a massive US$17.78 billion foreign capital inflow in the first half of 2026, driven by high interest rates that cushion the Brazilian real.

Presidential Candidate Caiado Promises Amnesty for Jan 8 Convicts, Raising Brazil’s Institutional Risk
Politics• Aug 09

Presidential Candidate Caiado Promises Amnesty for Jan 8 Convicts, Raising Brazil’s Institutional Risk

PSD candidate Ronaldo Caiado's pledge to grant amnesty to January 8 convicts introduces major political uncertainty.

Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks
PROCurrencies• Aug 09

Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks

Rabobank forecasts the USD/BRL exchange rate to hit R$5.55 by end-2026, anticipating a 9.0% depreciation driven by fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty.

Brazil’s New Port Concession Model, Tested in Santos, Becomes Blueprint for $1.26 Billion Infrastructure Pipeline
PROMarkets• Aug 09

Brazil’s New Port Concession Model, Tested in Santos, Becomes Blueprint for $1.26 Billion Infrastructure Pipeline

Brazil is pivoting its port infrastructure strategy, adopting a new private concession model that links operator pay to guaranteed navigability.

Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear
Currencies• Aug 09

Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear

The USD/BRL jumped to R$5.130, fueled by weak industrial data cementing Selic rate cut expectations and rising geopolitical risk from a US diplomatic feud.

Seven-Day Dry Spell in Key Brazil Soy Regions Puts Crop-Stress Risk on Radar
PROAgro• Aug 07

Seven-Day Dry Spell in Key Brazil Soy Regions Puts Crop-Stress Risk on Radar

Zero rainfall in Sorriso, Rio Verde, and Luís Eduardo Magalhães raises concern for the upcoming Brazil soybean season.

Federal Police Indicts Ex-Lula Appointee in R$6.3 Billion INSS Fraud Probe
Politics• Aug 07

Federal Police Indicts Ex-Lula Appointee in R$6.3 Billion INSS Fraud Probe

The indictment of former INSS President Alessandro Stefanutto for organized crime and corruption raises significant Brazil governance risk under the Lula administration.

Lula Reinforces Stance on Tech Regulation: 'Freedom of Expression Has Limits'
PROPolitics• Aug 07

Lula Reinforces Stance on Tech Regulation: 'Freedom of Expression Has Limits'

President Lula's comments and the AGU's move to suspend Discord heightens regulatory risk for Big Tech in Brazil, reinforcing platform liability.

Qualcomm Targets Brazil as AI Infrastructure Hub, Pivoting to Edge Computing Solutions
Tech• Aug 07

Qualcomm Targets Brazil as AI Infrastructure Hub, Pivoting to Edge Computing Solutions

Qualcomm is strategically expanding its AI and edge computing footprint in Brazil to serve new regions, bolstering digital infrastructure.

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal
PROCurrencies• Aug 07

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal

The Brazilian Real appreciated against the USD, driven by a tight monetary policy stance following the COPOM rate decision.

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade
PROCurrencies• Aug 07

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade

Weaker-than-expected industrial production data reinforces the expectation for deeper Selic rate cuts, eroding the Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal.

US Tariff Hike Pushes Brazilian Exports to Historical Low, Accelerating Pivot to China
Politics• Aug 07

US Tariff Hike Pushes Brazilian Exports to Historical Low, Accelerating Pivot to China

Brazilian exports to the US fell 13% to US$17.4 billion in H1 2026 after new 25% tariffs, dropping the US share of Brazil's trade to a 29-year low.

US Tariffs Deepen Structural Headwind as Brazilian Exports to US Drop 12.2%
PROPolitics• Aug 07

US Tariffs Deepen Structural Headwind as Brazilian Exports to US Drop 12.2%

Trade data shows US imports from Brazil fell 12.2% year-to-date, with the new 25% tariff targeting manufactured goods like WEG and pressuring the Real.

Minas Gerais’ R$45.6 Billion Agro Exports Validate SNAG11 Fiagro Thesis
Investing• Aug 07

Minas Gerais’ R$45.6 Billion Agro Exports Validate SNAG11 Fiagro Thesis

Robust H1 2026 agribusiness exports from Minas Gerais underpin the credit quality of Certificados de Recebíveis do Agronegócio (CRAs) held by Fiagro SNAG11.

Top Fund Flags 'Deteriorated' Brazilian Debt, Risk of Doubling by 2032
Markets• Aug 07

Top Fund Flags 'Deteriorated' Brazilian Debt, Risk of Doubling by 2032

Adam Capital warns Brazil's public debt, at R$ 10.8 trillion, is on an unsustainable path, demanding a 4% GDP primary surplus.

Lula’s ‘Freedom Has Limits’ Rhetoric Heightens Regulatory Risk for Meta, Google in Brazil
PROPolitics• Aug 07

Lula’s ‘Freedom Has Limits’ Rhetoric Heightens Regulatory Risk for Meta, Google in Brazil

President Lula's latest remarks linking free speech to a crackdown on online crime signals the administration's firm intent to advance digital platform regulation.

Ibovespa Drops 1.23% on Copom Caution and Geopolitical Risk; PETR4 Limits Loss
Investing• Aug 07

Ibovespa Drops 1.23% on Copom Caution and Geopolitical Risk; PETR4 Limits Loss

Brazil's benchmark Ibovespa fell to 175,546.36 points as the Central Bank’s cautious tone post-Selic cut dampened rate-sensitive stocks.