Search
281 results for “Brazil Election”
Polarization Deepens as Brazil’s Top Presidential Candidates Face Near-Identical 55% Rejection Rates
The latest Quaest poll shows President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are technically tied in rejection, highlighting deep voter dissatisfaction ahead of the election.
Lula Administration Approves 15% Bolsa Família Hike Weeks Before Election Runoff
The Brazilian government identified R$19.6 billion in fiscal space, largely from lower Social Security spending, to fund a 15% increase in the minimum Bolsa Família benefit, raising it to R$691.
Fernando Haddad Threatens Reversal of São Paulo Privatizations, Eyes Sabesp Review
Gubernatorial candidate Fernando Haddad has promised a thorough review of privatized contracts and concessions in São Paulo, threatening the potential re-nationalization of sanitation company Sabesp.
Bolsonaro Campaign’s Debt-Linked Fiscal Rule Could Freeze Brazil Federal Spending
Leading presidential challenger Flávio Bolsonaro proposes a radical new fiscal rule tying spending caps to Brazil's high public debt.
Brazil’s Rate Squeeze: Selic Cut to 13.75% Against Fed Hike Narrows Gap Ahead of Election Risk
The Brazilian Real faces instability as the Central Bank cuts rates to 13.75% while the US Federal Reserve hikes, tightening the interest rate differential.
Electoral Jitters Drive ‘Binary Trade’ on Brazil’s Petrobras and Banco do Brasil
Investors are hedging against the sharp policy shifts expected from Brazil’s presidential election, focusing on key state-owned enterprises.
Brazilian Intelligence Agency Warns Government, Court of ‘Critical’ US Interference Risk in Election
Brazil’s spy agency, ABIN, has alerted the Lula government and the TSE of a critical risk of US pressure and interference in the current electoral process.
Final Quaest Poll Measures STF Scandal Impact on Tight Brazil Election Race
Brazil's latest Quaest poll, due today, will test how the STF corruption scandal has shifted the tight Lula-Bolsonaro presidential race.
Lula Heads to UN to Defend Sovereignty Amid Escalating Supreme Court, Election Tensions in Brazil
President Lula opens the UN General Assembly this week, using the global stage to address domestic judicial and electoral crises.
Lula to Open UN General Debate with Push for Sovereignty Amid 2026 Election Fears
Brazil's President Lula will use his UN General Assembly address to champion non-interference and demand UN Security Council reform.
Tied Brazil Election Polls Drive Risk Premium, Complicating Central Bank’s Rate Cut Cycle
A statistical tie between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro caused Brazil's Real and Bovespa to slide, adding political risk to the economy.
Brazil Presidential Challenger Romeu Zema Proposes Full Privatization and BRICS Exit in Election Plan
Presidential candidate Romeu Zema has proposed the full privatization of federal state-owned firms, including Petrobras and Banco do Brasil, and a foreign policy pivot away from BRICS toward the OECD.
Tight Polls Drive Brazilian Real Volatility as Political Risk Premium Surges
The Brazilian Real and local equities face sustained volatility as presidential election polls tighten, forcing investors to price in a higher political risk premium tied to future fiscal policy.
Brazil’s Fuel Subsidy Tab Hits R$9.9 Billion as Petrobras Stabilizes Diesel Price Ahead of Election
State-controlled Petrobras confirms R$9.9 billion in government subsidies to cap fuel prices, highlighting political risk before the October election.
Lula’s Election Push Drives R$10 Billion Fuel Subsidy as Banking Scandal Engulfs Brazil’s Justice System
Brazil’s election countdown is marked by a multi-billion-real fuel subsidy, a deepening Supreme Court crisis, and a tax deadline for small firms.
Lula Avoids Supreme Court Crisis Topic at UN as Institutional Tensions Fuel Brazil’s Political Risk
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will exclude Brazil's deepening judicial crisis from his UN speech, classifying the STF conflict as an internal matter.
Lula Announces Welfare Hike, Free Weight-Loss Injections While Threatening to Ban Regulated Betting Ahead of Election
President Lula made a series of fiscally significant and politically charged announcements, including a 15% Bolsa Família increase and a threat to shut down the newly regulated online gambling industry, two weeks before Brazil's presidential election.
Supreme Court Feud Over Justice Moraes’s Ties to Jailed Banker Overshadows Final Weeks of Brazil Election
Brazil's Supreme Federal Court is in crisis after a justice unsealed reports suggesting improper ties between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and a jailed banker, weeks before the October 4th general election.
Lula Boosts Welfare, Promises Expensive Weight-Loss Drugs Weeks Before Brazil Election
President Lula announced a 15.04% increase to the Bolsa Família benefit and the inclusion of Semaglutide in the public health system, just 17 days before the first-round election.
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Statistical Tie for 2026 Brazil Presidential Election
Recent Datafolha and BTG/Nexus polls confirm a statistical tie between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, raising political uncertainty ahead of the October vote.
Morgan Stanley Warns Brazil's Post-Election Fiscal Confidence May Underprice Real Risk
Analysts at Morgan Stanley caution that market confidence in a limited fiscal adjustment after the October 2026 election is dangerously high, warning a lack of a credible spending plan could trigger a severe crisis for the Brazilian Real and interest rates.
Supreme Court Upholds Lula’s Pre-Election Welfare Hike, Intensifying Fiscal Debate
Justice Gilmar Mendes validated a 15% increase to the Bolsa Família welfare program, reviving market concerns over Brazil’s fiscal integrity ahead of elections.
Brazil’s Electoral Court Upholds Voting Rights for Pre-Trial Detainees in 2026 Election
Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court unanimously ruled that provisional prisoners can vote in the 2026 general election, suspending a new law that sought to bar them.
Electoral Gridlock Stalls Brazil’s Congress, Leaving Major Reforms and Five Provisional Decrees in Limbo
The Brazilian legislative calendar has slowed significantly ahead of the October 2026 general election, leading to the postponement of structural policies and the expiration of Provisional Decrees.
US Pressure Campaign on Brazil’s Supreme Court, Election Tied to Trade Tariffs
Diplomatic sources indicate the US sought judicial guarantees and 'dissident' protection as conditions to lower tariffs, injecting geopolitical risk into the Brazil election.
Lula Re-Election Plan Prioritizes New Security Ministry and Real Minimum Wage Hikes
President Lula da Silva's re-election platform proposes a new Ministry of Public Security and a policy of guaranteed real increases to Brazil's minimum wage.
Brazil’s Supreme Court Distrust Hits Record 48% Amid Election and Ethics Scandal
A new Datafolha poll shows distrust in Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court has reached an all-time high as the institution is embroiled in a heated internal feud and an election-related financial scandal.
STF Minister Gilmar Mendes Validates 15% Bolsa Família Boost Weeks Before Brazil Election
Supreme Federal Court Minister Gilmar Mendes ruled that the 15.04% adjustment to the Bolsa Família welfare program does not violate electoral law.
Bolsonaro Challenger Flávio Bolsonaro Under Investigation in Major Brazil Bank Scandal
Presidential candidate and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro is under Federal Police investigation for alleged corruption and money laundering linked to the collapsed Banco Master.
Brazilian Real Falls as Pre-Election Welfare Boost Spurs Fiscal Anxiety
Brazil's Central Bank launched an emergency $1 billion dollar auction to stabilize the real after an unexpected 15% increase to the Bolsa Família social program raised investor fears over the country's fiscal stability just weeks before a critical presidential election.