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206 results for “selic rate”

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL
PROCurrencies• Aug 04

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL

The Brazilian Real's recent rally stalled near R$5.05 after increased demand for US Dollar from domestic importers and bank treasuries.

XP Advises Fixed-Income Shift to IPCA and Pre-Fixed Bonds as Selic Rate Easing Cycle Continues
Investing• Aug 04

XP Advises Fixed-Income Shift to IPCA and Pre-Fixed Bonds as Selic Rate Easing Cycle Continues

XP Inc. recommends fixed-income investors pivot from pure CDI exposure to a diversified mix of inflation-linked and intermediate pre-fixed titles ahead of the expected Selic rate cut this week.

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut
Markets• Aug 04

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut

The USD/BRL touched R$5.1351 on Tuesday, rising past the BCB's internal exchange rate model ahead of the expected 25bp Selic rate cut.

Brazil Locks INSS Payroll Loan Cap at 1.85% Until Selic Hits 10.5%
PROPolitics• Aug 04

Brazil Locks INSS Payroll Loan Cap at 1.85% Until Selic Hits 10.5%

Decision stabilizes credit margins for major Brazil banks like Itaú and Bradesco, tying future rate cuts to aggressive BCB easing.

COPOM Set to Cut Selic to 14.00%; Investor Focus Shifts to Pace of Future Easing
PROInvesting• Aug 04

COPOM Set to Cut Selic to 14.00%; Investor Focus Shifts to Pace of Future Easing

Brazil's Central Bank is widely expected to cut the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00% on Wednesday, with the market's attention fixed on forward guidance for the pace of the easing cycle.

TGAR11's 44% YTD Drop Underlines Strategic Dividend Cut to Preserve Capital for Development
Investing• Aug 04

TGAR11's 44% YTD Drop Underlines Strategic Dividend Cut to Preserve Capital for Development

Fundo de Investimento Imobiliário (FII) TGAR11's high yield is misleading, as a strategic dividend cut to R$0.72 per share aims to preserve capital amid a steep 44% YTD share price decline.

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)
PROCurrencies• Aug 04

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)

Investors are focused on the Central Bank's signal about the easing cycle's future, as the expected Selic rate cut is fully priced into USD/BRL.

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%
PROCurrencies• Aug 04

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%

Currency traders eye the USD/BRL rate as the Central Bank is poised to make a 25 basis point cut to the benchmark Selic interest rate.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for 25bp Cut to 14.00% as Long-Term Selic Forecast Rises
PROInvesting• Aug 04

Brazil Central Bank Poised for 25bp Cut to 14.00% as Long-Term Selic Forecast Rises

COPOM is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, even as the Focus Report shows a raised year-end 2026 rate forecast.

Brazilian Small Cap Index Trades at 33% Discount to Historical Average
PROSmall Caps• Aug 03

Brazilian Small Cap Index Trades at 33% Discount to Historical Average

The Brazilian Small Cap Index (SMLL) is trading at an approximate 33% discount to its long-term historical P/E ratio, driven by high Selic rates and capital outflow.

Brazilian Real Rallies 7.7% Against Dollar, Outperforming EM Peers on Powerful Carry Trade
Currencies• Aug 03

Brazilian Real Rallies 7.7% Against Dollar, Outperforming EM Peers on Powerful Carry Trade

The BRL has strengthened by 7.67% over the last year, driven by high interest rates and a post-Fed weak US Dollar.

Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07
Currencies• Aug 03

Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07

The Brazilian Real hit its strongest level in nearly seven weeks, driven by the attractive carry trade yield from the high Selic rate.

Brazil’s 14.25% Selic Rate Sustains Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Attracting Foreign Capital
Currencies• Aug 03

Brazil’s 14.25% Selic Rate Sustains Brazilian Real Carry Trade, Attracting Foreign Capital

Brazil’s elevated Selic rate of 14.25% makes the BRL a top carry trade beneficiary, driving significant foreign capital inflows.

Small-Cap Brazil Index (SMLL) Trades at 33% Discount as Rate Sensitivity Weighs
Small Caps• Aug 03

Small-Cap Brazil Index (SMLL) Trades at 33% Discount as Rate Sensitivity Weighs

Brazil's SMLL Index is trading at 8.7x projected earnings, a 33% discount to its historical average, due to small-cap sensitivity to the elevated Selic rate.

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor
PROCurrencies• Aug 03

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor

Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps this week, a move that could expose BRL to fiscal risk.

COPOM Poised to Deliver Fourth Consecutive Selic Rate Cut to 14.0%
PROMarkets• Aug 03

COPOM Poised to Deliver Fourth Consecutive Selic Rate Cut to 14.0%

Brazil's Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 bps on Wednesday, improving the outlook for interest-sensitive stocks.

COPOM Begins Meeting with Selic Rate Cut Expected, But Global Tensions Elevate Risk of a Hold
PROInvesting• Aug 03

COPOM Begins Meeting with Selic Rate Cut Expected, But Global Tensions Elevate Risk of a Hold

Brazil's Central Bank begins its two-day Selic rate meeting, with a 25 basis point cut favored but external risks suggesting a potential hold at 14.25%.

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut
PROCurrencies• Jul 31

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut

The Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal will be tested by an expected 25bp Selic cut next week, set against a resilient labor market.

Brazilian Small Cap Index SMLL Plummets 1.96%, Extending YTD Loss Past 6%
Small Caps• Jul 30

Brazilian Small Cap Index SMLL Plummets 1.96%, Extending YTD Loss Past 6%

B3’s Small Cap Index (SMLL) fell 1.96%, deepening its year-to-date loss and signaling persistent risk-off sentiment in Brazil’s small-cap segment.

Brazilian Real Powers To Top Currency Spot In 2026 As 14.25% Selic Rate Fuels Carry Trade
Markets• Jul 30

Brazilian Real Powers To Top Currency Spot In 2026 As 14.25% Selic Rate Fuels Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real (BRL) is one of the world's best-performing currencies in 2026, driven by a high 14.25% Selic rate.

Lula Disapproval Hits 49%, Signaling Political Headwinds for Fiscal Reform
Politics• Jul 30

Lula Disapproval Hits 49%, Signaling Political Headwinds for Fiscal Reform

President Lula's disapproval reached 49% in a late July poll, heightening fiscal risk and pressuring the government on reforms.

Moderating Labor Market Reinforces Bets for Copom to Cut Selic Rate to 14.00%
PROMarkets• Jul 30

Moderating Labor Market Reinforces Bets for Copom to Cut Selic Rate to 14.00%

Easing job creation, combined with benign inflation just above target, solidifies expectations for a 25bp cut.

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.11 on Fed Rate Hold, Signaling Near-Term Ceiling for USD/BRL
Currencies• Jul 30

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.11 on Fed Rate Hold, Signaling Near-Term Ceiling for USD/BRL

The BRL appreciated after the US Federal Reserve held rates, weakening the US Dollar and increasing the appeal of Brazil's high-carry currency.

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate
PROCurrencies• Jul 29

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate

The Brazilian Real holds at R$5.11 against the US Dollar, sustained by the high 14.25% Selic rate that supports a strong carry trade.

Investor Consensus Locks In Stable R$5.20 for 2026-End USD/BRL; XP Sees Stronger R$5.00
PROCurrencies• Jul 29

Investor Consensus Locks In Stable R$5.20 for 2026-End USD/BRL; XP Sees Stronger R$5.00

Median market projection for the USD/BRL exchange rate has held steady at R$5.20 for six weeks, providing long-term predictability.

Petrobras Rises on Domestic Rate Cut Hopes as Sharp IPCA-15 Drop Fuels Brazil Stock Market
Investing• Jul 29

Petrobras Rises on Domestic Rate Cut Hopes as Sharp IPCA-15 Drop Fuels Brazil Stock Market

Ibovespa and Petrobras advanced after the IPCA-15 mid-month inflation print dropped sharply, bolstering expectations for a continued Selic rate cut cycle.

IFIX Closes Above Key 3,800 Level as Brazilian Real Estate Funds Gain Momentum
PROInvesting• Jul 29

IFIX Closes Above Key 3,800 Level as Brazilian Real Estate Funds Gain Momentum

The Brazilian Real Estate Funds Index (IFIX) recovered the 3,800 level, drawing attention as rate-easing expectations boost income-oriented real estate funds.

Brazil’s Surprise 0.06% Inflation Print Fuels Rally on B3, Sharpens Bets for Aggressive Selic Rate Cut
PROMarkets• Jul 28

Brazil’s Surprise 0.06% Inflation Print Fuels Rally on B3, Sharpens Bets for Aggressive Selic Rate Cut

Brazil's mid-month IPCA-15 cooled sharply to 0.06% in July, boosting the Ibovespa and reinforcing expectations for a larger Copom rate cut.

Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher
Currencies• Jul 28

Hawkish Fed Speculation Trumps Soft IPCA-15, Pushing USD/BRL Higher

Real fails to gain ground after mid-July inflation undershoots expectations, as market focus shifts to hawkish Fed outlook.

Brazil Treasury Pivots Bond Strategy to Avoid Locking in Record High Real Yields
PROMarkets• Jul 28

Brazil Treasury Pivots Bond Strategy to Avoid Locking in Record High Real Yields

Brazil's National Treasury is cutting NTN-B supply, prioritizing LFTs after real yields soared, signaling official concern over high borrowing costs.