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203 results for “selic rate”

Dual-Inflation Week to Test Brazil’s Interest Rate Path as Copom Minutes, IPCA Land
Brazil's Selic rate outlook faces a critical test this week with domestic and US inflation data releases.

Direcional Earnings to Test Low-Income Housing Sector Strength Amid Selic Rate Easing
Direcional Engenharia (DIRR3) 2Q26 results will offer a key read-through on interest rate sensitivity and the revived Minha Casa Minha Vida program for Brazil's construction small caps.

Foreign Capital Inflows Surge to Eight-Year High to Back Brazil Real
Brazil records a massive US$17.78 billion foreign capital inflow in the first half of 2026, driven by high interest rates that cushion the Brazilian real.

Brazilian Real Cedes Top Carry Trade Spot to Colombian Peso Amid Shift in Risk Perception
Foreign investors are increasingly favoring the Colombian Peso over the BRL for carry trade strategies, signaling a cooling in capital inflows.

Selic Trajectory to Be Set by Double Release: Brazil’s Copom Minutes and IPCA Inflation Due
Brazil's Selic rate path hangs on Tuesday's release of Copom Minutes and July IPCA data, defining the outlook for policy easing.

Brazil’s Central Bank Minutes and Inflation Data Set Up Volatile Week for Markets
Investors await twin reports Tuesday: Copom minutes on the Selic rate path, and July’s IPCA inflation data.

Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks
Rabobank forecasts the USD/BRL exchange rate to hit R$5.55 by end-2026, anticipating a 9.0% depreciation driven by fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty.

Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear
The USD/BRL jumped to R$5.130, fueled by weak industrial data cementing Selic rate cut expectations and rising geopolitical risk from a US diplomatic feud.

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal
The Brazilian Real appreciated against the USD, driven by a tight monetary policy stance following the COPOM rate decision.

US Payrolls Data Set to Test Brazilian Real Strength, USD/BRL Hovers Near R$5.10 Ahead of Key Report
The Brazilian real is trading flat against the U.S. Dollar as markets await the US Non-Farm Payrolls report, which will dictate USD direction.

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade
Weaker-than-expected industrial production data reinforces the expectation for deeper Selic rate cuts, eroding the Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal.

Energisa (ENGI11) Reports R$40M Net Loss in Q2 2023 Despite Strong Dividends, Recurrent Profit Drops 80%
Brazilian utility Energisa posted a R$40M net loss in Q2 2023, influenced by a R$596M non-cash charge, while core recurrent profit plummeted 80%.

Hawkish Fed Outlook Looms as Dominant External Risk to Brazilian Real
A stronger U.S. Dollar driven by a hawkish Federal Reserve threatens BRL depreciation and upward pressure on local interest rate futures.

Bradesco’s Q2 Profit Jumps 16.2%, ROE Surpasses Cost of Capital as Selic Easing Cycle Commences
Bradesco (BBDC4) reported R$7.1B recurring net income for Q2 2026, pushing its ROE above Brazil's new 14.00% Selic rate.

Bradesco Beats Consensus with R$7.1B Q2 Profit; ROE Surpasses New 14.00% Selic Rate
Banco Bradesco reported R$7.1B in Q2 recurring net income, beating estimates, as Return on Equity hit 16.2% against the new 14.00% Selic.

Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa
The Brazilian Real faced a sharp climb in volatility after US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated, driven by a visa revocation.

Brazil Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Confirms Easing Cycle Despite Restrictive Stance
Brazil's COPOM cut the Selic rate by 25 bps to 14.00%, extending the easing cycle but maintaining a restrictive policy.

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%
Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, a move that was fully priced in, stabilizing USD/BRL.

Political Logjam on Fiscal Adjustment Curbs Central Bank’s Scope for Deeper Selic Rate Cuts
The Copom’s fourth consecutive 25-bps cut to 14.00% is overshadowed by political failure to deliver a credible fiscal adjustment.

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic to 14.00%, But Cautious Tone Signals End of Faster Easing Cycle
Copom cut the Selic benchmark interest rate by 25bps to 14.00%, but the communique signals caution on the pace of future cuts.

Lula Attacks Fiscal Cap, Brands Market as 'Faria Lima Captor,' Fueling Fiscal Uncertainty
President Lula's comments criticizing fiscal rules and the financial market sent mixed signals, heightening political risk despite a Selic rate cut.

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount
A sharp drop in crude oil prices combined with renewed political uncertainty pushed the BRL to its weakest close since mid-July.

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Market Eyes Conservative Forward Guidance
Copom delivered the widely expected 25 basis point cut, turning all focus to the communiqué's signal on future easing.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Selic Cut to 14.00%; Guidance on Easing Cycle is the Key Market Driver
Central Bank of Brazil is set to cut the Selic rate by 25bp, but market focus is entirely on forward guidance.

COPOM Set to Cut Selic Rate to 14.00%; Guidance on Future Cuts is Key for Real, Ibovespa
Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps. Forward guidance on the easing cycle is the key market catalyst.

Brazilian Real Slides on Commodity Correlation as Brent Crude Plunge Confirms Vulnerability
The Brazilian Real's recent weakness highlights an elevated correlation with crude oil prices, pushing the USD/BRL pair higher despite a softer U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).

Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies
The Brazilian Real was the worst-performing liquid currency against the dollar as US sanctions threats amplified political risk.

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL
The Brazilian Real's recent rally stalled near R$5.05 after increased demand for US Dollar from domestic importers and bank treasuries.

XP Advises Fixed-Income Shift to IPCA and Pre-Fixed Bonds as Selic Rate Easing Cycle Continues
XP Inc. recommends fixed-income investors pivot from pure CDI exposure to a diversified mix of inflation-linked and intermediate pre-fixed titles ahead of the expected Selic rate cut this week.

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut
The USD/BRL touched R$5.1351 on Tuesday, rising past the BCB's internal exchange rate model ahead of the expected 25bp Selic rate cut.