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13 results for “fiscal uncertainty”
Brazil Focus Report Lifts 2026 Inflation Projection Again Amid Election Uncertainty
Economists raised Brazil's 2026 inflation forecast to 4.92%, signaling anxiety over fiscal policy ahead of the presidential election.
Political and Fiscal Risk Triggers Foreign Capital Exodus from Brazil’s Stock Market
Foreign investors pulled a near-record R$12 billion from the B3 stock exchange in early August, signaling deep caution over political and fiscal uncertainty ahead of the presidential election.
Political Risk Premium Undermines Brazilian Real Carry Trade Ahead of October Election
High-yielding Brazilian Real is struggling to keep pace with its interest rate differential as investors price in fiscal uncertainty before the October election.
Election Risk Trumps Yield: Global Funds Unwind Favored Brazilian Real Carry Trade
Institutional investors are moving away from the Brazilian Real after major banks downgraded assets, pricing in a high 'electoral risk premium' over fiscal uncertainty.
Brazil’s Presidential Candidates Avoid Concrete Fiscal Plans, Raising Macroeconomic Uncertainty
The tight 2026 Brazil election race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro is increasing country risk due to a lack of detailed budget proposals.
Brazilian Real Slides on Fiscal and Election Fears, Central Bank Intervenes to Steady Currency
Brazil's currency weakened past R$5.20 against the dollar as investors pull back due to pre-election fiscal uncertainty, prompting Central Bank intervention.
Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Fears Drive Brazilian Real to R$5.22, Outpacing Emerging Market Peers
The Brazilian Real's recent slide against the dollar is driven by a growing political risk premium ahead of the 2026 election and fiscal uncertainty.
Fiscal Fears Overwhelm Brazil’s High Interest Rate Appeal as Real Sinks in LatAm
The Brazilian Real has become Latin America's worst-performing currency as political and fiscal uncertainty ahead of the October election override its appeal to high-yield investors.
Brazil’s 14.0% Interest Rate Lures Foreign Capital, But Lula’s Fiscal Risk Constrains Further Cuts
The Banco Central do Brasil’s high Selic rate attracts massive global 'carry trade,' strengthening the Real, yet the high rate is a defensive wall against fiscal uncertainty.
Lula Attacks Fiscal Cap, Brands Market as 'Faria Lima Captor,' Fueling Fiscal Uncertainty
President Lula's comments criticizing fiscal rules and the financial market sent mixed signals, heightening political risk despite a Selic rate cut.
COPOM Selic Rate Cut to 14.00% Looms, Testing Brazilian Real’s Fiscal Anchor
Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps this week, a move that could expose BRL to fiscal risk.
Higher-for-Longer US Rates Erode Brazilian Real Carry Trade Appeal as Fiscal Risk Persists
Persistent US rate strength and domestic fiscal uncertainty are challenging the BRL's yield buffer, narrowing the carry trade differential.
Brazil Election Nominations Begin, Fueling Market Volatility
Brazil's official candidate nomination window has opened, signaling a period of intense political polarization and fiscal uncertainty for global investors.