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206 results for “selic rate”

Brazil Hikes Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring BRL Outlook
Currencies• Jul 17

Brazil Hikes Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring BRL Outlook

Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, pushing consumer prices further above target and prompting banks to forecast a weaker Real.

High Selic Projections Squeeze Brazilian Small Caps
Small Caps• Jul 17

High Selic Projections Squeeze Brazilian Small Caps

Rising inflation expectations have pushed Brazil's year-end Selic rate forecasts to 13%-14%, pressuring debt-sensitive domestic small caps.

Rabobank Forecasts Brazilian Real Weakness on Narrowing Yields
Currencies• Jul 16

Rabobank Forecasts Brazilian Real Weakness on Narrowing Yields

Rabobank projects the US Dollar to rise to 5.35 Reals by the end of 2026 as narrowing interest rate differentials and fiscal worries pressure the currency.

Brazilian Real Hits Strongest Level in Over Three Weeks Near 5.09
Currencies• Jul 16

Brazilian Real Hits Strongest Level in Over Three Weeks Near 5.09

The Brazilian Real strengthened past 5.11 to 5.09 per USD on July 16, 2026, driven by a cooling domestic inflation print and a softening US dollar.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Squeezing Real
Currencies• Jul 16

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Squeezing Real

Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, threatening the real's yield advantage and putting pressure on the central bank.

Brazilian Real Rebounds to 3-Week High as June Inflation Eases
Currencies• Jul 14

Brazilian Real Rebounds to 3-Week High as June Inflation Eases

The Brazilian Real strengthens to 5.11 per USD as June annual inflation cools to 4.64%, supporting the central bank's recent monetary policy decisions.

BRL Hits 3-Week High on Record H1 FX Inflows and Easing Fed Bets
Currencies• Jul 13

BRL Hits 3-Week High on Record H1 FX Inflows and Easing Fed Bets

The Brazilian Real strengthened to 5.11 per USD, supported by a record $17.78 billion H1 FX inflow and a highly lucrative Selic-to-Fed yield differential.

BRL Holds Near 5.16 as Massive Selic-Fed Yield Gap Anchors Real
Currencies• Jul 09

BRL Holds Near 5.16 as Massive Selic-Fed Yield Gap Anchors Real

Brazil's Real stabilizes at 5.16 against the US dollar as a wide interest rate differential offsets domestic fiscal deficits and rising inflation.

BRL Volatility Set to Spike Ahead of Crucial July 10 IPCA Print
Currencies• Jul 08

BRL Volatility Set to Spike Ahead of Crucial July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation data could push 12-month accumulated price growth to 4.81%, threatening to halt the central bank's rate-cutting cycle.

July 10 IPCA Print Set to Test BRL as Inflation Creeps Higher
Currencies• Jul 07

July 10 IPCA Print Set to Test BRL as Inflation Creeps Higher

Brazil's upcoming June IPCA inflation data on July 10 will test the BRL as annual inflation remains above the central bank's 4.5% upper tolerance limit.

BRL Rebounds to 5.13 on Record Trade Outlook and Fed Rate Bets
Currencies• Jul 07

BRL Rebounds to 5.13 on Record Trade Outlook and Fed Rate Bets

The Brazilian Real rebounded to 5.13 per USD as Brazil raised its 2026 trade surplus forecast to $90 billion amid cooling US labor data.

Extrajudicial Restructurings Surge in Brazil Under Selic Pressure
PROPolitics• Jul 07

Extrajudicial Restructurings Surge in Brazil Under Selic Pressure

High interest rates drive a wave of out-of-court debt renegotiations in Brazil, led by Raízen's landmark R$ 65.1 billion restructuring.

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print
Currencies• Jul 07

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation report on July 10 will test the market as economists navigate high Selic expectations and a 5.30% inflation forecast.

BTG Pactual Shuffles July Small Caps on Sticky 14% Selic
Small Caps• Jul 06

BTG Pactual Shuffles July Small Caps on Sticky 14% Selic

BTG Pactual rotates its July 2026 small-cap portfolio, dropping Banco Pine and SBF for Banco Inter and Marcopolo to hedge against a sticky 14% Selic rate.

Brazil Inflation Revision Puts Floor Under USD/BRL Near 5.16
Currencies• Jul 03

Brazil Inflation Revision Puts Floor Under USD/BRL Near 5.16

Brazil's plans to raise its 2026 inflation forecast keep the Selic rate outlook restrictive, anchoring the USD/BRL exchange rate near key support.

Fiscal Deficit and Rising Debt Costs Limit Brazil Real Recovery
Currencies• Jul 02

Fiscal Deficit and Rising Debt Costs Limit Brazil Real Recovery

Brazil's widening fiscal deficit and soaring nominal interest payments are keeping risk premiums high, capping recovery potential for the BRL.

Gas Subsidy Cut Threatens Brazil Consumer Small Caps
Small Caps• Jul 02

Gas Subsidy Cut Threatens Brazil Consumer Small Caps

Brazil's plan to reverse its R$ 0.44 gasoline subsidy next week stokes inflation fears, threatening highly leveraged consumer discretionary small caps.

Brazil CMN Cuts Rates to Align With R$525B Plano Safra
Politics• Jul 01

Brazil CMN Cuts Rates to Align With R$525B Plano Safra

Brazil's National Monetary Council approved rules aligning rural credit with the R$525.1 billion Plano Safra 2026/27, lowering rates amid high fiscal costs.

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook
PROCurrencies• Jul 01

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook

Rising Brazilian interest rate expectations are paradoxically weakening the Real as escalating fiscal risks and widening CDS spreads disrupt carry trade strategies.

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation
Currencies• Jun 30

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation

The Brazilian Real faces volatility as the central bank cuts rates to 14.25% while Focus Survey 2026 inflation expectations climb to 5.3%.

BRL Stabilizes Near 5.17 as Wide Selic-Fed Spread Anchors Real
Currencies• Jun 30

BRL Stabilizes Near 5.17 as Wide Selic-Fed Spread Anchors Real

The Brazilian Real stabilized near 5.17 per USD as a massive 10.5% interest rate differential between the Selic and the Fed funds rate offsets Copom cut concerns.

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade
Currencies• Jun 29

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real faces pressure near 5.17-5.19 per USD as the BCB's Selic cut to 14.25% and a hawkish Fed squeeze the carry trade differential.

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon
Currencies• Jun 29

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon

The Central Bank of Brazil's shift toward a 2028 inflation convergence horizon to justify Selic cuts has narrowed the carry-trade yield differential, weakening the Real.

Ibovespa Surges 2.95% on Soft Mid-Month Inflation
Investing• Jun 29

Ibovespa Surges 2.95% on Soft Mid-Month Inflation

Brazil's Ibovespa index rallied 2.95% in the week ending June 26, 2026, nearing a full June recovery after cooler-than-expected IPCA-15 inflation data.

Brazilian Real Hovers Near 5.17 Supported by Wide Yield Spread
Currencies• Jun 28

Brazilian Real Hovers Near 5.17 Supported by Wide Yield Spread

Despite a third consecutive Selic rate cut, the Brazilian Real holds steady near 5.17 per USD as a massive 10-percentage-point yield spread defends the currency.

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%
Currencies• Jun 28

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%

Brazil's Focus survey shows analysts raising the end-2026 Selic rate forecast to 14.00% as inflation expectations drift higher, supporting the Real.