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30 results for “fiscal framework

Brazil’s Election Defined by Stark Fiscal Divide Over High Debt and 13.75% Interest Rate
PROPolitics3h ago

Brazil’s Election Defined by Stark Fiscal Divide Over High Debt and 13.75% Interest Rate

The 2026 Brazilian presidential election pits the incumbent's pro-growth fiscal framework against the opposition's call for aggressive spending cuts to tackle high public debt.

Brazil’s Political Divide Crystallizes Around Lula’s Fiscal Rule Versus Debt-Ceiling Alternative
Politics5h ago

Brazil’s Political Divide Crystallizes Around Lula’s Fiscal Rule Versus Debt-Ceiling Alternative

The national debate over Brazil's economic future pits President Lula's revenue-linked spending rule against a conservative proposal for an automatic debt-to-GDP spending ceiling.

Brazil Finance Ministry Flips 2026 Deficit to Superavit Using R$63 Billion in Legal Deductions
PROPolitics5h ago

Brazil Finance Ministry Flips 2026 Deficit to Superavit Using R$63 Billion in Legal Deductions

Brazil’s Finance Ministry used R$62.78 billion in legal adjustments to transform an R$81 billion deficit into a projected R$10.77 billion surplus for 2026, narrowly meeting the fiscal target.

Brazil’s Central Bank Constrained by Fiscal Framework Uncertainty
Politics13h ago

Brazil’s Central Bank Constrained by Fiscal Framework Uncertainty

Brazil’s top economic officials stress the stability of the new fiscal rule is essential to allow for lower interest rates, as the Central Bank keeps rates high.

Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending
PoliticsSep 21

Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending

Leading presidential challenger Flávio Bolsonaro proposes a radical new fiscal rule tying spending caps to Brazil's high public debt.

Independent Senate Body Projects R$86 Billion Deficit for Brazil's 2027 Budget
PROPoliticsSep 17

Independent Senate Body Projects R$86 Billion Deficit for Brazil's 2027 Budget

Brazil's Independent Fiscal Institution forecast an R$86.1 billion primary deficit for 2027, severely challenging the government's R$18.6 billion surplus target.

Lula Sanctions Law Carving Out Fiscal Exceptions for Data Centers and Tax Benefits
PROPoliticsSep 16

Lula Sanctions Law Carving Out Fiscal Exceptions for Data Centers and Tax Benefits

President Lula approved Complementary Law 237/26, which creates exceptions to Brazil’s new fiscal framework, raising concerns about the government's ability to control spending.

New Brazil Poll Shows Flávio Bolsonaro Edging Ahead of Lula in Runoff Scenario
PROPoliticsSep 15

New Brazil Poll Shows Flávio Bolsonaro Edging Ahead of Lula in Runoff Scenario

The latest Quaest poll shows Senator Flávio Bolsonaro numerically leading President Lula in a second-round simulation, highlighting the tightening Brazil election race.

Brazil’s Finance Minister Signals Tighter Spending Cap After New Dividend Tax Hits Investors
PROPoliticsSep 14

Brazil’s Finance Minister Signals Tighter Spending Cap After New Dividend Tax Hits Investors

Finance Minister Dario Durigan is proposing a stricter spending limit for Brazil’s fiscal framework, following the recent imposition of a new 10% dividend tax.

Brazil Finance Minister Asks Supreme Court to Halt Congress Spending Bills
PROPoliticsSep 13

Brazil Finance Minister Asks Supreme Court to Halt Congress Spending Bills

Finance Minister Dario Durigan is appealing to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) to stop Congress from passing spending bills that threaten Brazil’s new Fiscal Framework.

Post-Election Fiscal Void Puts Brazil's Economy on Knife’s Edge
PoliticsSep 12

Post-Election Fiscal Void Puts Brazil's Economy on Knife’s Edge

Major investment banks warn that the next government’s fiscal plan will determine if Brazil’s Selic rate soars or if the Ibovespa sees a massive rally.

Lula Re-election Platform Vows Adherence to Fiscal Rule While Targeting Congressional ‘Pork-Barrel’ Spending
PoliticsSep 12

Lula Re-election Platform Vows Adherence to Fiscal Rule While Targeting Congressional ‘Pork-Barrel’ Spending

Brazil's President Lula da Silva’s re-election platform promises to maintain the New Fiscal Framework while proposing a reorganization of parliamentary budget amendments.

Brazil’s Election Focuses on Divergent Paths to Fiscal Stability Amid Rising Public Debt
PROPoliticsSep 10

Brazil’s Election Focuses on Divergent Paths to Fiscal Stability Amid Rising Public Debt

The 2026 Brazilian presidential race centers on sharply contrasting fiscal proposals to manage rising public debt and federal spending.

Lula Government Allocates R$6.6 Billion in Fuel Subsidies, Challenging Fiscal Framework Target
PoliticsSep 09

Lula Government Allocates R$6.6 Billion in Fuel Subsidies, Challenging Fiscal Framework Target

Brazil's President Lula signed an executive order for R$6.6 billion in fuel subsidies, immediately pressuring the zero-deficit target.

Lula Bypasses Fiscal Rule with R$6.6 Billion Fuel Subsidy, Renewing Brazil Fiscal Concern
PROPoliticsSep 09

Lula Bypasses Fiscal Rule with R$6.6 Billion Fuel Subsidy, Renewing Brazil Fiscal Concern

President Lula authorized a massive R$6.6 billion extraordinary credit for fuel subsidies, raising concerns about the new fiscal framework.

Brazil Opens $1.3 Billion Fuel Subsidy to Shield Consumers from Global Oil Shock
MarketsSep 09

Brazil Opens $1.3 Billion Fuel Subsidy to Shield Consumers from Global Oil Shock

President Lula signs Provisional Measure for R$6.6 billion in subsidies to stabilize diesel prices and fight inflation.

Fiscal Slippage: Brazil's Government Excludes Billions in Payments from New Spending Cap
PROMarketsSep 07

Fiscal Slippage: Brazil's Government Excludes Billions in Payments from New Spending Cap

Brazil's fiscal anchor is under pressure as the government excludes tens of billions of reais in payments from the new spending framework, raising country risk.

Brazil Projects Record Revenue for 2026, But Debt Load and New Taxes Undercut Fiscal Stability
PROPoliticsSep 06

Brazil Projects Record Revenue for 2026, But Debt Load and New Taxes Undercut Fiscal Stability

Brazil forecasts a record R$ 3.24 trillion revenue for 2026, though rising debt and new taxes temper optimism.

Bolsonaro Challenger Proposes R$190 Billion Fiscal Cut and 20-Year Legal Stability for Investors
PROPoliticsSep 06

Bolsonaro Challenger Proposes R$190 Billion Fiscal Cut and 20-Year Legal Stability for Investors

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's presidential platform targets a 1.5% GDP cut, a new fiscal framework, and Judiciary spending.

Brazil’s Presidential Race Hinges on Contrasting, Criticized Fiscal Plans
PoliticsSep 06

Brazil’s Presidential Race Hinges on Contrasting, Criticized Fiscal Plans

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro offer starkly different fiscal strategies to tackle Brazil's rising public debt, but neither plan satisfies economists.

PROMarketsAug 23

Brazil’s Fiscal Framework Credibility Erodes as Real Deficit Threatens Public Debt Stability

Brazil's New Fiscal Framework is undermined by rising deficits and spending 'exceptions,' jeopardizing debt stabilization and sustaining a high country risk.

Fiscal Clash: Brazil’s Election Hinges on BNDES Role and Debt-Linked Spending Cap
PoliticsAug 18

Fiscal Clash: Brazil’s Election Hinges on BNDES Role and Debt-Linked Spending Cap

Presidential candidates Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro present starkly different plans for Brazil's state size, BNDES, and the public debt.

Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Ex-Minister, Goldman Sachs Veteran to Economic Team in Market Push
PoliticsAug 18

Flávio Bolsonaro Adds Ex-Minister, Goldman Sachs Veteran to Economic Team in Market Push

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the main right-wing challenger, named key market figures to his team, signaling a fiscally conservative platform.

Lula Re-Election Platform Prioritizes Social Spending and State-Led Development Over Fiscal Austerity
PROPoliticsAug 17

Lula Re-Election Platform Prioritizes Social Spending and State-Led Development Over Fiscal Austerity

Brazil's President Lula confirms a platform focused on social programs and state economic involvement for his likely re-election bid.

Lula Government Approves Fiscal Curbs for 2027 Amid Push for Pre-Election Spending
PROPoliticsAug 13

Lula Government Approves Fiscal Curbs for 2027 Amid Push for Pre-Election Spending

Brazil's Congress approved spending triggers for 2027, deferring austerity while the government seeks new exemptions for 2026 spending.

Lula’s R$283.2 Billion Stimulus Package Signals Fiscal Risk as Credit Programs See Low Uptake
PROPoliticsAug 04

Lula’s R$283.2 Billion Stimulus Package Signals Fiscal Risk as Credit Programs See Low Uptake

Brazil's R$283.2B package for the election year, heavy on off-budget credit lines, faces high fiscal risk and low effectiveness amid consumer debt.

Lula Disapproval Hits 49%, Signaling Political Headwinds for Fiscal Reform
PoliticsJul 30

Lula Disapproval Hits 49%, Signaling Political Headwinds for Fiscal Reform

President Lula's disapproval reached 49% in a late July poll, heightening fiscal risk and pressuring the government on reforms.

Lula Government’s Congressional Support Halves in Senate, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risk
PoliticsJul 28

Lula Government’s Congressional Support Halves in Senate, Escalating Brazil Fiscal Risk

President Lula’s Senate support fell from 75% to 38.5%, jeopardizing the fiscal framework after Congress blocked a R$10B tax and advanced R$111B 'fiscal bombs'.

Net Negative Lula Approval Rating Heightens Risk to Brazil Fiscal Framework, Weighing on IBOV
PoliticsJul 27

Net Negative Lula Approval Rating Heightens Risk to Brazil Fiscal Framework, Weighing on IBOV

President Lula's disapproval reached 49% against 47% approval in the latest BTG/Nexus poll, indicating political headwinds for crucial fiscal reform.

Brazil Unfreezes R$5.7 Billion in Current 2024 Budget, Releasing Funds as Fiscal Picture Improves
PoliticsJul 27

Brazil Unfreezes R$5.7 Billion in Current 2024 Budget, Releasing Funds as Fiscal Picture Improves

Brasília unfroze R$5.7B from the 2024 budget after a cut in mandatory spending projections, improving the primary balance forecast and signaling fiscal adherence.