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196 results for “Selic Rate

BRL Rebounds to 5.13 on Record Trade Outlook and Fed Rate Bets
CurrenciesJul 07

BRL Rebounds to 5.13 on Record Trade Outlook and Fed Rate Bets

The Brazilian Real rebounded to 5.13 per USD as Brazil raised its 2026 trade surplus forecast to $90 billion amid cooling US labor data.

Extrajudicial Restructurings Surge in Brazil Under Selic Pressure
PROPoliticsJul 07

Extrajudicial Restructurings Surge in Brazil Under Selic Pressure

High interest rates drive a wave of out-of-court debt renegotiations in Brazil, led by Raízen's landmark R$ 65.1 billion restructuring.

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print
CurrenciesJul 07

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print

Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation report on July 10 will test the market as economists navigate high Selic expectations and a 5.30% inflation forecast.

BTG Pactual Shuffles July Small Caps on Sticky 14% Selic
Small CapsJul 06

BTG Pactual Shuffles July Small Caps on Sticky 14% Selic

BTG Pactual rotates its July 2026 small-cap portfolio, dropping Banco Pine and SBF for Banco Inter and Marcopolo to hedge against a sticky 14% Selic rate.

Brazil Inflation Revision Puts Floor Under USD/BRL Near 5.16
CurrenciesJul 03

Brazil Inflation Revision Puts Floor Under USD/BRL Near 5.16

Brazil's plans to raise its 2026 inflation forecast keep the Selic rate outlook restrictive, anchoring the USD/BRL exchange rate near key support.

Fiscal Deficit and Rising Debt Costs Limit Brazil Real Recovery
CurrenciesJul 02

Fiscal Deficit and Rising Debt Costs Limit Brazil Real Recovery

Brazil's widening fiscal deficit and soaring nominal interest payments are keeping risk premiums high, capping recovery potential for the BRL.

Gas Subsidy Cut Threatens Brazil Consumer Small Caps
Small CapsJul 02

Gas Subsidy Cut Threatens Brazil Consumer Small Caps

Brazil's plan to reverse its R$ 0.44 gasoline subsidy next week stokes inflation fears, threatening highly leveraged consumer discretionary small caps.

Brazil CMN Cuts Rates to Align With R$525B Plano Safra
PoliticsJul 01

Brazil CMN Cuts Rates to Align With R$525B Plano Safra

Brazil's National Monetary Council approved rules aligning rural credit with the R$525.1 billion Plano Safra 2026/27, lowering rates amid high fiscal costs.

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook
PROCurrenciesJul 01

Brazilian Real Under Pressure as Fiscal Dominance Inverts Yield Playbook

Rising Brazilian interest rate expectations are paradoxically weakening the Real as escalating fiscal risks and widening CDS spreads disrupt carry trade strategies.

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation
CurrenciesJun 30

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation

The Brazilian Real faces volatility as the central bank cuts rates to 14.25% while Focus Survey 2026 inflation expectations climb to 5.3%.

BRL Stabilizes Near 5.17 as Wide Selic-Fed Spread Anchors Real
CurrenciesJun 30

BRL Stabilizes Near 5.17 as Wide Selic-Fed Spread Anchors Real

The Brazilian Real stabilized near 5.17 per USD as a massive 10.5% interest rate differential between the Selic and the Fed funds rate offsets Copom cut concerns.

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade
CurrenciesJun 29

BRL Under Pressure as Narrowing US-Brazil Yield Spread Erodes Carry Trade

The Brazilian Real faces pressure near 5.17-5.19 per USD as the BCB's Selic cut to 14.25% and a hawkish Fed squeeze the carry trade differential.

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon
CurrenciesJun 29

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon

The Central Bank of Brazil's shift toward a 2028 inflation convergence horizon to justify Selic cuts has narrowed the carry-trade yield differential, weakening the Real.

Ibovespa Surges 2.95% on Soft Mid-Month Inflation
InvestingJun 29

Ibovespa Surges 2.95% on Soft Mid-Month Inflation

Brazil's Ibovespa index rallied 2.95% in the week ending June 26, 2026, nearing a full June recovery after cooler-than-expected IPCA-15 inflation data.

Brazilian Real Hovers Near 5.17 Supported by Wide Yield Spread
CurrenciesJun 28

Brazilian Real Hovers Near 5.17 Supported by Wide Yield Spread

Despite a third consecutive Selic rate cut, the Brazilian Real holds steady near 5.17 per USD as a massive 10-percentage-point yield spread defends the currency.

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%
CurrenciesJun 28

Brazil Focus Survey Raises End-2026 Selic Forecast to 14%

Brazil's Focus survey shows analysts raising the end-2026 Selic rate forecast to 14.00% as inflation expectations drift higher, supporting the Real.