BRZ.Publish
AI
BRZ.PublishFreeSpecial coverage · Sunday, Oct 4

Brazil Decides 2026

The first round, counted live: the official TSE tally for president and governors, the market reaction and BRZ News TV. Free to read.

Polls close at 5 pm Brasília
Live Sunday

Brazil Decides 2026 · trailer

Channel on YouTube ↗

The live broadcast plays right here on Sunday, Oct 4, from 5 pm Brasília, next to the official count.

Brazil decides 2026 · President, 1st round

Polls close at 5 pm Brasília

The official count starts when polls close at 5 pm Brasília (20:00 UTC) on Sunday, Oct 4. This panel updates on its own every 30 seconds from then on. A candidate needs more than 50% of valid votes to win outright; otherwise the top two meet in a runoff on Oct 25.

On the ballot

  • 13 · Lula (PT)
  • 55 · Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)
  • 21 · Edmilson Costa (PCB)
  • 29 · Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)
  • 70 · Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)
  • 30 · Zema (NOVO)
  • 35 · Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)
  • 16 · Hertz Dias (PSTU)
  • 28 · Leonardo Avalanche (PRTB)
  • 22 · Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)
  • 14 · Renan Santos (MISSÃO)
  • 27 · Clariana Barao (DC)
  • 80 · Samara (UP)

Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), official count; partial until the TSE finishes totalization.

Governor races · key states

Before 5 pm Brasília the list follows the TSE's official ballot order; from then on, by votes. Above 50% of valid votes wins outright; otherwise a runoff on Oct 25.

SP · São Paulo

TSE ballot
  • Fernando Haddad PT
  • Vera Lúcia PSTU
  • Tarcísio REPUBLICANOS
  • Vivian Mendes UP
+1 more on the ballot

MG · Minas Gerais

TSE ballot
  • Patrus Ananias PT
  • Alexandre Kalil PDT
  • Flávio Roscoe PL
  • Mateus Simões PSD
+7 more on the ballot

RJ · Rio de Janeiro

TSE ballot
  • Cyro Garcia PSTU
  • Garotinho REPUBLICANOS
  • Eduardo Paes PSD
  • Coronel Busnello MISSÃO
+5 more on the ballot

BA · Bahia

TSE ballot
  • Maria Bona PCO
  • Jerônimo Rodrigues PT
  • ACM Neto UNIÃO
  • Ronaldo Mansur PSOL
+2 more on the ballot

RS · Rio Grande do Sul

TSE ballot
  • Cesar Pontes PCO
  • Rejane de Oliveira PSTU
  • Zucco PL
  • Juliana Brizola PDT
+3 more on the ballot

PR · Paraná

TSE ballot
  • Doutor Alexandre Salomão MOBILIZA
  • Sergio Moro PL
  • Sandro Alex PSD
  • Requião Filho PDT
+4 more on the ballot

PE · Pernambuco

TSE ballot
  • Guilherme Fonseca PSTU
  • Ivan Moraes PSOL
  • Raquel Lyra PSD
  • Professora Camila UP
+3 more on the ballot

DF · Distrito Federal

TSE ballot
  • Expedito Mendonça PCO
  • Kiko Caputo NOVO
  • Professor Robson PSTU
  • Cappelli PSB
+6 more on the ballot

Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Partial until the TSE finishes totalization.

The BRZ desk, after the election

BRZ.Publish is free. These are the products behind it.

  • BRZ.PRO

    The terminal: live channel, market data, screener, watchlist and a market take on every story.

    PRO
  • BRZ.PICKS

    The research desk, company by company, with the evidence and its limits in view.

    Add-on · in annual
  • BRZ.NEWSLETTER

    The PRO research reports and special editions.

    In PRO
  • Albert AI

    The research assistant: ask about any company or market, grounded in BRZ research and live market data.

    Add-on · in annual
  • BRZ.AGRO

    Commodities research, agro news and reports.

    Coming soon

Annual · all in

7-day money-back guarantee

US$156 /year · US$3/week

BRZ.PRO, BRZ.PICKS, BRZ.NEWSLETTER and Albert AI, all included.

Checking your account…

US$156 charged at checkout. Renews annually until canceled. Your first payment has a 7-day money-back guarantee.

Compare every plan →

Latest news

Brasília time
  1. 12:24MarketsBrazil soybean outlook in focus as Chicago net-long positions rise
  2. 12:23PoliticsLula and Flávio Bolsonaro Locked in Dead Heat Ahead of Brazil Vote
  3. 12:22PoliticsFlávio Bolsonaro Seizes Debate Chaos to Rally for First-Round Win
  4. 12:21PoliticsBrazil Dispute Over Patron Saint Drags Electoral Court into Moderation
  5. 12:20PoliticsBrazil Globo TV Cancels Key Debate After Conflicting Court Rulings
  6. 12:19PoliticsJustice Luiz Fux Leads Brazil Supreme Court Battle Over Betting Ban
  7. 10:28MarketsBrazil soybean planting begins under split weather and bullish bets
All politics coverage →

BRZ.PICKS live review

How each market can read the vote, and what our research desk watches as results come in.

  • USD/BRL Dollar–realR$ 5.2267+0.29%

    Why it moves: The first market to price the result, overnight.

  • IBOV Ibovespa187,065 pts+0.01%

    Why it moves: Brazil's benchmark index; B3 trades on weekdays from 10 am Brasília.

  • EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil$36.84-0.81%

    Why it moves: How New York trades Brazil before the B3 opens.

The company-by-company desk review

Unlock BRZ.PICKS

Latest available quotes; on weekends they are Friday's close. Educational research, not investment recommendations.

What could move the vote

The stories shaping the race, day by day.

Free · by email

The morning after: what the result means for your money

Our post-election briefing: the result, the market reaction and the runoff scenarios in one email after the count. Plus the free BRZ Daily newsletter.

BRZ News is a news publisher, not an investment adviser. Election data: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Odds: Polymarket, a prediction market, not a poll. Video: BRZ News TV on YouTube.