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74 results for “Copom decision”

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal
The Brazilian Real appreciated against the USD, driven by a tight monetary policy stance following the COPOM rate decision.

Brazil’s New VAT Rate Could Hit 28%, Highest in OECD
Brazil's dual VAT rate under the PEC 45/2019 tax reform is projected to reach 28%, threatening consumer-facing sectors and driving up services costs.

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%
Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, a move that was fully priced in, stabilizing USD/BRL.

USD/BRL Volatility Jumps on US Sanctions Risk and Strait of Hormuz Tensions
The Brazilian real depreciated sharply following an escalation of US-Brazil diplomatic tension and fresh Middle East geopolitical risk.

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL
The Brazilian Real's recent rally stalled near R$5.05 after increased demand for US Dollar from domestic importers and bank treasuries.

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut
The USD/BRL touched R$5.1351 on Tuesday, rising past the BCB's internal exchange rate model ahead of the expected 25bp Selic rate cut.

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%
Currency traders eye the USD/BRL rate as the Central Bank is poised to make a 25 basis point cut to the benchmark Selic interest rate.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for 25bp Cut to 14.00% as Long-Term Selic Forecast Rises
COPOM is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, even as the Focus Report shows a raised year-end 2026 rate forecast.

Brazilian Real Extends Gain to 7-Week High as Robust Carry Trade Appeal Drives USD/BRL to R$5.07
The Brazilian Real hit its strongest level in nearly seven weeks, driven by the attractive carry trade yield from the high Selic rate.

Brazilian Real Faces Critical Test as Strong Labor Data Challenges Expected Copom Rate Cut
The Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal will be tested by an expected 25bp Selic cut next week, set against a resilient labor market.

Brazil Opens R$100 Billion Rural Debt Window as Banks Face Credit Risk
Brazil's CMN has regulated MP 1.376/2026, opening a R$100 billion rural debt renegotiation window that shifts credit risk directly onto major banks.

Lula Disapproval Hits 49% in Poll, Stirring Brazil Fiscal Fears
A new PoderData poll shows Lula's disapproval at 49%, raising investor concerns over the government's ability to pass critical fiscal reforms.

USD BRL Breaks Past R$5.11 as Brazilian Real Weakens
The Brazilian real struggles to hold below R$5.10, with the USD/BRL rate breaking past R$5.11 amid shifting interest rate expectations and fiscal concerns.

Lula’s R$1.3B El Niño Plan Sparks Fiscal and Ag Intervention Alert
Brazil's R$1.335 billion El Niño mitigation plan triggers fiscal and market intervention worries, impacting the real and agricultural commodities.

Petrobras Rises on Domestic Rate Cut Hopes as Sharp IPCA-15 Drop Fuels Brazil Stock Market
Ibovespa and Petrobras advanced after the IPCA-15 mid-month inflation print dropped sharply, bolstering expectations for a continued Selic rate cut cycle.

Unexpectedly Low IPCA-15 Fuels Selic Cut Hopes, Boosting Outlook for Brazilian Small-Cap Stocks
Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation print of 0.06% was far below expectations, reinforcing a dovish outlook for the August Copom decision and pointing to a potential valuation boost for leveraged B3 small-caps.

Brazil Police Probe Construction Fraud in Alagoas State
Brazil's Federal Police launched Operation Delivery to investigate school construction fraud, highlighting governance risks for investors in B3 stocks.

Galípolo Meets BRB Leadership Amid R$6.6B Rescue Impasse
Central Bank of Brazil President Gabriel Galípolo met with BRB leadership as a R$6.6 billion rescue package remains stalled, impacting B3 assets.

Brazil Cuts Rural Insurance Budget by 54%, Hiking Agro Credit Risk
Brazil's federal government blocked R$461.7 million from the 2026 PSR rural insurance budget, raising default risks for lenders like Banco do Brasil.

Brazil Eases Spending Block as 2026 Fiscal Outlook Improves
Brazil reduced its required budget spending block by R$5.7 billion, signaling increased fiscal confidence and boosting outlooks for BRL and local assets.

Brazil NTN-B Issuance Hits 20-Year Low on Fiscal Fears
Brazil's National Treasury sees inflation-linked NTN-B bond issuance plunge to a 20-year low as fiscal risks push real interest rates above 8%.

USD BRL Eases as Brazil Mid-July Inflation Cools to 0.06%
Brazil's IPCA-15 mid-July inflation slowed to 0.06%, dragging the annual rate to 4.52% as markets await the next Copom decision on the Selic rate.

Regulatory Risk in Brazil Power Tariffs Damps Low Inflation
Brazil's July IPCA-15 inflation slowed to 0.06%, but a 3.03% spike in residential electricity driven by regulatory adjustments poses risks for utility stocks.

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied in 2026 Rio Presidential Poll
A new RealTime Big Data poll in Rio de Janeiro shows a tight 2026 race between President Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, boosting political risk for Brazilian assets.

Brazilian Real Carry Trade Resilient on High Real Rates, Deficit
Brazil's narrowing current account deficit and high inflation-adjusted real interest rates keep the Brazilian real highly attractive for carry trades.

Geopolitical De-escalation Strengthens BRL Towards R$5.07
A diplomatic truce between the U.S. and Iran has reduced global risk, driving the Brazilian real stronger and boosting Ibovespa futures in early trading.

US Tariffs and Middle East Risks Cap BRL Carry-Trade Gains
Brazil's 14.25% Selic rate fuels carry trades, but new 25% US tariffs and Middle East tensions cap the Brazilian real's appreciation potential.

USD BRL Hits Two-Week High Ahead of Fed and Inflation Data
The Brazilian real fell to a two-week low against the US dollar as commodity shocks and hawkish Fed expectations pressure emerging market assets.

BRL Carry Trade Faces Headwinds as Dollar Nears R$5.28 Forecast
The Brazilian real faces a potential 3.36% depreciation toward R$5.28, threatening the lucrative BRL carry trade despite high local Selic interest rates.

Brazil Central Bank to Start FX Swap Rollover on August 5
The Banco Central do Brasil will begin rolling over currency swap contracts maturing on September 1, 2026, to curb volatility in the USD/BRL market.