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Diesel Shortage Risk Forces Brazilian Biodiesel Producers to Push for Higher Blends
Small CapsSep 18

Diesel Shortage Risk Forces Brazilian Biodiesel Producers to Push for Higher Blends

A record gap between Petrobras's domestic diesel price and international rates is creating a supply risk, leading industry groups to lobby for an immediate increase to a B17 biodiesel mandate to shore up domestic supply.

Lula Links New Equatorial Margin Oil Frontier to Sovereignty, Warning of US Interest
PROPoliticsSep 18

Lula Links New Equatorial Margin Oil Frontier to Sovereignty, Warning of US Interest

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva called the Equatorial Margin a potential "new pre-sal," framing the exploration push by Petrobras as a defense of Brazilian sovereignty against perceived US interest.

Brazil’s Economic Activity Stalls as Agribusiness Slumps, Fueling Case for Selic Rate Cuts
PROInvestingSep 17

Brazil’s Economic Activity Stalls as Agribusiness Slumps, Fueling Case for Selic Rate Cuts

The Central Bank of Brazil’s pre-GDP indicator (IBC-Br) fell 0.2% in July, exceeding forecasts, as a steep 1.2% decline in Agribusiness weighed heavily on the economy.

Brazil Warns US Foreign Terrorist Designation for PCC, CV Risks Military Action
PROPoliticsSep 17

Brazil Warns US Foreign Terrorist Designation for PCC, CV Risks Military Action

The Lula administration is warning that the U.S. designation of Brazil’s largest criminal groups, PCC and CV, as Foreign Terrorist Organizations is a "unilateral act" that could be a pretext for U.S. military intervention and financial sanctions.

Trump Administration Tied Tariff Relief to Brazil’s 2026 Election Interference Veto
PoliticsSep 17

Trump Administration Tied Tariff Relief to Brazil’s 2026 Election Interference Veto

Documents show the U.S. demanded Brazil protect political dissidents—seen as an attempt to intervene for ineligible former President Bolsonaro—to lift 50% tariffs in late 2025.

Brazil’s Central Bank Rate Cut Spurs Rotation Toward Domestic-Facing Stocks
InvestingSep 16

Brazil’s Central Bank Rate Cut Spurs Rotation Toward Domestic-Facing Stocks

The fifth consecutive cut to Brazil’s benchmark Selic interest rate, now at 13.75%, is driving a rotation of capital out of fixed income and into equity sectors sensitive to lower credit costs, such as retail and civil construction.

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 13.75%, Boosting Retail and Construction Prospects
InvestingSep 16

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 13.75%, Boosting Retail and Construction Prospects

Brazil’s central bank, Copom, cut the benchmark Selic interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 13.75% per annum, a move expected to stimulate the highly rate-sensitive retail and civil construction sectors.

Brazil’s 13.75% Selic Rate Holds Down Consumer Credit, Caps Savings Returns
InvestingSep 16

Brazil’s 13.75% Selic Rate Holds Down Consumer Credit, Caps Savings Returns

The high Selic interest rate keeps borrowing costs high for Brazilian consumers while structurally capping returns for the nation's most popular savings account.

Dual Central Bank Decisions Place Brazilian Real’s High-Yield Carry Trade Under Immediate Threat
PROCurrenciesSep 16

Dual Central Bank Decisions Place Brazilian Real’s High-Yield Carry Trade Under Immediate Threat

The Brazilian Real's appeal to foreign investors is set for a pivotal test as the BCB's Copom and the US Federal Reserve are both expected to announce decisions that will narrow the critical interest rate differential on September 16, 2026.

Brazil’s Top Prosecutor, Paulo Gonet, Probed by Council Over Ties to Ex-Banker Daniel Vorcaro
PoliticsSep 15

Brazil’s Top Prosecutor, Paulo Gonet, Probed by Council Over Ties to Ex-Banker Daniel Vorcaro

Brazil's Federal Public Ministry Council has opened an internal procedure to investigate Attorney General Paulo Gonet's alleged ties to Daniel Vorcaro, the jailed former head of Banco Master.

Brazil’s Small-Cap Discount Nears Record High as High Rates and Political Risk Bite
PROSmall CapsSep 15

Brazil’s Small-Cap Discount Nears Record High as High Rates and Political Risk Bite

The valuation gap between Brazilian small-cap and large-cap stocks is near a historical high, reflecting severe investor aversion to local political and interest-rate uncertainty.

Brazil’s Central Bank Set for Selic Cut, but Caution on Inflation Clouds Long-Term Bond Outlook
PROInvestingSep 15

Brazil’s Central Bank Set for Selic Cut, but Caution on Inflation Clouds Long-Term Bond Outlook

Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the benchmark Selic interest rate to 13.75%, but its forward guidance will be scrutinized for signals on future cuts given long-term inflation concerns.

Brazil’s Real Estate Funds Hit 3.3 Million Investors on B3 Despite High Interest Rates
InvestingSep 15

Brazil’s Real Estate Funds Hit 3.3 Million Investors on B3 Despite High Interest Rates

Brazilian Real Estate Investment Funds (FIIs) reached a record 3.3 million investors in July 2026, driven by retail demand for income and foreign capital flows, defying the country's high Selic rate environment.

Brazil’s Big Tech Compliance Clash: New Election Rules Create Regulatory Straitjacket
PRONASDAQSep 15

Brazil’s Big Tech Compliance Clash: New Election Rules Create Regulatory Straitjacket

US-listed social media giants face a significant rise in legal risk in Brazil as new decrees and election rules mandate extensive content moderation and AI-use controls.

Flávio Bolsonaro Economists Propose 'Fiscal Shock' to End Brazil’s 'Public Spending Alcoholism'
PROPoliticsSep 15

Flávio Bolsonaro Economists Propose 'Fiscal Shock' to End Brazil’s 'Public Spending Alcoholism'

Economists for Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign unveiled a radical austerity plan for 2027, including a 'self-containment' pact to cut the country’s high debt premium.

BlackRock Launches Tax-Efficient ETF for Coupon-Bearing Brazilian Government Bonds
MarketsSep 15

BlackRock Launches Tax-Efficient ETF for Coupon-Bearing Brazilian Government Bonds

The world's largest asset manager is expanding its German-domiciled UCITS line to offer international investors tax-advantaged access to high-yielding Brazilian Real debt.

Lula Sanctions Redata Tax Break, Luring Billions to Brazil's Digital Infrastructure
PROPoliticsSep 15

Lula Sanctions Redata Tax Break, Luring Billions to Brazil's Digital Infrastructure

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva enacted a new tax regime to incentivize international investment in Brazil's rapidly expanding data center sector.

Local Optimism Drives Brazil Small Cap Rally, Colliding with Institutional Caution on High Rates
PROInvestingSep 14

Local Optimism Drives Brazil Small Cap Rally, Colliding with Institutional Caution on High Rates

Brazilian investors are powering a small-cap stock rally on election-fueled optimism for lower interest rates, creating a divergence with foreign institutional caution over the sustained high Selic rate.

Saudi Pipeline Attack Pushes Oil Past $108, Straining Brazilian Banks
PROMarketsSep 14

Saudi Pipeline Attack Pushes Oil Past $108, Straining Brazilian Banks

A drone strike on Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline has pushed Brent crude past $108, threatening a prolonged high-interest-rate cycle and rising credit risk for Brazilian lenders.

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Key ICMS Tax Credits for Fuel Distributors
PoliticsSep 14

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Key ICMS Tax Credits for Fuel Distributors

Brazil's Supreme Federal Court ruled that fuel distributors can keep state VAT tax credits on internal purchases, settling a major fiscal dispute.

Brazilian Digital Bank Inter & Co. Shares Dip Amid Sector Volatility on Nasdaq
NASDAQSep 14

Brazilian Digital Bank Inter & Co. Shares Dip Amid Sector Volatility on Nasdaq

Shares of Brazilian digital bank Inter & Co. fell 3.33% on Monday, continuing a period of volatility with no company-specific news.

Brazil’s Finance Minister Ties 2027 Rate Cuts Directly to Fiscal Discipline
MarketsSep 14

Brazil’s Finance Minister Ties 2027 Rate Cuts Directly to Fiscal Discipline

Finance Minister Dario Durigan committed the government to a primary surplus in 2027, arguing the fiscal effort is essential for lower interest rates.

Internal Resistance From Top Brass Defused Bolsonaro’s 2022 Coup Plot, Police Records Show
PROPoliticsSep 13

Internal Resistance From Top Brass Defused Bolsonaro’s 2022 Coup Plot, Police Records Show

Accounts from former commanders of the Brazilian Armed Forces reveal key resistance that stopped Jair Bolsonaro's alleged plan to overturn the 2022 election.

Central Bank Probe Alleges R$12 Million Bribes Paid by Banco Master to Senior Regulators
PoliticsSep 13

Central Bank Probe Alleges R$12 Million Bribes Paid by Banco Master to Senior Regulators

An internal Central Bank investigation found evidence that two former senior officials received up to R$12 million in bribes from Banco Master's owner, Daniel Vorcaro.

New Brazil Tax Laws Fundamentally Shift Corporate Dividend and Capital Strategies
PROInvestingSep 13

New Brazil Tax Laws Fundamentally Shift Corporate Dividend and Capital Strategies

Sweeping tax changes taking effect in 2026, including a 10% withholding tax on dividends and a higher rate on Interest on Equity, have forced Brazilian companies to completely revise their financial engineering and distribution policies.

Brazil Banks Warn: Fiscal Plan Essential Post-Election to Avoid 20% Rates
PoliticsSep 13

Brazil Banks Warn: Fiscal Plan Essential Post-Election to Avoid 20% Rates

Investment banks warn that Brazil's next president must deliver a strict budget plan to prevent interest rates from soaring to 20% amid rising debt.

Brazil Supreme Court Institutional Feud Escalates, Threatening Judicial Stability and Risk Premium
PoliticsSep 12

Brazil Supreme Court Institutional Feud Escalates, Threatening Judicial Stability and Risk Premium

A high-profile internal conflict between Justices Alexandre de Moraes and André Mendonça over leaked messages with former banker Daniel Vorcaro is creating an institutional crisis at the STF ahead of a key vote.

Brazil Registers Largest Deflation in Four Years, Cementing Central Bank's Selic Rate Cut
PROInvestingSep 12

Brazil Registers Largest Deflation in Four Years, Cementing Central Bank's Selic Rate Cut

Brazil's official inflation index, the IPCA, fell 0.32% in August, the first deflation of the year, driven by a temporary 'Itaipu Bonus' on electricity bills.

Brazil’s Political Risk Spikes Long-Term Rates After Supreme Court Unseals Master Case
MarketsSep 11

Brazil’s Political Risk Spikes Long-Term Rates After Supreme Court Unseals Master Case

Long-term interest rates in Brazil jumped on Friday after the Supreme Federal Court unsealed documents in a massive political-financial fraud scandal.

Supreme Court Crisis Deepens as Justice Mendonça Orders Removal of Federal Police Chief
PROPoliticsSep 11

Supreme Court Crisis Deepens as Justice Mendonça Orders Removal of Federal Police Chief

A single-judge decision by Justice André Mendonça to remove Brazil’s Federal Police director-general has sparked an institutional crisis, forcing the STF President to intervene.