Atypical heavy winter rainfall in July, linked to the emerging El Niño weather phenomenon, is simultaneously delaying Brazil’s 2026 coffee harvest and diminishing the productivity outlook for the critical 2027 crop, sustaining the current upward momentum in international coffee futures. The unseasonal precipitation across major growing regions, particularly in Minas Gerais and São Paulo, has disrupted the country’s typically dry winter harvest period, driving up concerns over bean quality and keeping the global coffee market on alert for tightening supply beyond the current season.