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14 results for “fiscal adjustment”
Morgan Stanley Warns Brazil's Post-Election Fiscal Confidence May Underprice Real Risk
Analysts at Morgan Stanley caution that market confidence in a limited fiscal adjustment after the October 2026 election is dangerously high, warning a lack of a credible spending plan could trigger a severe crisis for the Brazilian Real and interest rates.
Flávio Bolsonaro Economists Propose 'Fiscal Shock' to End Brazil’s 'Public Spending Alcoholism'
Economists for Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign unveiled a radical austerity plan for 2027, including a 'self-containment' pact to cut the country’s high debt premium.
Brazilian Real Defies Strong Dollar as 'Electoral Trade' Prices Political Shift
The Brazilian Real has decoupled from global currency weakness, driven by investors betting on a tight 2026 election that could force a key fiscal adjustment.
Brazilian Real Faces 50% Volatility Risk Based on Post-Election Fiscal Plan
The Brazilian Real could swing wildly between R$3.95 and R$6.00 against the US Dollar depending on whether the next administration commits to a credible fiscal adjustment.
Brazil’s High Interest Rates to Persist as Election Campaigns Fail to Detail Fiscal Adjustment
Presidential candidates' vague economic plans increase sovereign risk, forcing the Central Bank to hold Brazil’s Selic rate high.
Political Risk Premium Drives Record Foreign Capital Outflow from Brazil’s Stock Market
Foreign investors pulled billions from the B3 ahead of the October 2026 election, raising Brazil's political risk premium.
Brazil Finance Minister Courts Critics to Bolster Fiscal Credibility Amid Policy Vacuum
Finance Minister Dario Durigan is meeting with critics like Armínio Fraga in a political push to calm market fears over Brazil’s public debt.
Brazil's No. 2 Finance Official Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Cut High Selic Rate
Dario Durigan, the Executive Secretary of Brazil's Finance Ministry, linked a major fiscal push to lower the Selic rate.
Lula Campaign Pledges 2% of GDP Fiscal Adjustment to Combat Brazil’s High Interest Rates
Finance Minister Dario Durigan commits a future Lula administration to a 2% of GDP fiscal effort to lower the 14.00% Selic rate and stabilize public debt.
Brazil’s Polarized Election Battle Lines Drawn Over Debt-to-GDP Crisis
Brazil's leading presidential candidates offer two starkly different plans to tackle the country's 81.9% Debt-to-GDP ratio and lower the cost of capital.
Pre-Election Gridlock Shelves Lula’s Key Electoral Promise in Brazil’s Assertive Senate
Political infighting in the Brazilian Senate is stalling the government’s major legislative agenda, including the worker-friendly 6x1 PEC.
Brazil Presidential Contender Caiado Vows Day-One Amnesty and Hard Fiscal Overhaul
PSD candidate Ronaldo Caiado promised an amnesty bill for Jan 8 convicts alongside pro-market reforms including fiscal adjustment and privatizations.
Political Logjam on Fiscal Adjustment Curbs Central Bank’s Scope for Deeper Selic Rate Cuts
The Copom’s fourth consecutive 25-bps cut to 14.00% is overshadowed by political failure to deliver a credible fiscal adjustment.
Fiscal 'Last Mile' Push: Why Durigan's Budget Defense Matters
Finance Minister Dario Durigan defends the final stretch of fiscal adjustments to stabilize Brazil's debt, offering a potential catalyst for small-cap stocks.