Search

162 results for “interest rates

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor
PROCurrenciesAug 03

COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor

Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps this week, a move that could expose BRL to fiscal risk.

COPOM Poised to Deliver Fourth Consecutive Selic Rate Cut to 14.0%
PROMarketsAug 03

COPOM Poised to Deliver Fourth Consecutive Selic Rate Cut to 14.0%

Brazil's Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 bps on Wednesday, improving the outlook for interest-sensitive stocks.

COPOM Begins Meeting with Selic Rate Cut Expected, But Global Tensions Elevate Risk of a Hold
PROInvestingAug 03

COPOM Begins Meeting with Selic Rate Cut Expected, But Global Tensions Elevate Risk of a Hold

Brazil's Central Bank begins its two-day Selic rate meeting, with a 25 basis point cut favored but external risks suggesting a potential hold at 14.25%.

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut
PROCurrenciesJul 31

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut

The Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal will be tested by an expected 25bp Selic cut next week, set against a resilient labor market.

Lula Disapproval Hits 49% in Poll, Stirring Brazil Fiscal Fears
PROPoliticsJul 30

Lula Disapproval Hits 49% in Poll, Stirring Brazil Fiscal Fears

A new PoderData poll shows Lula's disapproval at 49%, raising investor concerns over the government's ability to pass critical fiscal reforms.

Brazilian Real Strengthens to R$5.12 as Fed Pause Fuels High-Yield Carry Trade
PROCurrenciesJul 30

Brazilian Real Strengthens to R$5.12 as Fed Pause Fuels High-Yield Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real gained against the US Dollar, driven by the Federal Reserve's rate hold and persistent investor interest in Brazil's high-yield carry trade.

Brazil Small Cap Index (SMLL) Trades at Steep 33% Discount to Historical Average on B3
PROSmall CapsJul 30

Brazil Small Cap Index (SMLL) Trades at Steep 33% Discount to Historical Average on B3

The B3 Small Cap Index (SMLL) trades at a 33% discount to its historical P/E average, creating the largest valuation asymmetry on the Brazilian stock exchange.

USD BRL Breaks Past R$5.11 as Brazilian Real Weakens
PROCurrenciesJul 30

USD BRL Breaks Past R$5.11 as Brazilian Real Weakens

The Brazilian real struggles to hold below R$5.10, with the USD/BRL rate breaking past R$5.11 amid shifting interest rate expectations and fiscal concerns.

Brazil’s IFIX Real Estate Index Retreats Below 3,800 Amid High Real Interest Rates
PROInvestingJul 30

Brazil’s IFIX Real Estate Index Retreats Below 3,800 Amid High Real Interest Rates

The IFIX (FII Index) fell 0.26% to 3,797.33, confirming that restrictive monetary policy and high fixed-income competition remain the primary headwind for Brazil real estate funds.

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate
PROCurrenciesJul 29

Brazilian Real Supported by Carry Trade Despite Cautious Easing of Selic Rate

The Brazilian Real holds at R$5.11 against the US Dollar, sustained by the high 14.25% Selic rate that supports a strong carry trade.

Ibovespa Gains Temper Ahead of Uncertain Fed Decision, Real Pauses at R$5.13
PROMarketsJul 29

Ibovespa Gains Temper Ahead of Uncertain Fed Decision, Real Pauses at R$5.13

Brazilian markets are holding steady as investors await the Fed's decision, with a 1-in-3 chance of a surprise 25bp rate hike.

Itaú Lifts Year-End USD/BRL Forecast to R$5.30 on Stronger Global USD and Terms of Trade Pressure
CurrenciesJul 28

Itaú Lifts Year-End USD/BRL Forecast to R$5.30 on Stronger Global USD and Terms of Trade Pressure

Itaú, one of Brazil's largest banks, raised its 2026 year-end USD/BRL forecast, citing higher US rates and deteriorating terms of trade.

Brazil Police Probe Construction Fraud in Alagoas State
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil Police Probe Construction Fraud in Alagoas State

Brazil's Federal Police launched Operation Delivery to investigate school construction fraud, highlighting governance risks for investors in B3 stocks.

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership Amid R$6.6B Rescue Impasse
PoliticsJul 28

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership Amid R$6.6B Rescue Impasse

Central Bank of Brazil President Gabriel Galípolo met with BRB leadership as a R$6.6 billion rescue package remains stalled, impacting B3 assets.

Political Fiscal Risk Hardens BRL Support Above R$5.10
CurrenciesJul 28

Political Fiscal Risk Hardens BRL Support Above R$5.10

Domestic political polarization and a rising nominal deficit establish a firm floor for the USD/BRL despite high Selic interest rates.

Brazil PF Operation Targets R$1.3M Public Works Corruption
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil PF Operation Targets R$1.3M Public Works Corruption

Federal Police launch Operation Delivery in Alagoas, freezing R$1.3M in assets over municipal construction kickbacks, signaling regional governance risks.

Brazil Fiscal Risk: Political Avoidance Masks R$500B Gap
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil Fiscal Risk: Political Avoidance Masks R$500B Gap

Analysts warn Brazil needs a R$500 billion fiscal shock by 2027, but pre-election political gridlock is stalling structural spending cuts and elevating sovereign risk.

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership as R$6.6B Rescue Plan Stalls
PROPoliticsJul 28

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership as R$6.6B Rescue Plan Stalls

BC President Gabriel Galípolo met with BRB to discuss restructuring amid a stalled R$6.6 billion rescue package, raising concerns over systemic risk.

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Seizure of Suspect's Crypto Assets
TechJul 28

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Seizure of Suspect's Crypto Assets

Brazil's STF has upheld the freezing of a suspect's cryptocurrency in a major financial fraud case, reinforcing the country's strict digital asset enforcement.

Brazil NTN-B Demand Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Risks
MarketsJul 28

Brazil NTN-B Demand Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Risks

Institutional demand for Brazil's inflation-linked NTN-B bonds has collapsed to a 20-year low, pushing secondary market yields above IPCA + 8%.

Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves
PoliticsJul 28

Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves

Brazil reduced its required budget spending block by R$5.7 billion, signaling increased fiscal confidence and boosting outlooks for BRL and local assets.

Brazil NTN-B Issuance Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Fears
PROMarketsJul 28

Brazil NTN-B Issuance Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Fears

Brazil's National Treasury sees inflation-linked NTN-B bond issuance plunge to a 20-year low as fiscal risks push real interest rates above 8%.

USD BRL Eases as Brazil Mid-July Inflation Cools to 0.06%
CurrenciesJul 28

USD BRL Eases as Brazil Mid-July Inflation Cools to 0.06%

Brazil's IPCA-15 mid-July inflation slowed to 0.06%, dragging the annual rate to 4.52% as markets await the next Copom decision on the Selic rate.

Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation
PoliticsJul 28

Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation

Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation slowed to 0.06%, but a 3.03% spike in residential electricity driven by regulatory adjustments poses risks for utility stocks.

Brazilian Real Carry Trade Resilient on High Real Rates, Deficit
CurrenciesJul 28

Brazilian Real Carry Trade Resilient on High Real Rates, Deficit

Brazil's narrowing current account deficit and high inflation-adjusted real interest rates keep the Brazilian real highly attractive for carry trades.

US Tariffs and Middle East Risks Cap BRL Carry-Trade Gains
CurrenciesJul 28

US Tariffs and Middle East Risks Cap BRL Carry-Trade Gains

Brazil's 14.25% Selic rate fuels carry trades, but new 25% US tariffs and Middle East tensions cap the Brazilian real's appreciation potential.

BRL Carry Trade Faces Headwinds as Dollar Nears R$5.28 Forecast
PROCurrenciesJul 28

BRL Carry Trade Faces Headwinds as Dollar Nears R$5.28 Forecast

The Brazilian real faces a potential 3.36% depreciation toward R$5.28, threatening the lucrative BRL carry trade despite high local Selic interest rates.

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Crypto Blockade, Denies Access
TechJul 28

Brazil Supreme Court Upholds Crypto Blockade, Denies Access

Brazil's STF has upheld a crypto asset seizure and denied a defendant full access to the police inquiry, highlighting rising regulatory risks for investors.

Storms Damage São Paulo Cane and Soy; Abag Warns of Supply Impact
AgroJul 28

Storms Damage São Paulo Cane and Soy; Abag Warns of Supply Impact

Severe storms in São Paulo and heavy rains in Rio Grande do Sul spark supply concerns, impacting sugar and corn futures as Abag calls for urgent infrastructure investments.

Asaas Targets R$1 Billion Revenue by 2026 on Back of M&A Push
TechJul 28

Asaas Targets R$1 Billion Revenue by 2026 on Back of M&A Push

Brazilian fintech Asaas leverages its R$820 million Series C funding to acquire Mutuus and Helena CRM, aiming for R$1 billion in revenue by 2026.