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118 results for “political risk”
Brazil’s Supreme Court Authorizes Influence-Peddling Probe into President Lula’s Eldest Son
Federal Police will investigate Fábio Luís Lula da Silva for alleged influence-peddling and corruption, a political risk for the president.
Political Uncertainty and Fiscal Fears Drive Brazilian Real to R$5.22, Outpacing Emerging Market Peers
The Brazilian Real's recent slide against the dollar is driven by a growing political risk premium ahead of the 2026 election and fiscal uncertainty.
Political Impasse Stalls Full Financial Autonomy for Brazil’s Central Bank
The proposed constitutional amendment to grant Brazil’s Central Bank full financial autonomy remains stalled in the Senate, signaling continued political risk.
Political Risk Keeps Brazilian Stock Index Lagging Emerging Market Peers Ahead of October Election
Political uncertainty around Brazil's tight presidential race is causing investors to pull back, driving the Ibovespa to underperform other emerging markets.
US Sanctions Threat Against Moraes Escalates Brazil Election Risk
The Trump administration is reportedly considering reimposing sanctions on Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, introducing new geopolitical friction.
Brazil’s Next President to Appoint Four Supreme Court Justices, Reshaping Court for a Decade
The October 2026 general election will determine the ideological balance of Brazil's Supreme Federal Court and the stability of its institutions.
Lula's Lead Over Flávio Bolsonaro Shrinks to Statistical Tie in New Quaest Poll
Brazil's presidential election tightens as a new Quaest poll shows Lula with 43% and Bolsonaro with 40% in a runoff scenario.
Political Risk Weighs on Brazilian Real as Lula’s Poll Lead and JPMorgan Downgrade Stoke Fiscal Fears
The Brazilian Real weakened sharply after a poll affirmed President Lula's lead and JPMorgan downgraded Brazilian stocks, reflecting mounting investor worry over fiscal health.
Political Uncertainty Triggers R$20 Billion Foreign Capital Exodus from Brazilian Equities
International investors pulled R$20 billion from the Brazilian stock market in Q2 as 2026 election risk mounts.
Minerva Foods Uses South American Plants to Bypass China’s Beef Tariff Quota on Brazil
South America's largest beef exporter, Minerva Foods, is mitigating China's tariff by routing meat through non-Brazilian plants.
Election Uncertainty Sparks $1 Billion Foreign Capital Exodus from Brazil’s Stock Market
Foreign investors pulled R$5.5 billion from Brazil's B3 stock exchange in early August, as political risk ahead of the October election overrides strong corporate earnings.
Brazil’s Central Bank Doubles Gold Reserves to Shield Economy from Global Uncertainty
The Central Bank of Brazil significantly increased its gold holdings in 2025, nearly doubling the metal's share in its international reserves as a buffer against geopolitical risk.
Global Investors Pull Billions from Brazil’s Stock Market Over Political and Rate Concerns
Foreign investors withdrew R$ 5.55 billion from the B3 in the first week of August, citing high Selic rates, political risk, and a global shift.
Geopolitical Risk Pushes USD/BRL Above R$5.09, Overwhelming Brazil’s High Interest Rate Differential
The Brazilian Real loses ground to the US Dollar as global uncertainty over the Middle East and inflation outweighs the lure of high domestic interest rates.
Brazil Candidate's Amnesty Pledge Signals Heightened Political Risk
Presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado's promise of a broad amnesty for January 8 rioters introduces major institutional risk ahead of Brazil's 2026 election.
Presidential Candidate Caiado Promises Amnesty for Jan 8 Convicts, Raising Brazil’s Institutional Risk
PSD candidate Ronaldo Caiado's pledge to grant amnesty to January 8 convicts introduces major political uncertainty.
Rabobank Forecasts 9% Depreciation, Sees Brazilian Real at R$5.55 on Twin Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks
Rabobank forecasts the USD/BRL exchange rate to hit R$5.55 by end-2026, anticipating a 9.0% depreciation driven by fiscal and geopolitical uncertainty.
Caiado Vows January 8th Amnesty as First Act if Elected President, Elevating Brazil Political Risk
PSD presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado pledged to send an amnesty bill for Jan 8th convicts, injecting high risk into the 2026 election.
Brazilian Real's Sensitivity Spikes on Selic Cut Bets and US Sanctions Fear
The USD/BRL jumped to R$5.130, fueled by weak industrial data cementing Selic rate cut expectations and rising geopolitical risk from a US diplomatic feud.
Former INSS President Stefanutto Indicted in R$6.3 Billion Fraud Probe, Raising Brazil Political Risk
Federal Police indicted former INSS President Alessandro Stefanutto in the R$6.3 billion 'Operation Sem Desconto' social security fraud, increasing political and governance risk for investors.
Ibovespa Drops 1.23% on Copom Caution and Geopolitical Risk; PETR4 Limits Loss
Brazil's benchmark Ibovespa fell to 175,546.36 points as the Central Bank’s cautious tone post-Selic cut dampened rate-sensitive stocks.
Lula Launches R$18.5 Billion BNDES Credit Line to Shield Key Exporters from US Tariffs and Geopolitical Risk
Brazil’s government announced the R$18.5 billion Plano Brasil Soberano 3, offering state-backed credit to strategic sectors hit by US tariffs.
BRL Volatility Rises on US Visa Revocation, Renewing Fears of Escalating Country-Specific Risk
The Brazilian Real is trading under pressure after the US revoked the visa of Brazil's Ambassador, signaling political risk.
Geopolitical Risk Premium Hits Brazilian Real as US Revokes Ambassador’s Visa
The Brazilian Real faced a sharp climb in volatility after US-Brazil diplomatic tensions escalated, driven by a visa revocation.
USD/BRL Spikes to R$5.13 on Diplomatic Row as US Sanctions Fear Ramps Up Political Risk
The Brazilian real sharply depreciated, hitting R$5.13 this week as a US-Brazil diplomatic row introduced a severe geopolitical risk premium.
Lula Attacks Fiscal Cap, Brands Market as 'Faria Lima Captor,' Fueling Fiscal Uncertainty
President Lula's comments criticizing fiscal rules and the financial market sent mixed signals, heightening political risk despite a Selic rate cut.
US Revokes Brazilian Ambassador's Visa, Escalating Diplomatic Crisis Ahead of October Election
US visa revocation for Ambassador Viotti formalizes diplomatic rift with Lula's government, adding political risk to the Real and Brazilian ADRs.
Lula’s Lead Narrows to 5 Points Against Flávio Bolsonaro in Latest Quaest Poll, Upping Brazil Political Uncertainty
A new Genial/Quaest poll shows President Lula’s lead tightening against Flávio Bolsonaro, a movement that increases political risk and market volatility ahead of the election.
Brazilian Real Slides Past R$5.13 Against Dollar as Oil Price Collapse and Political Risk Mount
A sharp drop in crude oil prices combined with renewed political uncertainty pushed the BRL to its weakest close since mid-July.
USD/BRL Volatility Jumps on US Sanctions Risk and Strait of Hormuz Tensions
The Brazilian real depreciated sharply following an escalation of US-Brazil diplomatic tension and fresh Middle East geopolitical risk.