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196 results for “Selic rate

Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear
CurrenciesAug 09

Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear

The USD/BRL jumped to R$5.130, fueled by weak industrial data cementing Selic rate cut expectations and rising geopolitical risk from a US diplomatic feud.

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal
PROCurrenciesAug 07

Brazilian Real Strengthens Past R$5.10, Defying Global Risk-Off Trend on Post-COPOM Hawkish Signal

The Brazilian Real appreciated against the USD, driven by a tight monetary policy stance following the COPOM rate decision.

US Payrolls Data Set to Test Brazilian Real Strength, USD/BRL Hovers Near R$5.10 Ahead of Key Report
PROCurrenciesAug 07

US Payrolls Data Set to Test Brazilian Real Strength, USD/BRL Hovers Near R$5.10 Ahead of Key Report

The Brazilian real is trading flat against the U.S. Dollar as markets await the US Non-Farm Payrolls report, which will dictate USD direction.

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade
PROCurrenciesAug 07

Sharp Drop in Brazil Industrial Output Bolsters Selic Cut Case, Pressuring BRL Carry Trade

Weaker-than-expected industrial production data reinforces the expectation for deeper Selic rate cuts, eroding the Brazilian Real's carry trade appeal.

Energisa (ENGI11) Reports R$40M Net Loss in Q2 2023 Despite Strong Dividends, Recurrent Profit Drops 80%
PROSmall CapsAug 07

Energisa (ENGI11) Reports R$40M Net Loss in Q2 2023 Despite Strong Dividends, Recurrent Profit Drops 80%

Brazilian utility Energisa posted a R$40M net loss in Q2 2023, influenced by a R$596M non-cash charge, while core recurrent profit plummeted 80%.

Hawkish Fed Outlook Looms as Dominant External Risk to Brazilian Real
CurrenciesAug 07

Hawkish Fed Outlook Looms as Dominant External Risk to Brazilian Real

A stronger U.S. Dollar driven by a hawkish Federal Reserve threatens BRL depreciation and upward pressure on local interest rate futures.

Bradesco’s Q2 Profit Jumps 16.2%, ROE Surpasses Cost of Capital as Selic Easing Cycle Commences
PROMarketsAug 06

Bradesco’s Q2 Profit Jumps 16.2%, ROE Surpasses Cost of Capital as Selic Easing Cycle Commences

Bradesco (BBDC4) reported R$7.1B recurring net income for Q2 2026, pushing its ROE above Brazil's new 14.00% Selic rate.

Bradesco Beats Consensus with R$7.1B Q2 Profit; ROE Surpasses New 14.00% Selic Rate
PROMarketsAug 06

Bradesco Beats Consensus with R$7.1B Q2 Profit; ROE Surpasses New 14.00% Selic Rate

Banco Bradesco reported R$7.1B in Q2 recurring net income, beating estimates, as Return on Equity hit 16.2% against the new 14.00% Selic.

Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa
CurrenciesAug 06

Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa

The Brazilian Real faced a sharp climb in volatility after US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated, driven by a visa revocation.

Brazil Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Confirms Easing Cycle Despite Restrictive Stance
PROMarketsAug 06

Brazil Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Confirms Easing Cycle Despite Restrictive Stance

Brazil's COPOM cut the Selic rate by 25 bps to 14.00%, extending the easing cycle but maintaining a restrictive policy.

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%
PROCurrenciesAug 06

Brazilian Real Holds Steady Near R$5.12 as Copom Delivers Expected Rate Cut to 14.00%

Brazil’s central bank cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, a move that was fully priced in, stabilizing USD/BRL.

Political Logjam on Fiscal Adjustment Curbs Central Bank’s Scope for Deeper Selic Rate Cuts
PROPoliticsAug 06

Political Logjam on Fiscal Adjustment Curbs Central Bank’s Scope for Deeper Selic Rate Cuts

The Copom’s fourth consecutive 25-bps cut to 14.00% is overshadowed by political failure to deliver a credible fiscal adjustment.

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic to 14.00%, But Cautious Tone Signals End of Faster Easing Cycle
PROMarketsAug 06

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic to 14.00%, But Cautious Tone Signals End of Faster Easing Cycle

Copom cut the Selic benchmark interest rate by 25bps to 14.00%, but the communique signals caution on the pace of future cuts.

Lula Attacks Fiscal Cap, Brands Market as 'Faria Lima Captor,' Fueling Fiscal Uncertainty
PoliticsAug 06

Lula Attacks Fiscal Cap, Brands Market as 'Faria Lima Captor,' Fueling Fiscal Uncertainty

President Lula's comments criticizing fiscal rules and the financial market sent mixed signals, heightening political risk despite a Selic rate cut.

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount
PROCurrenciesAug 05

Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount

A sharp drop in crude oil prices combined with renewed political uncertainty pushed the BRL to its weakest close since mid-July.

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Market Eyes Conservative Forward Guidance
PROMarketsAug 05

Brazil’s Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate to 14.00%, Market Eyes Conservative Forward Guidance

Copom delivered the widely expected 25 basis point cut, turning all focus to the communiqué's signal on future easing.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Selic Cut to 14.00%; Guidance on Easing Cycle is the Key Market Driver
PROMarketsAug 05

Brazil Central Bank Poised for Selic Cut to 14.00%; Guidance on Easing Cycle is the Key Market Driver

Central Bank of Brazil is set to cut the Selic rate by 25bp, but market focus is entirely on forward guidance.

COPOM Set to Cut Selic Rate to 14.00%; Guidance on Future Cuts is Key for Real, Ibovespa
PROMarketsAug 05

COPOM Set to Cut Selic Rate to 14.00%; Guidance on Future Cuts is Key for Real, Ibovespa

Brazil’s Central Bank is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25bps. Forward guidance on the easing cycle is the key market catalyst.

Brazilian Real Slides on Commodity Correlation as Brent Crude Plunge Confirms Vulnerability
PROCurrenciesAug 05

Brazilian Real Slides on Commodity Correlation as Brent Crude Plunge Confirms Vulnerability

The Brazilian Real's recent weakness highlights an elevated correlation with crude oil prices, pushing the USD/BRL pair higher despite a softer U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).

Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies
CurrenciesAug 05

Political Risk Spikes on US Sanctions Threat, Driving Real to Lag All EM Currencies

The Brazilian Real was the worst-performing liquid currency against the dollar as US sanctions threats amplified political risk.

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL
PROCurrenciesAug 04

Brazilian Real Rally Pauses as Importers Step In, Establishing R$5.05 as Technical Floor for USD/BRL

The Brazilian Real's recent rally stalled near R$5.05 after increased demand for US Dollar from domestic importers and bank treasuries.

XP Advises Fixed-Income Shift to IPCA and Pre-Fixed Bonds as Selic Rate Easing Cycle Continues
InvestingAug 04

XP Advises Fixed-Income Shift to IPCA and Pre-Fixed Bonds as Selic Rate Easing Cycle Continues

XP Inc. recommends fixed-income investors pivot from pure CDI exposure to a diversified mix of inflation-linked and intermediate pre-fixed titles ahead of the expected Selic rate cut this week.

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut
MarketsAug 04

Brazilian Real Volatility Spikes as USD/BRL Breaches Central Bank's R$5.10 Model Ahead of Expected Selic Cut

The USD/BRL touched R$5.1351 on Tuesday, rising past the BCB's internal exchange rate model ahead of the expected 25bp Selic rate cut.

Brazil Locks INSS Payroll Loan Cap at 1.85% Until Selic Hits 10.5%
PROPoliticsAug 04

Brazil Locks INSS Payroll Loan Cap at 1.85% Until Selic Hits 10.5%

Decision stabilizes credit margins for major Brazil banks like Itaú and Bradesco, tying future rate cuts to aggressive BCB easing.

COPOM Set to Cut Selic to 14.00%; Investor Focus Shifts to Pace of Future Easing
PROInvestingAug 04

COPOM Set to Cut Selic to 14.00%; Investor Focus Shifts to Pace of Future Easing

Brazil's Central Bank is widely expected to cut the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00% on Wednesday, with the market's attention fixed on forward guidance for the pace of the easing cycle.

TGAR11's 44% YTD Drop Underlines Strategic Dividend Cut to Preserve Capital for Development
InvestingAug 04

TGAR11's 44% YTD Drop Underlines Strategic Dividend Cut to Preserve Capital for Development

Fundo de Investimento Imobiliário (FII) TGAR11's high yield is misleading, as a strategic dividend cut to R$0.72 per share aims to preserve capital amid a steep 44% YTD share price decline.

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)
PROCurrenciesAug 04

Selic's Forward Guidance, Not the Rate Cut, is the Key Driver for the Brazilian Real (BRL)

Investors are focused on the Central Bank's signal about the easing cycle's future, as the expected Selic rate cut is fully priced into USD/BRL.

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%
PROCurrenciesAug 04

BRL Volatility Spikes Ahead of Expected Selic Cut to 14.00%

Currency traders eye the USD/BRL rate as the Central Bank is poised to make a 25 basis point cut to the benchmark Selic interest rate.

Brazil Central Bank Poised for 25bp Cut to 14.00% as Long-Term Selic Forecast Rises
PROInvestingAug 04

Brazil Central Bank Poised for 25bp Cut to 14.00% as Long-Term Selic Forecast Rises

COPOM is expected to cut the Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.00%, even as the Focus Report shows a raised year-end 2026 rate forecast.

Brazilian Small Cap Index Trades at 33% Discount to Historical Average
PROSmall CapsAug 03

Brazilian Small Cap Index Trades at 33% Discount to Historical Average

The Brazilian Small Cap Index (SMLL) is trading at an approximate 33% discount to its long-term historical P/E ratio, driven by high Selic rates and capital outflow.