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15 results for “DI1F

Higher-for-Longer US Rates Erode Brazilian Real Carry Trade Appeal as Fiscal Risk Persists
CurrenciesJul 27

Higher-for-Longer US Rates Erode Brazilian Real Carry Trade Appeal as Fiscal Risk Persists

Persistent US rate strength and domestic fiscal uncertainty are challenging the BRL's yield buffer, narrowing the carry trade differential.

High Selic Projections Squeeze Brazilian Small Caps
Small CapsJul 17

High Selic Projections Squeeze Brazilian Small Caps

Rising inflation expectations have pushed Brazil's year-end Selic rate forecasts to 13%-14%, pressuring debt-sensitive domestic small caps.

Lula Pulls Ahead in 2026 Polls as US Tariffs Ignite Campaign
PoliticsJul 16

Lula Pulls Ahead in 2026 Polls as US Tariffs Ignite Campaign

President Lula widens his lead over Flávio Bolsonaro to 45%-37% in a new Quaest poll, as a US tariff dispute reshapes Brazil's 2026 election outlook.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Squeezing Real
CurrenciesJul 16

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Squeezing Real

Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, threatening the real's yield advantage and putting pressure on the central bank.

Brazil's 'Secret Budget' Returns via BRL 1.3B Loophole
PoliticsJul 13

Brazil's 'Secret Budget' Returns via BRL 1.3B Loophole

A Transparência Brasil report reveals BRL 1.3 billion in anonymous committee amendments, complicating fiscal transparency and budget control efforts.

Senate Pre-Recess Vote on BRL 30 Billion Fiscal Health 'Bomb'
PoliticsJul 13

Senate Pre-Recess Vote on BRL 30 Billion Fiscal Health 'Bomb'

Brazil's Senate targets a pre-recess vote on PEC 14/2021, a health worker pension bill carrying a R$30 billion fiscal cost over ten years.

July 10 IPCA Print Set to Test BRL as Inflation Creeps Higher
CurrenciesJul 07

July 10 IPCA Print Set to Test BRL as Inflation Creeps Higher

Brazil's upcoming June IPCA inflation data on July 10 will test the BRL as annual inflation remains above the central bank's 4.5% upper tolerance limit.

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print
CurrenciesJul 07

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation report on July 10 will test the market as economists navigate high Selic expectations and a 5.30% inflation forecast.

BRL Under Pressure as Brazil Warns Inflation Will Breach Target
CurrenciesJul 02

BRL Under Pressure as Brazil Warns Inflation Will Breach Target

The Brazilian Real faces downside pressure as the central bank raises its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.2%, well above the official 4.5% target ceiling.

Former Central Bank Chiefs Back Brazil Financial Autonomy Bill
MarketsJul 01

Former Central Bank Chiefs Back Brazil Financial Autonomy Bill

Five former Central Bank presidents and 32 directors signed a joint letter supporting PEC 65/2023 to secure the monetary authority's financial autonomy.

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook
PROCurrenciesJul 01

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook

Rising Brazilian interest rate expectations are paradoxically weakening the Real as escalating fiscal risks and widening CDS spreads disrupt carry trade strategies.

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade
CurrenciesJun 29

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real faces pressure near 5.17-5.19 per USD as the BCB's Selic cut to 14.25% and a hawkish Fed squeeze the carry trade differential.

STF Forms Majority to Ease Limits on Judicial 'Penduricalhos'
PoliticsJun 29

STF Forms Majority to Ease Limits on Judicial 'Penduricalhos'

Brazil's Supreme Court (STF) has formed a majority to ease strict limits on extra-ceiling benefits for judges, adding fresh fiscal pressure.

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon
CurrenciesJun 29

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon

The Central Bank of Brazil's shift toward a 2028 inflation convergence horizon to justify Selic cuts has narrowed the carry-trade yield differential, weakening the Real.

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%
CurrenciesJun 28

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%

Brazil's Focus survey shows analysts raising the end-2026 Selic rate forecast to 14.00% as inflation expectations drift higher, supporting the Real.