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58 results for “Brazil inflation”

Speculators Hold Heavy Net-Long Soybean Bets Amid Weather Risks
Large speculators maintain highly bullish positioning in mini soybean futures, signaling strong market conviction as critical August weather risks approach.

IMF Article IV Warns of Brazil Inflation Risks Despite Oil Cushion
The IMF's 2026 Article IV consultation projects 2.4% GDP growth for Brazil, but warns geopolitical tensions could push inflation to 5.6% by year-end.

New US Tariffs and Rising Fiscal Inflation Cap Brazilian Real
A new 25% US tariff on Brazilian imports and rising domestic inflation forecasts to 5.1% limit the Brazilian real's upside, keeping USD/BRL under pressure.

Brazil Central Bank Resolution 575 to Lower USD/BRL Hedging Costs
Taking effect October 1, 2026, BCB Resolution 575 will allow multinational firms to hold USD accounts in Brazil, bypassing costly FX conversion fees.

Brazil 10-Year Bond Yields Rise Above 14.75% on Fiscal Worries
Brazil's 10-year government bond yield topped 14.75% in late July 2026 as rising budget deficits and energy inflation keep pressure on the central bank.

BRL Rebounds to Seven-Week High on Carry Trade Interest
The Brazilian real strengthened to 5.05 per USD, shrugging off new 25% US tariffs as high domestic interest rates fuel carry trade demand.

US Terrorist Designations of PCC and CV Trigger Bank Risks
The U.S. designation of Brazil's PCC and CV as Foreign Terrorist Organizations exposes dollar-clearing banks to severe material-support compliance risks.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Threatening Rate Cuts
Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, exceeding the central bank's target ceiling and threatening to stall the Selic rate-cut cycle.

Lula Widens Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro Amid US Trade Dispute
A July 2026 Quaest poll shows Lula leading Flavio Bolsonaro 45% to 37%, reducing political transition risks for investors in Brazil ETFs and B3 stocks.

BRL Supported by Record H1 Inflows Despite Inflation Pressures
Brazil's real is cushioned by $17.78 billion in H1 foreign exchange inflows and high Selic rates, even as the 2026 inflation forecast rises to 5.1%.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring Selic and BRL
Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1% from 4.5%, signaling persistent fiscal strain and a prolonged restrictive Selic rate.

Brazil Inflation IPCA Forecast Edges Down in Focus Bulletin
Brazil's 2026 IPCA inflation forecast fell to 5.15%, marking its third straight weekly decline, while the year-end Selic rate projection held at 14.00%.

Oil Prices Surge Past $88 on US-Iran Conflict Escalation
Brent crude jumps 4.63% to $88.13 amid US-Iran military clashes, injecting volatility into Petrobras pricing and fueling Brazil inflation worries.

Brazil Big Tech Decrees Take Effect, Raising Regulatory Risks
Decree 12.975/26 overhauls Brazil's Marco Civil da Internet, stripping platform liability protections and boosting compliance costs for global tech firms.

Brazil Hikes Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Pressuring BRL Outlook
Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, pushing consumer prices further above target and prompting banks to forecast a weaker Real.

High Selic Projections Squeeze Brazilian Small Caps
Rising inflation expectations have pushed Brazil's year-end Selic rate forecasts to 13%-14%, pressuring debt-sensitive domestic small caps.

Brazilian Real Hits Strongest Level in Over Three Weeks Near 5.09
The Brazilian Real strengthened past 5.11 to 5.09 per USD on July 16, 2026, driven by a cooling domestic inflation print and a softening US dollar.

Brazil Hikes 2026 Inflation Forecast to 5.1%, Squeezing Real
Brazil's Finance Ministry raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.1%, threatening the real's yield advantage and putting pressure on the central bank.

Brazilian Real Rebounds to 3-Week High as June Inflation Eases
The Brazilian Real strengthens to 5.11 per USD as June annual inflation cools to 4.64%, supporting the central bank's recent monetary policy decisions.

July 10 IPCA Print Set to Test BRL as Inflation Creeps Higher
Brazil's upcoming June IPCA inflation data on July 10 will test the BRL as annual inflation remains above the central bank's 4.5% upper tolerance limit.

BRL Volatility Looms as Market Braces for July 10 IPCA Print
Brazil's upcoming IPCA inflation report on July 10 will test the market as economists navigate high Selic expectations and a 5.30% inflation forecast.

Brazil Inflation Revision Puts Floor Under USD/BRL Near 5.16
Brazil's plans to raise its 2026 inflation forecast keep the Selic rate outlook restrictive, anchoring the USD/BRL exchange rate near key support.

Gas Subsidy Cut Threatens Brazil Consumer Small Caps
Brazil's plan to reverse its R$ 0.44 gasoline subsidy next week stokes inflation fears, threatening highly leveraged consumer discretionary small caps.

BRL Under Pressure as Brazil Warns Inflation Will Breach Target
The Brazilian Real faces downside pressure as the central bank raises its 2026 inflation forecast to 5.2%, well above the official 4.5% target ceiling.

Capital Flight Caps BRL Gains as High US Yields Pressure IBOV
Persistent foreign capital outflows and rising domestic inflation limit the Brazilian Real's recovery, dragging the Ibovespa down 8.2% in Q2 2026.

Brazil Real Under Pressure as Copom Easing Collides with Inflation
The Brazilian Real faces volatility as the central bank cuts rates to 14.25% while Focus Survey 2026 inflation expectations climb to 5.3%.

USD/BRL Nears 5.17 as Copom Signals 2028 Inflation Horizon
The Central Bank of Brazil's shift toward a 2028 inflation convergence horizon to justify Selic cuts has narrowed the carry-trade yield differential, weakening the Real.

Ibovespa Surges 2.95% on Soft Mid-Month Inflation
Brazil's Ibovespa index rallied 2.95% in the week ending June 26, 2026, nearing a full June recovery after cooler-than-expected IPCA-15 inflation data.